Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 2.
The Morphettville Guineas is the premier race on this eight-event card.
The false rail will be at the True position from the 1200m to the winning post and at one metre out for the remainder of the track.
With showers forecast there is little chance of the track rating of a Heavy 8 (Thursday) being upgraded.
Victoria’s premier trainer Darren Weir unleashes a strong arsenal of gallopers with his best looking to be Kellstorm (Race3), Questilla (R5) and Night’s Watch (R8).
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 2,6 – 2,7 – 8,12 - 3
Wide Play: 2,6,7 – 2,3,7 – 3,8,10,12 - 3,5,6
BEST BET: R2 – 3. COUNTERPLAY
Next Best Bet: R3 – 2. KELLSTORM
Best Roughie: R8 – 6. ROMANESQUE
R1 – 12.41pm. Seymour Bloodstock Maiden Plate – 1050m.
No6 DANGER DEAL has been placed at five of seven race starts. He is resuming here from a 119-day spell and he has been gelded. Fourth in the Group 3 SA Sires (1400m) here last April at his last start and has been placed in other features. Looks to have the class.
No11 MONDO MAGIC was backed into a $1.90 favourite when fought out a busy finish to run third over 1100m in a maiden here on August 26. He gets Adelaide’s leading rider Jamie Kah to boot him out from a good barrier in three.
No1 COBBER gave a solid effort first-up to run second in 1059m maiden at Balaklava on August 16. He covered ground that day and leading jockey Simon Price stays on board for his return to the city. He is worth each-way thought.
No5 CHAROSSA is a $47,500 yearling graduate and has shown enough at the barrier trials to take a look here at his debut. Latest he ran a steady fourth over 1000m here on August 24. Top jockey Matthew Neilson rides here.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 CHAROSSA
R2 – 1.21pm. Quayclean and Cleanway Handicap – 1100m.
No3 COUNTERPLAY (BEST BET) has an impeccable record of two starts for two wins. She was certainly imposing when striding away to a 4.5 length win over 1000m here on May 27. She showed she was on tune with a brilliant 1.2 length win in a 1000m trial here on August 24. She gets top rider Dom Tourneur to steer and looks a class act.
No4 KID FLASH was a big drifter first-up when disappointed. Give another chance.
No7 MAZESTIC ran a terrific race at long odds at debut and will wear winkers for the first time.
No8 MISS BELISA showed speed and fought on well at her debut on a wet track. Worth watching.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MISS BELISA
R3 – 1.56pm. Hyland Racing Colours Handicap – 2500m.
No2 KELLSTORM (NEXT BEST BET) has been excelling at this track scoring by more than 7 lengths at his past two wins here over 2500m on rain-affected circuits. He goes up a half-kilo to 58.5kg here on his last win on August 19. Darren Weir has booked stable rider John Allen as his new pillion and the Irish bred stayer should keep rolling along merrily here.
No6 VERREAUX gets a huge weight pull with a massive 10kg drop in weight aided by the claim of 3kg apprentice Melissa Julius on 51kg.
No3 FLYING CASINO is a dead-set stayer and is worth noting on his recent solid efforts here.
No4 THE WILLYBE has been honest over the middle-distance here. The rise to 2500m is a query.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 VERREAUX
R4 – 2.31pm. Golden Farms Morphettville Guineas – 1600m.
No2 MUTAMAYEL has a clean slate with two starts for two wins. He is also engaged at Moonee Valley today so will need to keep an eye on the scratchings. Team Hayes will have this colt at his top for his resumption with top rider Paul Gatt booked.
No4 SKY PUNCH gets his chance with the field being whittled way by withdrawals after final acceptances. He ran a solid third over 1500m at Sandown on August 23. That was his second start back from a spell and wears winkers for the first time.
No3 DOBELL is elevated in class on his debut win over 1300m here on August 13. He was the widest runner that day and hooked out to storm home late and nail the leader. Indicated the extra distance here should suit and is worth each-way thought.
No10 BRING ME ROSES ran a top third in a busy finish over 1400m here on July 22. That was only her second career start and she hails from the leading stable of Tony McEvoy, who would not be running her unless he thought she was a chance.
R5 – 3.11pm. LUCRF Super Jockeys Handicap – 1100m.
No2 QUILISTA is a former West Australian mare, who kicked off her Victorian campaign in style to lead and smash her opposition over 1100m at Caulfield on August 19. She is loaded with three more kilos here on 58.5kg but meets her own sex.
No6 NODOUBTABOUTIT has won well at her past two starts at this track Latest she was the $4.80 favourite when scoring easily by 1.3 lengths over 1050m here on August 19. With the 1.5kg claim of Emily Finnegan she will carry only 53kg.
No7 SHOWPERO Was well liked first-up when starting a $3.10 favourite and finishing third over 1200m here on August 19. She drops a half-kilo today to 54kg and top jockey Paul Gatt keeps the ride on the mare who is chasing her first win at her fourth start this campaign.
No8 AVOID THE MISSUS could be improved sporting the blinkers for the first time. She was slightly unlucky first-up when unsuccessfully protesting against the winner, when finishing second over 1059m at Balaklava on August 16. Rough hope.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 AVOID THE MISSUS
R6 – 3.51pm. National Jockeys Trust Handicap (Heat 11 NJT Series) – 1200m.
No2 HUSSYBAY has the unblemished record of two starts for two wins fresh. He gets the experienced Matthew Neilson to ride from a draw on the rail. Two of his three wins have been over this distance and he is in with a fair weight on 58kg.
No7 MICA BE THE ONE was given a 21-day break after scoring a good win over 1200m here on August 21. Leading trainer Phillip Stokes had booked 1.5kg claiming apprentice Emily Finnegan to reduce his impost to a comfortable 54.5kg.
No3 MAGNUS KNIGHT is racing in a purple patch with two wins and two placings at his four starts this campaign. Latest he posted a half-length win over 1100m here on August 26. Apprentice Dylan Caboche rides again and his 3kg claim reduces his weight to 55kg.
No1 WASABI BOB is resuming and has good form fresh. He will be ridden by the experienced Clare Lindop for co-trainers Leon Macdonald and Andrew Gluyas. They have forged a strong partnership over the years and expect a top effort.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 MAGNUS KNIGHT>
R7 – 4.31pm. Fluerieu Milk Company Handicap – 1200m.
No12 SO YOU TOO was placed in Group 2 class last campaign and loves this distance with two wins and three placings at six starts. He is resuming here off a last start win at this track in late May. Clare Lindop rides and he drops down to the limit on 54kg.
No3 GO THE JOURNEY has been racing in stellar form with two wins and a second at three starts this preparation. Latest he ran second over 1300m here on August 12. Has been freshened for this and with Victor Wong’s 3kg claim carries 55kg.
No8 OBERLAND ran a good second over 1200m at Moonee Valley on August 26. He hails from the top yard of Darren Weir and will have benefitted from the start. The former Queenslander has an outstanding record and will be right in the finish.
No1 RUETTIGER ran a good third over 1200m at Moonee Valley second up on August 26. He gets top Irish jockey John Allen to ride for the in-form Team Hayes and he drops a half-kilo to 59.5kg on his last start effort. Respect here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 REUTIGGER
R8 – 5.10pm. UBET Handicap – 1600m.
No3 NIGHT’S WATCH is a former New Zealand galloper who has won at his two starts for new trainer Darren Weir. He was the hot fancy prior to both wins over 1300m and 1400m at Bendigo and Sandown. The step up to the mile looks ideal.
No4 OPTIMIZE was backed from $4.20 into $3.60 favouritism before finishing third over 1600m here on August 26. Victor Wong gets the job again and his 3kg claim drops his weight to a comfortable 56.5kg here. Looks to be a live chance.
No6 ROMANESQUE (BEST ROUGHIE) is a former Irish galloper who has ran well at his two Australian starts. Latest he made good ground to finish fifth over 1600m at Bendigo on September 1. He hails from an astute Victorian stable and would watch.
No14 BEAU’S MY BOY gave a brave effort first-up when trapped deep and fought on to finish fourth over 1200m here on August 26. He gets top jockey Joe Bowditch as his new rider and he drops a half-kilo to 55.5kg here. Best form is over this distance.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ROMANESQUE