Horses to Follow – Saturday 9th September 2017
A heartbreak horse for the punters and a sprinter ready to fire go in the black book this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Alluvion: Warwick farm Race 3 – 5th ($2.50F)
The placement of this horse continues to confuse me, back in grade finally but up to 1300m? Unbelievable she hasn’t won this prep but I’ll be dropping off.
Intrinsic: Warwick Farm Race 5 – 8th ($3.10F)
Trialled up nicely but was hugely disappointing as favourite. Letting her go around without me next start.
Cannyescent: Rosehill Race 5 – 5th ($4.20)
Just left wanting inside the final 100m after trying to cart the field up to the tear away leader. Still following.
Dixie Blossoms: Rosehill Race 5 – 4th ($7)
Similar run to Cannyescent. Was first up on the back of some very nice trials so this run should do her a world of good moving forward. Still following.
Ravi: Rosehill Race 6 – 1st ($7.50)
Finally gets a nice un-impeded run and produces a booming finish to win in very nice style. She’ll only derive benefit from the run, following with confidence.
Menari: Rosehill Race 7 – 1st ($2.30F)
Has the Golden Rose at his mercy, 1400m won’t be pulling him up. Just hoping some others out there secured the $7 available after the Rosebud.
Foundation: Moonee Valley Race 4 – 8th ($13)
Held up hopelessly behind those going nowhere after some tactical errors from the hoop. Should’ve finished a lot closer or even won. Don’t see this as a strong form race but will still be following.
Shoals: Moonee Valley Race 6 – 1st ($4.80)
Remains unbeaten with some ease. Not sure where her celling is but I’ll be following her to find out (don’t think she’ll be beating Menari if she does head to the Rose).
Brave Smash: Moonee Valley Race 7 – 1st ($1.70)
The hot pot battled to get past El Divino and Revolving door who are both smart on their day. He’ll need to improve lengths into the Everest.
Big Duke: Moonee Valley Race 9 – 5th ($7)
Got a mile back and was forced widest on the home turn. Made up significant ground, looks well on track for races over longer. Continue to follow.
Etymology: Moonee Valley Race 9 – 7th ($4.20)
Only held his ground in the straight but I don’t think he’s a valley horse. Forget and continue to follow over further.
Settler’s Stone: Moonee Valley Race 9 – 10th ($31)
As much as $71 was on offer. Only held ground in the straight, but I still think he has a cheeky run in him out in trip onto a more spacious track. Keep following.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Keen Array: Moonee Valley Race 7 – 5th ($17)
Drawing barrier 11 at the Valley with 59kg’s on your back is never ideal but this gelding ran a very nice race behind some quality types. From the jump, Zahra had no option but to go back through the field but he found himself cast 3 wide at the rear off a slow tempo. The son of Bel Esprit finished off extremely well looking like her was going to run a drum before the hard run told late and he drifted back slightly into 5th.
He was an extremely smart 3YO, having won the Blue Sapphire (2015) and run second in the Coolmore but is probably just the level below the top sprinters now as a 5YO. Keen to be on him next start, now hard fit for his 4th run this preparation.
Where to Next? Listed – Group 3 race over 1200m
Interlocuter: Rosehill Race 9 – 2nd (Protest) ($3F)
This was close to the biggest betting move of the weekend, having opened at $6 the French import was hammered into a $3 favourite by the time the starter took the stands. Because of this move many punters will be left with major wounds after a very contentious protest (to say the least) was upheld – surely, he was pulling away from Wayanka on the line…
After some stellar trials, this run should only see him getting fitter. He looks to have improved significantly after his first Australian preparation and could really cement his name in the Godolphin team this time in. Has won (after a winner was disqualified) over 2200m and I’m keen to follow him all the way up through the distances.
Where to Next? BM84 1600m