Flemington (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Saturday. Today’s best bet is in race 8.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 15 Sep, 1:18 AM

 

The rail will be moved back to its true position after racing was conducted here with the rail at the 10-metre position last time here on August 12.

The track is rated perfect as a Good 3 (Thursday), but with showers forecast it may pay to keep an eye out for any deterioration.

Fantastic day with a bumper nine-race card highlighted by the rematch of Hartnell versus Black Heart Bart in the Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m).

Top class undercard of three-year-olds engaged and the Melbourne Cup champion Almandin is back again in Race Eight.

 

QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)

Skinny Play: 3,11 – 1,2 – 1,5 – 3,7

Wide Play: 1,3,10,11 – 1,2,8,9 – 1,5,6,12 – 3,7,11,13

 

BEST BET: R8 – 1. ALMANDIN

Next Best Bet: R9 – 3.  AMELIE’S STAR  

Best Roughie: R6 – 18. PURE PRIDE

R1 – 12.30pm. Cap D'Antibes Stakes – 1100m.

No1 JORDA gave a top effort in a fast race when finishing third in the Group 3 San Domenico (1100m) at Rosehill first-up on August 26. She won at her only other start at Randwick in the spring last year. The Godolphin-trained filly looks fully prime for her Melbourne debut here with Kerrin McEvoy to ride.

 

No5 ROOMOOZ was super impressive at beating class filly Tulip first-up over 1200m at Moonee Valley on August 28. She again carries 55kg under the race conditions and has Luke Currie to partner her again. However she must combat a wide gate in nine as she jumped from three last time.

 

No3 PLOVERSET she got her tongue over the bit and choked down when finishing last of 10 over 1200m at Caulfield on September 2. Forget she went around and with stable jockey Regan Bayliss to ride again and a tongue-tie going on she can redeem herself. Gets a nice run from five too.

 

No6 LUQYAA returns to Melbourne after a raid at Morphettville where she ran a sound fifth in the Queen Of Adelaide Stakes (1050m) in May. She gets Damien Oliver to ride with stable jockey Regan Bayliss staying with Ploverset. Her form has been rock solid and is at juicy odds because of gate 12.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 LUQYAA

R2 – 1.05pm. Pin & Win Plate – 1400m.

No1 ROYAL SYMPHONY has been a star colt remaining unable to be conquered at his three starts. Trainer Tony McEvoy has galloped him on race-days in preparation for his much-anticipated comeback and he gets ace jockey Dwayne Dunn to ride again. Suited under set-weight conditions here.

 

No4 MURAAHIB has won twice and been placed twice at his six starts. He struck a smart 3yo in Merchant Navy when running a solid third over 1200m in the Group 3 McNeill Stakes at Caulfield on September 2. Top Melbourne rider Craig Williams replaces Sydney hoop Blake Shinn.

 

No6 LONE EAGLE got a long way back and was checked to boot before finishing well to finish eighth over 1200m at Moonee Valley on August 26. He gets Damien Oliver to ride here and carries 56kg under the set-weight conditions. He is better suited at this track than the Valley and keep safe.

 

No2 SHOWTIME broke through for his maiden win as a $1.26 favourite at Wyong last start on September 1. That was at his seventh start, but only his second start as a 3yo. Top apprentice Beau Mertens rides and he ran a great second first-up at Canterbury last month. Pay to show respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 LONE EAGLE

R3 – 1.40pm. The Sofitel – 1400m.

No4 CHOCOLATE HOLIC gets his chance to break his maiden status in Victoria. His form since transferring to ace trainer Darren Weir has been first class and he ran a top second over 1400m at Caulfield on September 2. He drops a half-kilo to 57kg here and stable rider Brad Rawiller steers.

 

No12 MR SNEAKY has been racing in blistering form to notch three straight wins at Flemington and Caulfield. He was a clear cut winner over 1200m at Caulfield last start on September 2 when carrying 60kg. He plummets to 54kg here and has ace jockey Dwayne Dunn to partner. Makes good appeal.

 

No6 SNITZSON did not have a lot of luck when trapped deep before finishing fourth to Grand Rosso over 1400m at Caulfield on September 2. He drops a kilo to 55kg and he gets Mark Zahra to ride again. From barrier two he should get a superior run in transit.

 

No14 THEANSWERMYFRIEND has been racing in great force and is again a live chance here. Latest he ran a sound second to Mr Sneaky over 1200m at Caulfield on September 2. He nosedives 4.5kg to the limit on 54kg and gets top jockey Craig Williams to guide him.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 SNITZSON

R4 – 2.15pm. Bobbie Lewis Quality – 1200m.

No2 SCALES OF JUSTICE is last season’s WA Horse Of The Year. He is making his Victorian debut here but has been boarding at the stable of top trainer Darren Weir. Weir stayed with trainer Lindsey Smith when he won his first WA Group 1 with Stratum Star last year. Has been in the money at all six starts first-up.

 

No4 VOODOO LAD claimed a well-deserved win in the group 3 Heath (1100m) at Caulfield on September 2. Darren Weir has put on Damian Lane replacing Brad Rawiller, who rides Scales Of Justice here. Lane is riding red-hot landing a feature treble at Moonee Valley last Saturday.

 

No3 REDKIRK WARRIOR is the current champion of the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap so going down the straight 1200m is no obstacle to him. He is fresh from a break but showed he was tuned with a sound second to Sheidel over 1000m in a trial at Tatura on August 22. One of the top chances.

 

No9 SO SI BON has been rattling off very fast sectionals this campaign. Latest he steamed home to run second to Voodoo Lad in the Heath (1100m) at Caulfield on September 2. Craig Williams replaces Mark Zahra and he drops 3kg to 53kg here. Nice weight claim and extra 100m suits.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 SO SI BON

R5 – 2.55pm. Danehill Stakes – 1200m.

No2 JUKEBOX is unbeaten at his three starts. He resumed from a spell with a classy win over 1100m in the Vain Stakes at Caulfield on September 2. Top jockey Craig Williams has ridden him exclusively and rides again on 57kg – which is a half-kilo more than he carried last start. Strong chance again.

 

No6 CATCHY was the star filly of last season and she showed a heap of heart to run second to the race fit Crown Witness in a Group 3 (1100m) at Caulfield on September 2. The Group 1 Blue Diamond winner gest Regan Bayliss replacing Craig Williams for the first time. Hard to pass despite riding change.

 

No9 ESPERANCE faces his acid test here against a very classy line up of three-year-olds. He has stretched out in style to remain unbeaten at his two starts. He slaughtered his opposition by 2-lengths over 1200m at Sandown on August 18. Gets a change of rider with Kerrin McEvoy replacing Craig Williams.

 

No10 LIMESTONE was powering home like a locomotive to run fourth to Roomooz in a 1200m fillies Plate first up at Moonee Valley on August 26. Has the red hot Damian Lane to ride and she was one of the best of Victoria’s youngsters last season. Will be fitter and would respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No10 LIMESTONE

R6 – 3.35pm. Let’s Elope Stakes – 1400m.

No1 I AM A STAR should welcome her drop in class from last start when running seventh to Vega Magic in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on September 2. She is back against her own sex here and is suited at the set-weight and penalty conditions of this race.

 

No3 OREGON’S DAY has been shining on the racetrack and fought hard to narrowly win over 1400m against her own sex at Caulfield on September 2. Mark Zahra retains the ride on the mare but she does face a hazard drawn in gate 16 in her rematch against Swampland here.

 

No11 SWAMPLAND had her chances of a fourth straight win derailed by Oregon’s Day in a busy finish over 1400m at Caulfield on September 2. She gets a far superior draw here in five compared to her nemesis in 16. Has won at two of her three starts at this track so switch in venues no issue.

 

No18 PURE PRIDE (TOP ROUGHIE) is worth thought should she gain a start. Was making steady progress along the rail to finish seventh over 1200m at Moonee Valley first up on August 26. She is bound to be fitter with the start under her belt and Ben Melham is booked to ride again.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No18 PURE PRIDE

R7 – 4.15pm. PFD Food Services Makybe Diva Stakes – 1600m.

No1 HARTNELL scored a convincing first-up win in the Lawrence Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on August 18. He beat Black Heart Bart (3rd) easily but the latter will be fitter here. The Godolphin-trained galloper gets a change of rider with Melbourne Cup winning hoop Kerrin McEvoy to steer. Hard to beat.

 

No2 BLACK HEART BART is now much fitter with two spring carnival runs under his belt. He ran a great second to Vega Magic in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on September 2. His usual partner Brad Rawiller is riding at their chase for a sixth Group 1 together. Strong chance.

 

No9 HEY DOC is going to be far better suited here than last start when running a good fourth to Vega Magic in the Memsie Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield on September 2. The 4yo is a Group 1 winner at this distance and track. The barrier in 12 is a shade wide but he will power home.

 

No8 JON SNOW is from the red hot Kiwi stable of Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman who last Saturday carried home the trophy of the Group 2 Dato with their Oaks winner Bonneval at her first Melbourne start. This stallion won the Australian Derby last autumn in Sydney and would watch.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 JON SNOW

R8 – 4.55pm. Japan Racing Association Trophy – 2500m.

No1 ALMANDIN (BEST BET) was super impressive first-up to run a great second over 2040m at Moonee Valley on August 26. The reigning Melbourne Cup winner gets multiple winning Melbourne Cup jockey Damien Oliver to ride and he stays on 61kg. He has a fantastic record second-up of a win and a second at three starts and makes strong appeal.

 

No5 PACODALI has been in blistering form winning a hat-trick en route to this clash with the Melbourne Cup winner.

 

No6 HANS HOLBEIN will relish the extra distance here and will be in the finish.

 

No12 YOGI has been in splendid form and drop 4.5kg to 54kg on his last win over this trip.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No12 YOGI

R9 – 5.25pm. Sofitel Girls' Day Out Handicap – 1700m.

No3 AMELIE’S STAR (NEXT BEST BET) was rocketing home to finish third to Hell Or Highwater over 1700m at Caulfield on September 2. That was this mare’s second start back from a spell and she will be fit now and from barrier one gets a cosy inside run. Damian Lane, who rode a feature treble last Saturday at Caulfield, is the new rider and she makes heaps of appeal.

 

No10 COOL CHAP should be suited by the extra distance here and fitter now.

 

No7 HARDHAM struck some smart types first-up and raced without luck. Worth consideration.

 

No18 TIAMO GRACE found more trouble than Ned Kelly last time out. Can reprieve here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No18 TIAMO GRACE

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