Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 1.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 15 Sep, 1:44 AM

 

 

Premier trainer Darren Weir has launched powerful raids on Morphettville in recent weeks and he is again seeking further success today with another strong arsenal of horses.

Weir is again using the 1.5kg claim of leading Melbourne apprentice Ben Allen to the fore and he should dominate this low-key eight race card.

With showers forecast again it is hard to see the track surface improving on the Soft 6 predicted on Thursday. The false rail will be at two metres for the entire circuit.

 

QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)

Skinny Play:  2,8 – 4 – 2,3 – 4,9

Wide Play: 2,8,9 – 2,4,7,9 – 2,3,9 – 2,4,9,12

 

BEST BET: R1 – 1. HANDSOME THIEF

Next Best Bet: R6 – 4. VIEIRA

Best Roughie: R5 – 3. AMPLE ON OFFA  

R1 – 12.46pm. Spring Carnival 21 Oct - 7 Nov Handicap – 1250m.

No1 HANDSOME THIEF (BEST BET) gives Darren Weir a strong start to what appears another successful raid on Adelaide for Victoria’s premier trainer. Weir brings leading Victorian apprentice Ben Allen to ride and his 1.5kg allowance reduces his weight to 57.5 in a field of only six runners. Better than bank interest and is tax free here.

 

No6 SO SKILLED has won at twice and been placed third at his four starts. Has claims here.

 

No2 NIPPERKIN is in blistering form and searching for a fourth straight win.

 

No5 MISS JANE has won at three and placed once at her five starts. Cannot ignore.

 

 

VALUE RUNNER: No5 MISS JANE

R2 – 1.21pm. UBET Handicap – 1300m.

No2 GLAM GURU returned from a spell with a stylish win over 1100m here on August 26. He is from one of Adelaide’s top yards and he rises only 1.5kg to 57kg and stable jockey Claire Lindop keeps the ride. Strikes only four other runners.

 

No1 SOUFFRANT has leading Victorian apprentice Ben Allen to ride for top Victorian trainer Darren Weir. Should be a force for the Weir juggernaut again with Allen’s 1.5kg claim dropping his weight to 56.5kg in a tiny field of four.

 

No3 UNSCOPEABLE burst through for a maiden win over 1100m here on August 26. Has been ultra consistent with six starts for a win and three placings. Raquel Clark’s 3kg claim plummets her weight down to 54kg and must rate as a chance.

 

No4 ROCKET SOX ran a fair fifth over 1100m in a maiden here at her debut on August 26. She drops 1.5kg to 54kg here and has senior rider Jason Holder to ride her again. She did not have a lot of luck at her debut and rocketed home.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 ROCKET SOX

R3 – 1.56pm. Schweppes Handicap – 1950m.

No4 HAVE PLENTY scored a slashing three-length win over 1950m here on September 2. He returns here carrying 1.5kg less with Raquel Clark’s 3kg allowance dropping his weight to 52kg. The stallion chain has been removed for the first time.

 

No1 LUCKY PADDY gives leading Melbourne trainer Darren Weir a pack of aces in the first three races here and with Victorian apprentice Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim has a comfortable weight on 58kg. Weir has been ripping them apart here.

 

No5 OUR BOY NICHOLAS gave a stout enough effort to run second to Have Plenty over 1950m here on September 2. Claire Lindop is the new pillion and the seven-year-old drops 2kg to a comfortable 55kg for this clash. Each-way.

 

No6 SANDHILL STAR has the speed to be racing right on the pace. With apprentice Anna Jordsjo’s 3kg claim he carries only 51.5kg and from barrier three should get a cosy run up to the front. He may dictate for a long way and is a roughie.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 SANDHILL STAR

R4 – 2.36pm. Medallion Homes Handicap – 1250m.

No3 RUPTURE is a lightly-raced four-year-old with upside having won and been placed at his three starts. He has an untarnished record fresh so may pay to wiped his trial when running eighth over 1000m here on a bog track on August 24.

 

No6 INNESTON was tackled for the lead and had to defend hard when narrowly winning over 1206m at Murrray Bridge on August 30. She has won twice and been placed once at four starts so she has ability and has Matthew Neilson riding.

 

No1 BELLOMO with apprentice Raquel Clark’s 3kg claim his weight is reduced to a more comfortable 57.5kg and he does not strike super opposition. Latest he ran home strongly to claim third over 1100m here on August 26.

 

No11 EMBECEE LIL has had a 24-day gap between runs. She is fresh from a maiden win over 1109m on a bog track at Gawler on August 23. She ploughed through the mud as a favourite that day and won with a leg in the air. Soft track here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No11 EMBECEE LIL

R5 – 3.16pm. James Boag’s Premium Handicap – 1400m.

No2 OZI CHOICE is another of Darren Weir strong Delta force here in Adelaide to plunder. Won’t be at any flash odds and with apprentice Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim he will carry 56.5kg. He ran a close third over 1400m at Caulfield on August 18.

 

No8 FOX HALL has an excellent first-up record of two starts for a win and a second. He was warmed up for this with a second in a 1000m trial here on August 24. That was on a bog track and it will be rain-affected here. Top rider Jamie Kah steers.

 

No9 STEEL FROST showed he was cherry ripe for this with a brilliant win over 1250m here on September 2. That was his first start back from a spell and he drops a kilo to 55kg with Todd Pannell to ride again.

 

No3 AMPLE ON OFFA (BEST ROUGHIE) gets the in-form apprentice Emily Finnegan to ride and her 1.5kg claim drops this mare’s weight to 56kg. She has drawn gate one and she should get a sweet run along the rail.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No3 AMPLE ON OFFA

R6 – 3.56pm. Hughes Limousines Handicap – 1400m.

No4 VIEIRA (NEXT BEST BET) has been most consistent and finished a sound third over 1400m here on September 2. He gets top rider Matthew Neilson to ride on the same weight on 57.5kg but has a superior draw in two. He should get a soft run on the inside and was beaten by an impressive winner, Jamaican Rain, last time. Lots to like here about him.

 

No9 ROTHMOORE has been most honest and is hard to leave out here.

 

No10 GRONKY he bounced back for a clever win at Murray Bridge. Rates each-way.

 

No7 SUPREME POLARITY has red-hot apprentice Emily Finnegan to ride. Would respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 SUPREME POLARITY

R7 – 4.36pm. Holdfast Insurance Handicap – 1400m.

No3 WITH A BIT OF DASH showed a heap of courage to fight hard for his third place over 1250m here on September 2. That was first-up and he has a superior record second-up with a win and a second at three starts. That was a fair effort and did win well at Balaklava three starts ago.

 

No2 PENNY FOR A POUND has Victorian apprentice Chris Caserta’s 3kg claim to reduce her impost to a more comfortable 58kg. She showed good speed first-up to run a handy fifth over 1250m here on September 2. Respect.

 

No9 HARLEM CHILD has the in-form apprentice Victor Wong to ride and her 3kg claim reduces her weight to 52.5kg. She hit the line hard off a 27-day gap to run third over 1200m here on August 26. Gets a nice run from seven.

 

No6 CHOSEN ANGEL has a fair first-up record and she is resuming here. She struck a bog when running eighth in a 1000m trial here on September 8. She has won over 1100m but her best is for the longer distances. Roughie.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 CHOSEN ANGEL

R8 – 5.10pm. Adelaide Galvanising Handicap – 1000m.

No4 NODOUBTABOUTIT showed great acceleration to lead before finishing second in a stronger race over 1100m here last Saturday. Phillip Stokes has booked the in-form Emily Finnegan to ride and her 1.5kg claim drops her weight to 56.5kg.

 

No2 EVIL DREAMS fought solidly enough to run second over 1000m here on September 2. Victor Wong’s 3kg claim reduces his weight to 56kg and his form on the rain-affected going is consistent. Barrier 15 may be a hindrance.

 

No12 INVISIBLE GIRL showed she was primed for a good effort fresh with a strong second over 1000m in a trial here on September 8. She has a superior second-up record but has Joe Bowditch to ride and looks forward.

 

No9 ASHERO has the blinkers being removed for this assignment. Latest he ran a solid third over 1000m here on September 2. That was a fair effort and he did win well over 1050m at Balaklava three starts ago. Can improve.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 ASHERO

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