Cranbourne (Wednesday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Cranbourne today’s best bet is in race 8.
Racing returns to Cranbourne after being away for a month.
Trainer Darren Weir has a strong hand in most races with multiple runners engaged on the nine-race card. The weather forecast is fine so hopefully the track should improve on the Soft 7.
The penetrometer is 5.84 and the false rail will be at the six-metre position.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 5,7 – 4,13 – 7,8 – 10,12
Wide Play: 5,7,10 – 4,5,13 – 2,7,8 – 5,10,12
BEST BET: R8 – 8. VILLA ROSA
Next Best Bet: R9 – 10. MIALIGN
Best Roughie: R1 – 3. EL MAGNIFICENCE
R1 – 12.25pm. TAB - We love a bet 3YO Maiden Plate – 1000m.
SCRATCHED No2 EASY BEAST has been most consistent being placed at all three starts. Latest he showed speed to race up on the pace before finishing second over 1100m at Caulfield in May. He is resuming here and Jamie Mott again rides.
SCRATCHED No7 RIEL REWARD has had a month between starts. Latest was backed from $13 into $7.50 before finishing third over 1000m at Sandown on August 23. Gets a change of rider with Brian Higgins taking the reins and is again a good chance.
SCRATCHED No14 LAVARSI is from an astute stable and can improve sharply on debut ninth over 1000m at Sandown on August 23. Gets top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride but he has no claim to use and will carry his listed weight on 58kg.
No3 EL MAGNIFICENCE (BEST ROUGHIE) did show he was finely tuned for a forward effort when posting a comfortable trial win over 800m here on May 8. Punters had a cracked at him at his debut at Ballarat on May 24, when finishing fourth. Was outsprinted that day.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 EL MASNIFICENCE
R2 – 1.00pm. Laming Racing Maiden Plate– 1200m.
No1 FUTURIST Can endorse his solid first-up effort when finishing second over 1100m in a maiden at Bendigo on September 1. He chased strongly and gave a spirited effort that day and he should take benefit from the outing.
No9 CREATIVE HARMONY was a $65,000 Inglis sale’s yearling graduate who hails from an astute punting stable. Showed good speed in a jump-out and that could prove a buffer here if able to repeat from an inside alley in gate three.
No11 MERCIABELLE asserted good speed to race with the leaders at a recent jump out at Flemington on September 8. Hails from one of the best stables and was a cheapie being sold for $40,000 at The Gold Coast yearling sale. Gate 12 is a hindrance.
SCRATCHED No13 SISTER MAREE underwent a vet test after disappointing 10th in a 1204m maiden at Donald on August 26. Her previous start she ran a slogging second here against her own sex. Give her another chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 SISTER MAREE
R3 – 1.35pm. Core Protective Group Maiden Plate – 1400m.
SCRATCHED No12 SAVABORR Was sold for an imposing $850,000 at the New Zealand yearling sale. Hails from a top Victorian stable and showed he was on tune for his debut with a solid effort at a jump out at Sandown on September 7. Watching for any betting moves.
No10 LIBERATORE Embarked on his new career with a solid second over 1170m in a maiden at Wangaratta on August 28. Was a big drifter in the betting that day, but did not baulk from the task and kept coming at them.
No3 ONE OVER ROD suggested a win was not too far away with his brave third over 1200m in a maiden at Seymour on September 7. He had to overcome a stumbling block that time and will strip superior for the effort.
No4 SIMEONI should acquit himself well if he repeats his past two starts. Latest he used his speed as a buffer to lead and fought hard to the wire finishing a close fourth in a busy finish over 1300m in a maiden at Geelong on August 25.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 SIMEONI
R4 – 2.10pm. Frankston Sand Soil & Mini Mix Maiden Plate – 1400m
No11 OCEAN’S FOURTEEN is a $325,000 New Zealand yearling graduate making his debut. Hails from an astute stable and he won with plenty in hand in a jump out at Sandown on September 7. Has drawn well in gate seven to show up here.
No4 RED CHOUX’S was backed from $10 into $8 but the betting move misfired when he ran last of 11 over 1400m in a maiden at Sandown on September 6. John Allen is the new rider and would like to give him another chance here.
No6 AMORTENTIA should be fully fit now with two solid performances under her belt. She has been consistent without threatening the winner to run second and third over 1300m at Sandown and here at two starts this campaign.
No7 JUNIPER GIRL has chimed in with solid efforts at all three of her starts. Latest ran a good sixth in a 1590m maiden at Wangaratta on August 28. With Liam Riordan’s 1.5kg claim carries 55kg here, but must cross from gate 13.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 AMORTENTIA
R5 – 2.45pm. NP Distribution BM70 Handicap – 1600m.
No3 STRONG HAND showed true grit and caused the bookies pain when backed from $8 to $6 before unleashing a dominant win over 1400m at Sale on September 10. Did that on his ear and he drops a kilo to 59kg here for the rise in class.
No7 POTEMKIN rallied well to finish third over 1726m at Geelong on September 3. Was a notable drifter from $4.80 to $9.50 that day but fought hard and gets senior rider Patrick Maloney to ride here. Has won previous two starts at Echuca.
No6 ZILBIYR rallied in style second up to post a tenacious win over 1500m at Mornington last Wednesday. He is on the fast back up and does ride 2kg to 57.5kg here. Jamie Mott replaces Dwayne Dunn and makes appeal.
No8 JOLIE’S CAFÉ was fresh when running a driving second in a head bobbing finish over 1414m at Seymour on September 7 Chris Caserta’s 1.5kg claim reduces the stallion’s impost to 55kg here. Will be improved.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 JOLIE’S CAFE
R6 – 3.20pm. SBG Building Group BM70 Handicap – 1400m.
No5 LIGHT ‘N’ FIRE struck the worst part of the track when battling hard to finish second over 1200m at Seymour on September 7. Has top jockey John Allen to ride and has been in top form on country tracks of late.
No9 HARD EMPIRE with three runs under belt is now fully primed. Latest was making steady headway to run fifth over 1300m at Geelong on on September 13. Has the high-flying Damian Lane to steer and would respect. Can improve.
No7 KNIGHT STAR is an Irish import who is resuming here. Ran a solid fourth over 1600m at Ballarat last start in March. Tends to like to have a few runs before hitting straps. But he does have top jockey Mark Zahra on board.
No10 WRITTEN ATTRACTION has been on a rampage winning at her past three starts on country tracks. She gets the 1.5kg claim of Stephanie Thornton to reduce her weight to 55.5kg here, but has a wide gate in 11.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 WRITTEN ATTRACTION
R7 – 3.55pm. TAB Cranbourne Cup 15/10/17 BM70 Handicap – 1200m.
No13 SNEAKERS has drawn perfectly in gate five to retain her unblemished record of two wins from two starts fresh. She gets the experienced Brian Higgins to ride and is a lightly raced 4yo mare with two wins and two placings at nine starts.
No6 ROYAL ACE is resuming from an 81-day break. Leading trainer Darren Weir has booked John Allen to ride and he strikes milder opposition than when running fifth over 1500m at Rosehill in July last start. Has a good record fresh.
No5 RAIZA FLAME has the in-form Nikita Beriman to ride again. Latest scored an imposing 4 length win over 1200m on a bog track here on August 27. Should take the box seat or lead from gate two and can overcome 2kg rise to 59.5kg.
No4 AJANI is a NSW-trained gelding making his debut at this track. He has good form over this distance with two wins and a third at six starts. Returns here from a 28-day break after running sixth over 1200m at Warwick farm last month.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 AJANI
R8 – 4.30pm. Browns Sawdust & Shavings BM64 Handicap – 1000m.
No8 VILLA ROSA (BEST BET) is a lightly-raced mare who gave a great effort to run third to Brugal Reward in the Group 3 Typhoon Tracy (1200m) at Moonee Valley at her penultimate start in February. She was not pushed when finishing third over 800m in a trial at Cranbourne on September 4 and she gets top jockey Damien Oliver to ride here first-up. She is unbeaten first-up.
No3 GWENNETH will strip fitter for the first-up run and drawn perfectly in gate three.
No13 HOLLYWOODGIRL has a solid first-up record and would take on faith.
No7 OPEN HOUSE underlined she was on target to protect her unblemished fresh record with a trial win.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 OPEN HOUSE
R9 – 5.05pm. R & C Asphalt BM64 Handicap – 1300m
SCRATCHED No10 MIALIGN (NEXT BEST BET) is a rapidly improving type and the New Zealand mare is still acclimatizing to Australia with a debut third over 1200m on a bog track here on August 27. She has drawn the rail for her return to this course and will have the polish of astute trainer Robert Smerdon for her assignment here. Has not finished further back than fourth at five starts.
SCRATCHED No12 HELLAVA BABE was a good effort last start and makes appeal despite drawing 14.
SCRATCHED No14 SUMMER WIND will sport blinkers for the first time and pay to keep safe.
No18 DEPORTED is an ex-Kiwi making his Australian debut. If he gets a start pay to watch betting.
VALUE RUNNER: No18 DEPORTED