Horses to Follow – Saturday 16th September 2017
A 3YO who ran a race at huge odds and a G1 bound WA raider join our black book for this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Merovee: Newcastle Race 5 – 2nd ($2.50F):
If it weren’t for the hype factor one would say the colt acquitted himself well. Want to see him at 2000m before dropping off.
Spectroscope: Newcastle Race 6 – 3rd ($4.40):
Would have been happier with more sting out of the ground. Was entitled to run on given the track record speed up front but got gapped by the quinella. Giving one more, preferably on soft.
Destiny’s Kiss: Newcastle Race 7 – 5th ($12):
Slow tempo carrying 59kg’s and a good surface weren’t in his favour against some handy types. Still want to keep this iron horse on my side.
Penglai Pavillion: Doncaster Race 4 – 6th ($7):
Led back in trip to the 2800m to weaken again in the final 400m. Will need to lift if he’s going to be competitive in Australian again. Forgetting.
Comin Throught: Randwick Race 4 – 1st ($2.30F):
Strong late over the 1400m to record his second win on the trot. Will be just as effective ridden with a sit. $11 for the Epsom looks nice.
No Doubt: Randwick Race 4 – 5th ($11):
Would be competitive in his right grade (BM90-100). Won’t be following in these group events.
Champagne Cuddles: Randwick Race 5 – 2nd ($3.40):
Run of placings is really testing the patience. Lost a plate at the gates which is usually a bit of a curse, probably not enough to make up the 1.3L she was beaten by however. Will still be backing her in the Tea Rose.
I Am Excited: Randwick Race 5 – 7th ($14):
Was kept 3 wide no cover at the back of the field for the entire 1400m courtesy of the eventual winner. Obvious forgive.
Foxplay: Randwick Race 6 – 3rd ($21):
Finished (4.5L) behind Winx and Happy Clapper who are both absolutely airborne. Will be reaching deep into the wallet if she goes back up against her own sex.
Life Less Ordinary: Randwick Race 8 – 3rd ($2.90F):
Money came strongly for this gelding after as much as $4.20 was initially put up. Still open to some improvement 4th up and going well enough from a Metropolitan point of view.
Toga Picta: Flemington Race 2 – 12th ($14):
Settled in a nice stop 2-3 wide with cover about 4 lengths off the lead. Copped a clear bump some 350m out but only held his ground late. Disappointing but I want to see him at a mile plus before forgetting.
Hualalai: Flemington Race 4 – 6th ($14):
Disappointing but found to be lame post-race. Forgive.
Odeon: Flemington Race 3 – 12th ($20):
Was some money around for the 4YO: $41-$20 but never looked a chance over the short 1400m. Want to see him out in trip before considering.
Burning Front: Flemington Race 4 – 10th ($41):
Not suited at all. 1200m too short and couldn’t sit on pace. Will be looking for him stepping out in distance and slightly back in grade.
Redkirk Warrior: Flemington Race 4 – 1st ($4):
Received a similar race shape to the Newmarket he won. Slow first 400m section allowing him to absolutely explode over the final 2 furlongs. Excited to see where his roof is being trained as a sprinter.
Catchy: Flemington Race 5 – 1st ($3.40F):
Extremely strong late over the 1200m in the right part of the track. Good luck to her rivals if she heads to the Thousand Guineas. Caulfield Guineas on the other hand would really see her stretched.
Booker: Flemington Race 5 – 3rd ($6.50):
Another very determined effort after being asked a way out. Watch out for her back against the girls too.
Azazel: Flemington Race 5 – 7th ($11):
Ran on well late but probably just below the elite at 1200m. Could see him running a race over 1400m in lower group company. Otherwise forgetting.
Lovani: Flemington Race 6 – 3rd ($41):
Ran a bottler at huge odds ($8.70 to place). Always worth sticking with guts front running types such as this one.
Oregon’s Day: Flemington Race 6 – 15th ($5.50):
Would struggle to find a more forgivable performance than this. Caught some 5-wide mid field for the trip (even wider on the turn), pulled up with an internal bleed and mucous.
Humidor: Flemington Race 7 – 1st ($17):
Laid very solid claims to being Australia’s second best race horse on the weekend. Simply stunning. Despite the performance of Almandin, I’d be firmly taking Humidor in a Caulfield Cup at this stage.
Hey Doc: Flemington Race 7 –10th ($8.50):
Lead at a suicidal speed over 1600m. That will probably take a lot out of him. Will be dropping off for the remainder of the prep (if any).
Extra Zero: Flemington Race 9 – 11th ($31):
Ok and needs further but I’ll be forgetting around this time of year.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Hulme: Flemington Race 2 – 4th ($61):
Went around huge odds after gapping them on debut at Wodonga. That debut win was somewhat surprising given the colt was sent out at $8 in a field of only 6 (including a $1.40 favourite). However, he has certainly validified his class after bolting home from a mile back (last at the 400m) to finish 4th, beaten only 2.45L by Royal Symphony. Will be winning a race in town soon.
Where to Next? 3YO 1400m-1600m at listed level.
Scales of Justice: Flemington Race 4 – 2nd ($4.80):
Was money around for the classy WA galloper after $6 was offered on game day. He looked immaculate in the yard, an absolute beast and ran up to those looks. Came changing waywardly down the middle of the track (initially) to miss Redkirk Warrior by 2.5L. He arguably brings best WA credentials over the east (never missed a place!) we have seen in a while and will only improve out in distance. He looks a genuine Group 1 contender.
Where to Next? Could back-up into the Sir Rupert Clark Stakes Caulfield 1400m 01/10.