Hawkesbury is the midweek provincial venue for NSW racing, quite small fields throughout the day make it tough to find value. But there are eight winners to find. Track will be in the good range and the rail is +3m 1000m-800m, +5m 800m-W/Post, True Remainder.
QUADDIES (races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 3,4 - 5,8 - 6,9 - 1,4
Wide Play: 3,4,9 - 3,5,8,10 - 6,9,13 - 1,2,3,4
BEST BET: R1 – 1. DARHAD
Next Best Bet: R4 – 6. CONNOISSEUR
Best Roughie: R2 – 4. CAVELLTON
No1 DARHAD (BEST BET) should just be winning this race. He ran home in super-fast time first-up (32.7 last 600m) and just missed there. He should be much fitter second-up and even with the big weight. Avdulla should just sit behind them here and prove too strong for them late.
No5 XAARFOXYLADY has trialled well enough coming into this and looks the exacta horse.
SCRATCEHD No4 MILITARY ACADEMY comes out of ok enough races last time in.
SCRATCEHD No2 DAMIT has trialled ok enough and is the next hope.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 MILITARY ACADEMY
No7 READY FOR LOVE comes out of a solid enough race on debut and found the line well there. With natural improvement she will run well.
No6 ARGEMONE was a touch poor first-up when really well backed. She should be fitter now and should be in the finish.
SCRATCEHD No5 DAMIT is also in R1, but has trialled well for this and looks better suited here.
No4 CAVELLTON (BEST ROUGHIE) is quite well bred and has been doing a solid enough job at the trials.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 CAVELLTON
No3 SAVAPINSKI was a very strong winner last start and did the job quite well. This is a weak race and she looks to get all on pace favors.
No2 ROGUE MISSILE has been going well enough as of late and finds quite a suitable race here.
No1 KELVINSIDE gets in well at the weights here after some good runs in better grade than this.
No4 BAYAMO comes out of a good race fresh and has trialled well between runs.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 KELVINSIDE
No6 CONNOISSEUR (NEXT BEST BET) has trialled in quite good fashion coming into the fresh run here and has been smartly placed by Cummings. His 3yos have been going to the provincials for a kill before taking on better races. This horse comes from quite good form and looks a progressive animal.
No4 ALL STAND has a good record and gets Shinn after a good trial.
No3 KNOTTED has won his last two starts quite well and in fast time.
No2 LATIN BOY has come back a better horse this time in and is on an upward spiral.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 KNOTTED
SCRATCEHD No3 FIFTH AFFAIR comes out of a good race last start behind Woman. The form should stand up and this is a lot weaker.
No4 PLEASANTRIES has been trialing well leading into a debut run and should be respected at home.
No7 CAPER was quite good on debut and should improve here.
No9 OXFORD BELLA was quite well backed upon resumption and didn’t have the best of luck. Fitter for that she should be in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 CAPER
No5 GRAND FINALIST won in impressive fashion first-up and ran super-fast time there. Should be fitter second up and looks progressive.
No8 FEIRIN gets in well at the weights after the claim and gets a soft run from barrier 1.
No3 ON THE SPOT looks a nice horse and was ok enough fresh, should be much fitter here.
No10 EL DORADO MINE looks to be well placed here and Cunningham has her horses flying.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 ON THE SPOT
No9 HISTORY REPEATS quickly jumps to the 1800m here, but looks as if it will suit here given the breeding. If she rolls along in front good luck catching her.
SCRATCHED No6 SHAOLIN KUNGFU has had a lot of chances, but finds a super weak race here and looks a chance again.
No13 UNDERGROUND closed off well last start and finds a weak race here and 1800m should suit.
No8 YAMAGEE comes across from NZ and NZ stayers should always be respected in Aus.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 UNDERGROUND
No3 CRIMSON HALO won well last start and that may well be the confidence boost that he needs to go to that next level.
No1 BON EQUUS just missed last start and has been going well enough as of late to be a chance here.
No2 TOKYO KING finished off well last start and should run well again here over 2100m.
No4 TOO CHIC gets in well at the weights for JVO here and has been looking for the step up in trip.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 TOO CHIC