Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 4.
Victoria’s premier trainer Darren Weir looks to have the best banker of the day in Kellstorm, who should continue on his merry winning way in Race 4.
With some showers forecast for Saturday the track after a few fine days the track should be superior to what it has been in recent weeks. It was rated as a Soft 5 on Thursday, but with a top of 27C for Friday it should dry. Saturday the forecast is for showers with a maximum of 19C. Pay to watch track rating on the day.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1,5 – 1,3 – 2,6 – 2,5,11
Wide Play: 1,2,4,5 – 1,3,5 – 2,4,6 – 2,3,5,11,12
BEST BET: R4 – 1. KELLSTORM
Next Best Bet: R7 – 6. MOSS ‘N’ DALE
Best Roughie: R5 – 8. PALE ALE
R1 – 12.46pm. Schweppes Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – 1000m.
No2 MONDO MAGIC has been consistent in this class and looks a good chance to break the ice. Latest he ran second over 1050m in a maiden here on September 9. Did hang and was buffeted about so had some excuses and has the experience of Jason Holder.
No6 HINCHIN MISS hails from the top stable of Phillip Stokes. She has been placed at both of her trials over 1000m here, the latest was finishing third on a Heavy 8 on September 8. Stable jockey Dom Tourneur takes the ride.
No3 SHARING SECRETS has been consistent without winning. Pay to overlook last start when he ran last of four over 1250m here on September 2. He drops back down to the bottom grade here on that start and is worth another look.
No4 ANNIFRID was finishing on well to claim second over 1050m at Balaklava on September 13. Gets top jockey Jamie Kah replacing a 3kg apprentice for her return to the city and has drawn okay in gate seven. Has appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 HINCHIN MISS
R2 – 1.21pm. Fleurieu Milk Company Handicap – 1000m.
No5 SHOWPERO scored a soft win over 1100m here on September 9. Romped home by 2½ lengths against her own sex and is back against the males here. She gets a gear change with a tongue control bit going on for the first time.
No1 CASHED was working home well to claim third over 1050m at Balaklava on September 13. That was a good effort as he kept finding the line. He was ridden by top Perth jockey William Pike that day and gets 2kg junior Dylan Caboshe drops his weight to 58.5kg.
No6 EVIL DREAMS has been honest but keeps finding one better on the day. Latest he chased hard top be beaten ¾ length by Certain Ellie over 1000m here on September 2. Victor Wong’s 3kg claim drops his weight to 51kg.
No2 BOGGOMS has a perfect second-up record and expect improvement on his first-up sixth over 1200m here on September 9. Had to work his way through traffic last time and drawn eight this time around should be in the clear.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 CASHED
R3 – 1.56pm. Sky - ATA Trainers Trust Handicap – 1950m.
No9 OUT OF ITALY drops a massive 4.5kg to 54kg here on his last start 2 length eighth over 1600m at Pakenham on September 12. He gets Adelaide’s top jockey Jamie Kah to ride from barrier five and is having his third start back from a spell.
No1 OUR BOY NICHOLAS kept on grinding away when finishing fifth over 1950m here on September 9. He did have some excuses in running when he got right back to last. Raquel Clark’s 2kg claim drops his weight to 58.5kg.
No7 TIME ROGUE broke his maiden two starts ago at Balaklava. Latest he ran solidly to be cut out of second place over 1600m at Strathalbyn on September 6. Senior jockey Paul Gatt replaces a 3kg apprentice here.
No6 SO BELAFONTE sustained a long run out in front to break his maiden with a ½ length win over 2050m at Strathalbyn on September 6. He was backed into a $2.30 favourite that day and his prior form was rock solid. Makes appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 OUT OF ITALY
R4 – 2.36pm. The Alberton Hotel Handicap – 2400m.
No1 KELLSTORM (BEST BET) has been in blistering form with three fence pickets against his name. Smashed The Willybe by over 3 lengths last time here over 2500m on September 9. He was penalised 2.5kg, but with Melbourne apprentice Liam Riordan’s 3kg claim drops to 58 – a half-kilo less than he carried to victory a fortnight ago.
10 CRY IF I WANT TO comes to this track with a tenacious win over 2200m at Sale on September 10. He drops 3.5kg to the limit here on 54kg for his rise in class.
No6 THE WILLYBE has chased home two good Victorian stayers here at his past two starts. Chance.
No2 SLY ROMANCE is a Moonee Valley winner over 3000m four starts ago. Place claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 ALY ROMANCE
R5 – 3.16pm. UBET Handicap – 1250m.
No1 FURSA drops in class here on his last start when chased steadily to run sixth to Mr Sneaky over 1200m at Caulfield on September 2. Trainer Darren weir has booked 3kg apprentice Liam Riordan to reduce his impost to 56.5kg.
No4 WASABI BOB resumed with a solid fifth over 1200m here on September 9. He has drawn perfectly in gate three and he drops a half-kilo to 58kg with leading jockey Clare Lindop to ride. Can improve and looms as one of the better chances.
No8 PALE ALE (BEST ROUGHIE) made a good return to run second to France’s Boy over 1200m here on September 9. Gets a change of rider with Paul Gatt taking the reins and if he repeats his first-up effort he can make a show here.
No5 WEATHER CHANNEL was caught deep and ran on okay to run seventh over 1250m here on September 2. Has been freshened for this and would go on his previous second here over 1200m when he worked home strongly.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 PALE ALE
R6 – 3.56pm. Holdfast Insurance Handicap – 1550m.
No1 MAIL IT IN has the blinkers going back on here. Struck a high grade field when finishing 10th at weight-for-age in the Penny Edition (1400m) here on September 2. Should appreciate the drop in class and Raquel Clark’s 2kg claim drops his weight to 58kg.
No6 BLACK SHEEP has apprentice Liam Riordan’s 3kg claim to drop his weight to 51kg. He has shown ability and drops 7.5kg on his last start sixth over 1600m hereon August 26. He is from the stables of Darren Weir who has been dominating Adelaide racing.
No3 OUR BOTTINO took the lead but faded when finishing 14th over 1400m at Caulfield on September 2. He faced a big field that day and his first-up record is most poor. Far superior second-up record of a win and two placings at four starts.
No2 IT AND A BIT ran a fair eighth first up over 1200m here on September 9. He has a far superior second-up record of two wins and two placings at six starts. He has drawn perfectly in gate two and he can sharpen here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 MAIL IT IN
R7 – 4.36pm. Hughes Limousines Handicap – 1300m.
No6 MOSS ‘N’ DALE (NEXT BEST BET) underlined he was primed for this with a smart win in a 990m trial at Cranbourne on September 18. He was an odds-on favourite when going down to Brown Ben over 1400m here on August 8. Jack Martin’s 3kg claim drops his weight to 54.5kg. That is 3.5kg less than he carried last time out.
No4 GO THE JOURNEY has been a model of consistency and looms as the main danger.
No2 CHAMOIS ROAD is chasing a hat-trick here. Form has been first class and worthy opponent.
No9 SMACKDOWN has no weight and should find this easier than at his last start.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 CHAMOIS ROAD
R8 – 5.10pm. Spring Carnival 21 Oct - 7 Nov Handicap – 1400m.
No11 FREEDOM ROAD has been most reliable and ran a fighting second over 1500m on a bog track at Gawler on August 9. She has been freshened for this and will appreciate racing on top of the ground. Drops 1.5kg to 55.5kg.
No2 MAI SHINY CHOICE was well liked at $8 when finishing a solid eighth to Stone Warrior over 1400m at Sandown on September 6. He gets top Adelaide jockey Dom Tourneur to ride here and has drawn ideally in three.
No3 FULLY STOKED has the blinkers removed and the tongue-tie goes on. Hails from the top Adelaide stable of Phillip Stokes and would forgive his last start ninth over 1100m here on August 26. In-form apprentice Emily Finnegan’s 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 57kg.
No6 YOUBETCHA won two in a row in the provincial before finishing eighth over 14900m here on September 9. Dropped right out of proceedings that day and covered a lot of extra ground. With better luck comes into calculations.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 YOUBETCHA