Flemington (Wednesday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Flemington. Today’s best bet is in race 6.
In a rare occurrence racing will be at Flemington on Wednesday in September.
For punters looking to gain a line on the Victoria Derby and VRC Oaks there are two excellent “heats” of the females (Race 6) and males (Race 7) for them to watch with great interest.
The false rail is stretched right out to 14-metres and at this stage the track should be perfect rated as a Good 3. The day will be overcast but should be fine with a maximum of 23C forecast.
QUADDIES (races 5-6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 3,14 – 1,2 – 10 – 5,12
Wide Play: 3,9,14 – 1,2,3,7 – 7,10,11 – 2,5,9,12
BEST BET: R6 – 1. ANCHOR BID
Next Best Bet: R7 – 10. TAVISTOCK ABBEY
Best Roughie: R8 – 14. TOY BOY
R1 – 1.00pm. Star Of The Realm Handicap – 1630m.
No3 SILVERA resumed with a comfortable win over 1400m at Morphettville on September 16. Gets top Adelaide jockey Jamie Kah to ride here at his return to Flemington and drops a kilo to 58kg. The stable is running very hot.
No11 FREE WILLY with apprentice Chelsea Hall’s 3kg claim will carry no weight on 51kg. Seasoned campaigner who comes here with a good win over 1600m at Swan Hill on September 15. Has speed and should be prominent.
No6 STONE WARRIOR fought hard to obtain a narrow win over 1400m at Sandown on September 14. Carried 57.5kg that day and down to 56kg and Daniel Moor keeps the mount. Second-up record is not as good as first-up but would respect.
No1 VIOLATE with apprentice Jordan Turner’s 1.5kg claim will carry 57.5kg. He drops significantly in class on his eighth in the Sofitel (1400m) here on September 16. This is his third start back from a spell and is primed.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 VIOLATE
R2 – 1.35pm. Rose Of May Handicap – 1400m.
No12 MISS BELISA is an Adelaide filly making her Victorian debut. Looked very smart with her win 1100m at Morphettville on September 9. She coasted to a 2½ length win that day and gets experienced jockey Dean Yendall to ride.
No15 SUPER SNOB scored a slashing maiden win over 1400m at Wangaratta on September 19. She romped home by 4½ lengths that day and she has drawn the rail for her debut at Flemington. If she gets a start is worth strong calculations.
SCRATCHED No2 EXPERIMENTATION has the winkers coming off and a cross-over noseband going on. She was a hot $2.15 favourite when she ran away to a 4¼ length win in a 1200m 3yr maiden at Pakenham on September 5. Recently won a trial over 990m at Cranbourne. Ready.
SCRATCHED No13 MAHLANI raced against older mares when finishing a good second over 1300m at Bendigo on September 14. She chased hard that day and with Katelyn Mallyon to ride will again be in hot pursuit. The gate in 15 is a setback.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 MAHLANI
R3 – 2.10pm. Briseis Handicap – 1800m.
No2 BONUS D’ORO posted a hat-trick before finishing sound fourth over 1600m at Bendigo on September 14. She gets top apprentice Ben Allen to ride and his 1.5kg claim drops her weight to a comfortable 54.5kg.
No5 GOLD BLUSH can give trainer Darren Weir the quinella here off her last-start win over 1530m at Geelong on September 17. She pulled away to score a comfortable 3½ length win against her own sex that day. Strikes similar opposition here.
No4 FALIKA drove home late to run second over 1500m at Mornington on September 15. She drops 2kg here and gets a change of rider with the experienced Mark Zahra on top. Has been a model of consistency and rates highly.
No6 GROOVIN’ has won two of her past three starts. Latest she fought hard in a busy finish to win over 1600m at Bendigo on September 1. Michael Walker again rides but she is not as well drawn and must cross from gate 13.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 GROOVIN’
R4 – 2.45pm. Have You RSVP'd Handicap – 1000m.
No2 OSCIETRA was an imposing winner on the synthetic over 1000m at Geelong first up on August 11. She did run a top second down the straight 1000m here for the first time last January. She will carry 56.5kg with the 3kg claim of the apprentice.
No8 DIVINE MESSENGER with Ethan Brown’s 3kg claim will carry 55.5kg. She resumed from a spell with a strong second in a busy finish over 1000m at Mornington on September 13. She should be fitter for the effort and would respect.
No9 FAITH IN HAND found the winner too strong but did not give up the chase when running second over 1050m at Sale at her last start on May 17. She gets top jockey Dwayne Dunn to ride here and has a sound first-up record.
No6 MARIA ELISA compounded at her last start to finish eighth over 1050m in a Listed race at Morphettville on May 6. That was only her second start and she did win well at her debut at Moe. One to keep safe here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 MARIA ELISA
R5 – 3.20pm. Martini-Henry Handicap – 1400m.
No14 MANDALAY BAY has the blinkers removed here. Gave a great sight first-up to run second over 1300m at Sandown on September 13. Has drawn a smidge wide in 11, but gets Mark Zahra to steer and has an excellent second-up record.
SCRATCHED No12 SWEET PERFUME has not put a hoof wrong and has good claims on her last-start second over 1300m at Swan hill on September 15. Has top jockey Michael Walker to guide from a wide gate in 16. Barrier is the setback.
No9 TAHI has won and ran second at two starts. Latest was beaten narrowly down the straight 1100m here on July 22. Resumes from a 67-day break and with Taylor Marshall’s 2kg claim will carry 59kg in this high-weight race.
SCRATCHED No3 HONOURABLE TYCOON with Ethan Brown’s 3kg claim his weight is down to 59kg. Latest he fought hard to post a narrow win as a $4.40 favourite over 1400m at Wangaratta on September 19. Country form is top shelf.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 HONOURABLE TYCOON
R6 – 3.55pm. Kennedy Oaks Trial – 1800m.
No1 ANCHOR BID (BEST BET) was super impressive at her resumption when a fighting winner over 1600m at Bendigo on September 14 against her own age and sex. She will strip fitter for the outing and has senior jockey Mark Zahra replacing a 3kg apprentice for her trial into the VRC Oaks. Expect a very bold showing again.
No3 THINK DIAMONDS fought tooth and nail to run a close second to Anchor Bid. Has appeal.
No7 PINOT will be out to extract revenge on Anchor Bid here. Good chance.
No2 PRINCESS TITANIC was an impressive maiden winner who takes the next step in a class field.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 PRINCESS TITANIC
R7 – 4.30pm. AAMI Victoria Derby Trial – 1800m.
No10 TAVISTOCK ABBEY (NEXT BEST BET) staked his claim for the Victoria Derby with a stunning win over 1600m in a maiden at Bendigo on September 14. He raced away to a 3¾ length win that day at the long odds of $21. He won’t be anywhere near those odds here and has the experienced Luke Currie to again guide. Makes strong appeal
No3 ABERRO should be suited by the rise in distance and is one of the main hopes.
No11 DANTE ROSSETTI impressively won his maiden at Kembla Grange last start. Rates well.
No7 MAIN STAGE comes here from a soft maiden win at Kilmore as an odds-on favourite.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 DANTE ROSSETTI
R8 – 5.05pm. Wallace Handicap – 1100m.
No12 SAVAJU underlined that she was on song for a big effort with a good second over 800m in a trial at Wodonga on September 12. With apprentice Mitchell Aitken’s 3kg claim her weight is down to 55.5kg in a high-weight race.
No5 BORD DE GAIN has a perfect fresh record of one start for one win. Gets the experienced apprentice Ben Thompson to ride and his 1.5kg claim drops his weight to a more comfortable 58kg. Has drawn ideally on the rail.
SCRATCHED No14 TOY BOY (BEST ROUGHIE) launched his campaign with a strong third over 1000m at Sandown on August 23. Gets top jockey Dwayne Dunn to partner here for his first attempt down the straight at Flemington. Has finished inside the money at three of his four starts.
SCRATCHED No15 CANELO was an excellent winner at Donald two starts ago before finishing a strong third over 1200m at Seymour on September 7. This is his first time down the straight at Flemington but has drawn near the rail in four.
VALUE RUNNER: No14 TOY BOY