Mornington (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Mornington. Today’s best bet is in race 6.
Mornington gets to host its second meeting for the month (September 13) with an eight-race card.
The false rail will be at four metres after the rail was at the True Position last time. With rain forecast on Friday and Saturday would expect a major downgrade on the Good 4 billed on Thursday.
It is going to be icy cold too with the maximum on Saturday predicted to reach only 13C after a high of 16C on Friday.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 9,12 – 2 – 1,5 – 2,7
Wide Play: 6,9,12 – 2,8 – 1,2,4,5 – 1,2,6,7
BEST BET: R6 – 2. KILLARNEY KID
Next Best Bet: R7 – 1. SEA THE SPARKLE
Best Roughie: R5 – 2. AJANI
R1 – 12.35pm. Eliza Dry Cleaners Handicap – 1500m.
No1 EMOJI has been knocking on the door and looks a good chance to break through here. Latest ran a strong third over 1509m at Moonee Valley on September 9. Gets 3kg off with the claim of apprentice Ethan Brown and carries 59kg.
No7 BIG PHIL posted a brilliant win over 1421m at Geelong on September 3 as a warm $2.90 favourite. Was well-backed that day and drops a kilo to 58kg here. Gets Beau Mertens replacing Nikita Beriman and warrants.
No4 BEACH LIFE with the 3kg claim of apprentice Jack Martin will carry 56.5kg. Has won two of past six starts including a last start win over 1530m at Geelong on September 17. With Martin’s claim drops 1.5kg on his last win.
SCRATCHED No6 LIGHT ‘N’ FIRE has won or been placed at six of last seven starts. Was in a busy finish when ran third over 1400m at Cranbourne on September 20. He is on the quick back up but again has top jockey John Allen to steer.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 EMOJI
R2 – 1.10pm. Jack Dow Memorial – 2025m.
No2 ANDREA MANTEGNA is an import with top trainer Darren Weir and was well backed last start before finishing sixth over 2000m here on September 13. Weir has gone for Ethan Brown’s 3kg claim to reduce his weight to 56kg.
No7 UBIN THUNDERSTRUCK had to fight tooth and nail to win over 2400m at Sandown on August 30. Trainer Darren Weir has booked apprentice Ben Allen to replace the suspended Craig Williams. He carries 54.5kg with Allen’s claim.
No4 SIN TO WIN has been as consistent as clockwork. Showed plenty of fight to finish second over 1800m at Caulfield on September 23. Faces a quick back up here and gets a riding change with Regan Bayliss the new rider.
SCRATCHED No6 LIKE THE CLAPPERS with Liam Roirdan’s 3kg claim will carry 54kg. Ran a close fourth over 2000m here on September 13. Carried 55.5kg that day so he gets a 1.5kg decrease here and he did finish off the race strongly last time.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 LIKE THE CLAPPERS
R3 – 1.45pm. Highview Accounting 3yr Handicap – 1000m.
No2 JE SUIS TYCOON was too good for his rivals when coasting to a comfortable win over 1000m at Warrnambool last May. Was turned out for a spell after that effort and with top jockey Regan Bayliss to ride will get every chance.
SCRATCHED No3 RIOLI made an excellent debut when posting a clever win over 1000m in a maiden at Sale on September 10. Ryan Maloney replaces Noel Callow here and he is raised in class, but he did show plenty of heart last time.
SCRATCHED No6 SO FAR SOKOOL is a former New Zealand galloper who made a solid Australian debut when finishing fourth against her own sex over 1000m at Sandown on August 30. She was well liked in betting that day and will be improved.
No4 TARCOOLA SPIRIT was elevated in class when she ran 11th in the Atlantic Jewel at Moonee Valley on September 9. She had won at her prior two starts in great style and can bounce back here strongly.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 TARCOOLA SPIRIT
R4 – 2.20pm. thebigscreencompany.com Handicap – 1000m.
SCRATCHED No8 SUPERHARD has been impressive notching two straight wins at his first two starts before faulting when finishing ninth over 1100m at Caulfield on September 23. He did not toss in the towel and battled on okay. Can redeem.
No10 I’M TOO HOT was supported into a $2.45 favourite before finishing sixth over 1100m at Seymour on September 7. Brandon Stockdale’s 2kg claim reduces his impost to a mere 53.5kg and has good prospects.
No5 JUST HIFALUTIN with Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim she will carry 55.5kg. She impressively won a trial over 800m on September 18. She coasted to the wire by 2.3 lengths and has an untarnished record fresh of one start for a win.
No3 DIVINE DICE ran a great second over 990m at Cranbourne in a trial on September 18. Former Queensland galloper who showed excellent form in the clockwise direction and regular rider Bridget Grylls rides first-up.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 I’M TOO HOT
R5 – 3.00pm. Dandino & Bombara Downs Handicap – 1200m.
No2 AJANI (BEST ROUGHIE) has the pace to race on the speed and fought hard when going down, finishing third over 1200m at Cranbourne on September 20. Struck a tough field that day and easier here. Great record second-up.
No9 TOY BOY has been most honest being placed at three of past four starts. Latest ran a good third over 1000m at Sandown on August 23. He is lightly raced and heap of upside. Gets a cosy run from gate six.
SCRATCHED No12 EXPERIMENTATION looks to be a good chance here on his outstanding 4.25 length win on the synthetic track at Pakenham over 1200m on September 3. Showed heart to win a trial over 990m at Cranbourne on September 18.
SCRATCHED No6 ANOTHER COLDIE was doing his best work at the finish when running sixth over 1200m at Cranbourne on September 20. With leading apprentice Ben Allen’s 1.5kg his weight is reduced to a comfortable 57.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 AJANI
R6 – 3.40pm. R.M. Ansett Classic – 2430m.
SCRATCHED No2 KILLARNEY KID (BEST BET) with the scratching of Gallante this bloke looks a strong chance. He plummets in class on his last-start eighth to Melbourne Cup winner Almandin over 2500m at Flemington on September 16. Group 1 winning rider John Allen rides here and the opposition is only light-weight compared to his recent starts.
No4 CHARLEVOIX faded last start against Almandin at Flemington. Gets a second chance here.
No8 KING WAY has been most consistent over the longer journeys on provincial tracks.
No5 SETTLER’S STONE is on the quick back up but will be rock hard. Has claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 KING WAY
R7 – 4.20pm. Mornington Auto Group Handicap – 1500m.
No1 SEA THE SPARKLE (NEXT BEST BET) gets top apprentice Ben Allen replacing the suspended Craig Williams. Allen’s 1.5kg claim will reduce her weight to 59.5kg here against her own sex. Latest she battled on well to finish eighth to Group 3 winner Samovare over 1600m at Moonee Valley on September 9. Down in class and is a strong chance.
SCRATCHED No10 HELLAVA BABE was finishing powerfully last start at Seymour. Good chance.
No 5 LADY SKILLS has been racing well on the synthetic tracks. Has claims.
No9 CEDAR GRANDE resuming from a spell and has a fair first-up record. Each-way chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 CEDAR GRANDE
R8 – 5.05pm. Total Animal Supplies Handicap – 1200m.
SCRATCHED No2 MODERN WONDER has Liam Riordan’s 3kg claim to reduce her impost to 58.5kg. She fought hard to go down narrowly when running second over 1121m at Geelong on September 3. She is back here from a three-week break and has strong claims.
No7 ITS TIME FOR MAGIC was having her second start back from a spell when finishing fifth as a hot $2.20 favourite to Smokin’ Bella over 1200m here on September 13. Gets a change of rider with Stephen Baster the new rider.
SCRATCHED No1 SMOKIN’ BELLA has apprentice Ethan Brown’s 3kg claim to help alleviate her weight rise. She will carry 59kg here after winning with 56kg here over 1200m on September 13. She has an excellent record at this track.
SCRATCHED No4 FILLE CHAMPAGNE had to dig deep to score a narrow win over 1400m at Sandown at her last start in December. She was given a soft time when running fifth over 800m at Cranbourne on September 18. Each-way.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 FILLE CHAMPAGNE