Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Randwick for Epsom day and what is probably now the number two day of the spring behind Everest day. We have nine races on the card and brilliant racing on offer, will we see the Golden Slipper winner in the first 2yo races of the season? Can Happy Clapper break-through for that Group 1 win he deserves? Will Chautauqua prove he is the horse to beat in the Everest. Rail True and the track will be good.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 1 – 1 – 1,6,9 - 4,8,10
Wide Play: 1,2,10 - 1,8,10,11 - 1,6,9 - 1,2,4,7,8,10,11,12
BEST BET: R7 – 1. HAPPY CLAPPER
Next Best Bet: R5 – 2. ALIZEE
Best Roughie: R9 – 8. SPRIGHT
R1 – 12.20pm. Arrowfield Breeders Plate - 1000m.
No1 BONDI looked to trial in very good order coming into the debut run here, he was ridden by Bowman in the trial. Yet Bowman goes with the Waller horse (see later) over this colt. From gate 3 he looks to get a good run just behind them and will fight out the finish.
No3 HIEMAL as all of these colts comes out of the Canterbury trials last Monday and clocked the quickest time of all the colts that morning. He looks as if he will jump and run from gate 1 which is a big advantage in the early 2yo races and Cummings has said this is one of the better 2yos he has.
No5 PERFORMER is the one that Bowman has chosen to go with over Bondi here, he sat off the speed in his trial and really worked through the line well and looked a colt of some promise. The way that Bowman has chosen here confuses me a touch, but from gate 2 I need to respect it.
No7 SANTOS will need to fly the gates and cross them quickly to have some chance here. He looks to be a very nice colt, but drawing gate 11 from the chute has me worried as he could be caught very wide early on and he may not know how to handle it on debut.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 BONDI
R2 – 12.55pm. Keeneland Gimcrack Stakes - 1000m.
No5 SATIN SLIPPER is bred to be a 2yo superstar by Pierro out of Satin Shoes and she showed above average ability at the trials at Canterbury running 54 flat for the trial, she looks to be a filly of some class and ability and draws a good gate for Bowman and should run well
No6 WITHERSPOON is brilliantly bred and ran the quickest time of the morning at the trials but has been dealt a blow here dealing barrier 16. Widdup is doing a good job with his horses and they must be respected if they are running.
No10 GREYT LOVE is bred to be a 2yo by her breeding and has trialled well coming into this, she has drawn a good gate and should sit just behind the speed here and if Collett gets a touch of luck straightening she will be in the finish.
No2 BOLD ARIAL looks as if she will jump and run from barrier 4 here, the trial coming into it was quite slick and typical of Gai’s she looks to be early runner and will set them alight.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 SATIN SLIPPER
R3 – 1.30pm. Schweppes Dulcify Quality - 1600m.
No2 SAMBRO was quite good second up against the older horses, he was just touched off by Fortensky who has since run well. He comes to what is essential a benchmark race and gets Moeria on here and should be in the finish.
No1 TANGLED was tipped on top on Wednesday against the older horses, but Waller elects to come here and gets Bowman on board, the big track and 1600m are all ticks and he looks to be a horse who may well be derby bound.
No7 ATARAXIA was solid enough last start when starting a short priced fav against some older horses at Warwick Farm. This is a step back in grade off that and third-up to 1600m he looks set to peak here.
SCRATCHED No3 HYPNOTIST is going ok enough this time in, three months ago I was certain he would be a derby player. But he seems to have been found out against some nice horses. Up to the mile and against a weaker lot here, maybe?
VALUE RUNNER: No1 TANGLED
R4 – 2.05pm. ILVE Appliances Hill Stakes - 1800m.
No4 MACKINTOSH finds Moreria here who has had a win on him in the past and has been looking as if he has wanted more ground this time in. The two runs haven’t been too bad, but he has come up very short here in a good enough race.
No10 PERFECT RHYME comes back to the scene of her best run when second in the Adrian Knox and the Oaks in the autumn. 1800m isn’t going to be an issue and she looks to have come back well. Clark stays on here which gives an extra vote of confidence.
No8 EMBLEY looks the likely leader here and is much better placed here than in the Epsom, the way he has been running through the line as of late suggests that the 1800m shoudn’t be too much of an issue and he will be hard to beat.
No6 SPECTROSCOPE has come to a race not many thought he would be in on this day, the way he was trialing suggested he would be in the Epsom and be in the market, but he has been running as if he has wanted more ground and gets that here.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 PERFECT RHYME
R5 – 2.40pm. Flight Stakes - 1600m.
No2 ALIZEE (NEXT BEST) given the way she won the lead up she should be winning this. She meets the same lot of fillies here and the way she was powering through the line suggests that 1600m isn’t going to be an issue at all, she looks to be fully fit finally and from gate 10, she is going to go back and come at them with one run and should be finishing over the top.
No1 CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES backs up again for the third week in a row and was quite good in the rose last week. 1600m is a question mark.
No3 ONE MORE HONEY has been screaming out for the 1600m and finally gets it here. Shinn should be able to sit closer form gate 2 and be in the finish.
No8 PANDEMONIUM will lead them up here and give sight. Moreria on adds to the confidence for backers.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 ONE MORE HONEY
R6 – 3.20pm. Santos Coffee Premiere Stakes - 1200m
No1 CHAUTAUQUA was utterly awesome first-up in a race that wasn’t run too suit, he ran to his pattern, got a mile back and powered home late, 50m after the finish he was in front. We all know his 1200m Randwick record, if he wins this, they won’t beat him in the Everest.
No10 IN HER TIME has been trialing up in good order coming into this preparation, she went to a new level last time in and just missed in the Stradbroke. The two trials she has been good and looks set up for a good fresh run to try and get into the Everest.
No7 BALL OF MUSCLE will do what Ball Of Muscle does and that is jump, run them along and try to break their hearts. He looks to have come back well and showed enough speed to lead Redzel last start and that takes some doing. Less pressure here and he will be hard to catch.
No2 CLEARLY INNOCENT could be the fly in the ointment here, his form is slightly left of field even though he did clash with In Her Time in the Stradbroke. He is another who is looking for an Everest spot and with his peak ratings, it would be no shock to see him sprint over them here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 CLEARLY INNOCENT
R7 – 4.00pm. TAB Epsom Handicap - 1600m.
No1 HAPPY CLAPPER (BEST BET) putting the bit in my teeth and saying he can’t lose this race! He has come back a better horse this time in with a big win in the Tramway and then making Winx work as hard as she ever has for a win in the George Main, back to handicap level would be a concern but this is not a vintage Epsom. His Randwick mile record is amazing, five starts for one win three Group 1 seconds and a fourth in this race last year. Go the clap!
No10 EGG TART has had some issues this week with an eye issue, but hasn’t missed any work. 51kgs on her back she will fly late.
No11 COMIN’ THROUGH gets the visors on first time here so he can see his competitors in the run. 2 strong wins this time in and gets Moerira on board. Hard to beat.
No8 ZANBAGH gets a 4.5kg swing on Foxplay from the Queen Of The Turf where she was second. The win at Newcastle was huge, she looks set to run a big race.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 ZANBAGH
R8 – 4.45pm. The Metropolitan - 2400m.
No1 LIBRAN smashed them in the leadup and although he brings a big SP from that race to here, you need to go through his form. 18 months ago he was the best stayer in Sydney before running on a lot of wet tracks which he detests. He gets good ground again Saturday look out.
No6 ANTONIO GIUSEPPE has been set for this race all along and has been poking along quite well to peak come this day, he was the runner up in this race last year and is a better horse now than he was then. 54.5kg on his back and out to a suitable trip, he is the main danger.
No9 LIFE LESS ORDINARY is the “weight” horse here as he drops to just 51kgs after carrying 55 last start and meeting all horses better off. The way he found the line there suggested that the 2400m was going to be much more suitable fourth-up. He is a winner over two miles in England so the distance isn’t a worry.
No10 FOUNDRY has to be respected coming from Lloyds stable and they don’t usually send one to Sydney for the sake of it. He is third-up from a year off and that doesn’t worry me too much due to the set up they have at Macedon lodge, think Almandin second up two weeks ago. 2400m is perfect.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ANTONIO GIUSEPPE
R9 – 5.25pm. Snitzel Sprint - 1200m.
No8 SPRIGHT (BEST ROUGHIE) has trialed in good style coming into this preparation here. She never seemed to be at her best last time in and that may have been because of the wet tracks / taking on the better horses. She gets to 1200m and a rock hard track which suits perfectly and gets a soft run.
No10 I THOUGHT SO was slaughtered last start simple as that, he jumped in front and was dragged back. Forgive that he should have won. If he brings his best form, like I said last start he could blow them away as he wants to be a horse now.
No4 TANGO RAIN is going to be much more suited on the three weeks break instead of 14 days like he was last start. He has come back in very good form and gets a great run of it from gate three and is the one that they need to chase down.
No12 DAGNY found the line well fresh and drops 3kgs for that and finds Moreria, the form around her is quite good and she should be able to be in the finish with no weight.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 SPRIGHT