Geelong (Wednesday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Geelong. Today’s best bet is in race 5.
This is a big meeting at Geelong and for a change the track should be firm after what was a wet early spring.
The going is rated as a Good 4 on Monday and with the weather forecast to be fine and in the low 20’s there should be no alterations. The false rail could have an affect being at nine metres and would pay to watch the early races to see if there is a pattern developing.
They are lowly maidens anyhow so can use as a guide to where the best position on the track is.
All in all an even meeting, with plenty of good chances and some talent shown amongst the newcomers and those racing fresh.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 5,7 – 1,7 – 1,4 – 5,6
Wide Play: 1,5,7,8 – 1,4,6,7 – 1,4,7,8 – 2,5,6,7
BEST BET: R5 – 3. MASTERING
Next Best Bet: R7 – 7. NINA’S BALLERINA
Best Roughie: R3 –5. CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE
R1 – 12.25pm. Roderick’s Insurance Brokers Maiden – 1755m.
No10 RIMRAAM has been a perennial bridesmaid finishing runner up at all of her four starts thus far. She gets her chance for an overdue win here following her close second to Albert’s Lass over1600m at Kilmore on September 9.
SCRATCHED No7 HEAVENLY THOUGHT hails from the leading stable of Darren Weir and pose a threat here following his fourth to the outstanding Tavistock Abbey over 15600m in a maiden at Bendigo on September 14. Excellent form for this.
No3 SUBUTAI has the in-form apprentice Taylor Marshall riding for Danny O’Brien and will carry 56.5kg with Marshall’s 2kg claim. Was first up and battled on well to run eighth over 1400m in a maiden at Sandown on September 6. Can improve.
No4 ZAPPING has not been seen since finishing a sound third over 2418m here on May 19. Appears a dour sort and with an English trainer in Archie Alexander the first-up assignment over 1755m should not be too daunting.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 ZAPPING
R2 – 1.00pm. Bet365 Maiden – 1240m.
No8 PATRIOT hails from the top stable of Team Snowden and with luck from gate nine fresh should be in the finish. He was kept in touch but put under no pressure when running eighth in a 740m trial at Randwick in late August. Watch.
No9 REGIS COMMAND underlined he was primed for a big debut assault with a strong second over 800m in a trial at Cranbourne on September 18. Was on a bog track that day and strikes firmer going here but should not be of concern.
No10 SILENT GENERAL has no trial form to note but will have been warmed up for this on the country racetracks by astute trainer Darren Weir. He has drawn perfectly in gate two to be prominent and suggest to keep an eye on the betting exchange.
No7 MR SO AND SO showed he was tuned for a big effort here with a strong win over 990m in a trial at Cranbourne on September 18. He hit a bog track that day and strikes dry conditions here but would not regard. Good claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 SILENT GENERAL
R3 – 1.35pm. Prestige Jayco Maiden – 1240m.
No9 ROYALE EFFORT finished just behind the winner with a strong effort over 1200m on the synthetic at Pakenham on September 12. He has performed on the synthetic here and has been on the hammer of the winner at his two starts this prep.
No3 SCALLOP Not the greatest name but he has been honest and can figure in the placings here on his last start fifth to Tenappy Ladies over 1300m maiden at Sandown on March 22. He goes well fresh and will be tuned up for this.
No2 MAXIMUS was still green when laying in but worked hard to the line when running a close second over 1200m in a maiden at Cranbourne on September 20 at debut. Gets the in-form Jamie Winks to ride here.
SCRATCHED No5 CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE (BEST ROUGHIE) is a stablemate to Scallop and a good second string for trainer Darren Weir. Was making headway from mid-field when running third over 1200m in a maiden back in May at Warracknabeal. Respect fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE
R4 – 2.10pm. Hylands Race Colours 3YO Fillies BM64 Handicap – 1340m.
No4 OUR CROWN MISTRESS appears a race in two here between four and two. This filly smashed her opposition for a soft win over 1200m in a maiden at Sale on September 10. Lacks nothing with Stephen Baster to ride.
No2 SIA she gave her best to run a close second over 1100m here on the synthetic on September 22. She has been on-song against better class at Flemington and this daughter of Fastnet Rock is poised to dual with four.
No3 STYLISH MISSILE showed plenty of fight to claw to a narrow win at her debut over 1100m in a maiden at Wodonga on September 11. Top jockey Luke Nolen is her new partner and is ready to party in a small field.
No1 CASARES showed abundant pace to lead and hold a good advantage at her debut over 1170m in a maiden at Wangaratta on September 19. She is bound to take benefit from the effort and the stable is hot.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 CASARES
R5 – 2.45pm. Geelong Homes Class 1 Handicap – 1140m.
No3 MASTERING (BEST BET) showed plenty of enthusiasm when a heavily backed winner at his debut over 1017m in a maiden at Moe on September 25. He tore away to a clear cut three-length margin and with Michael Dee riding at 57kg – which is a kilo more – he can show his opposition another set of clean heels here.
SCRATCHED No2 HOCHADEL has plenty of room for further improvement and would respect here.
No7 SOCIAL STATUS was an excellent winner against her own sex two starts ago. Commands thought.
No4 PURE EMOTION big run last start last prep at Caulfield. Goes well fresh and makes appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 SOCIAL STATUS
R6 – 3.20pm. IGA Liquor Handicap – 1755m.
No7 SORENATA can reel off a good finish here and makes strong claims on her half-length second to Dry Biscuit over 1717m at Sale on September 10. Top Kiwi born jockey Michael Walker keeps the mount and from six she gets a cosy run.
No5 CITRUS WISH ran a great second over 2000m at her last start at Mornington on September 13. She won at Cranbourne at her previous start and with Liam Riordan’s 1.5kg allowance she will carry a mere 55.5kg.
No11 CASINO BLITZ if he gets into the field from his position as first emergency is worth noting on his last start closing third over 1600m at Pakenham on the synthetic on September 12. Jye McNeil replaces Jordan Childs.
No1 SKULLDUGGERY plummets in class here on his last start 12th to Sin To Win over 1800m at Caulfield on September 23. He had less luck than Ned Kelly that day when checked and tramped deep for most of the journey. Keep in mind.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 SKULLDUGGERY
R7 – 3.55pm. J T Dixon F&M Handicap – 1240m.
No7 NINA’S BALLERINA (NEXT BEST BET) is dropping in class on her most recent form where she performed well at stakes class after winning her maiden over 1100m at Bendigo last autumn. She ran a solid fourth in an 800m trial at Cranbourne on September 18 and goes very well fresh with a win and a second at her two starts.
No1 SWEET PERFUME cannot fault her form of late and will again figure highly.
No4 EL QUESTRO won her maiden at her second start at Bendigo last time out. Has appeal.
No6 MIALIGN has finished inside the money at four of her five starts. Hard to ignore.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 MIALIGN
R8 – 4.30pm. Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers BM64 Handicap – 1540m.
No1 LAUGHING HEIR has won twice and been placed twice at his four starts. Struck two smart types when running a strong third over 1400m at Ballarat on September 24. Was held up tight along the fence that day and good chance.
No8 MISS ADEQUATE has been freshened up for this with a three-week gap between starts. Latest she ran a good third over 1300m against her own sex at Bendigo on September 14. Barrier 10 is the drawback.
No3 MUSEE DES ARTS he finished hard to run a close second over 1300m first up at Cranbourne on September 20. He is bound to take benefit from that effort and has finished in the money four times from his six starts.
No4 SWEET TASTE dashed to the front and made a race of it finishing a close second over 1400m at Casterton on September 14. With top apprentice Beau Mertens riding for his father Peter and drawn perfectly in four would respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 SWEET TASTE
R9 – 5.05pm. Next Stop Cup Day 25/10 BM70 Handicap – 1340m.
No5 RIB EYE made an explosive return to the racetrack with a brilliant first-up win over 1200m on the synthetic track here on September 22. Gets top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride and strikes an open field here second-up.
No2 ESCHIELE underlined he was tuned for a big first-up outing with a strong win over 990m in a trial at Cranbourne on September 18. Daniel Moor keeps the race ride and he has an excellent first-up record of a win and a placing at three starts.
SCRATCHED No14 POPOVICH has a rock solid first-up record and showed he was finely tuned for this with a narrow second in a 990m trial at Cranbourne on September 18. He gets experience rider Ryan Maloney to partner and respect.
No6 COSTA BOMB may pay to draw a line through her last start 12th over 1430m here on a bog track on September 17. Her prior form at Sandown and here was top class with wins over 1300m and 1200m and would not discard.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 RIB EYE