Horses to Follow – Saturday 30th September 2017
Our black book produced two winners over last weekend (SP’s $4.10 and $6.50) including a trifecta in the Thousand Guineas Prelude. A professional looking 2YO and a galloper who went around at $41 in a Group 1 join this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Foundation: Moonee Valley Race 5 – 12th ($5):
Despite running his best race in Australia up on speed they seem content to ride him right back. Dropping off.
She Will Reign: Moonee Valley Race 7 – 1st ($4.10):
Simply stunning performance. Finished over the top of them (defying the pattern) after being ridden a long way out. Following confidently.
Spectroscope: Randwick Race 4 – 5th ($6):
Race dominated by those on speed. Ran on well from the back but never a threat. Forgive.
Sense of Occasion: Randwick Race 4 – 8th ($7.50):
Needs it far wetter but still slightly disappointing considering the class he had on this field. Want to see him show something before getting back on.
Champagne Cuddles: Randwick Race 5 – 2nd ($3.80):
Cannot believe she’s gone win-less this prep with another second. She’ll go out now but I’ll be keen to see her next prep.
I Am Excited: Randwick Race 5 – 7th ($18):
Probably out of her depth at the elite grade. Still has a good group race in her next time in.
Comin’ Through: Randwick Race 7 6th ($11):
Made a sustained move around them from mid field which just told late. Still following.
Foxplay: Randwick Race 7 – 4th ($26):
Got motoring late to just miss third. Will be very hard to beat against her own sex at 1600-2000m.
Life Less Ordinary: Randwick Race 8 – 9th ($4.20F):
Went back and stayed there. Disappointing and forgetting now.
Destiny’s Kiss: Randwick Race 8 – 10th ($41):
Needs it wetter, especially in G1 company. Could be the end of a brilliant career for this 9YO.
Big Duke: Randwick Race 8 – 2nd ($5):
Improved greatly on the quick back up. Happy to be back in his camp now.
Odeon: Caulfield Race 4 – 10th ($19):
Just held his position when asked second up. Will be fitter for the run and looking for 2000m I’d say.
Booker: Caulfield Race 5 – 1st ($6.50):
Had the nice run in second and held off some very smart fillies to win. Not looking for 1600m I don’t think, so not following into Guineas but will be hard to beat at 1400m against the girls.
Shoals: Caulfield Race 5 – 2nd ($5.50):
Ran well from the back with race shape against. Still following.
Catchy: Caulfield Race 5 – 3rd ($1.95F):
Run like that of Shoals. Really looking for 1600m now, possibly even beyond in time. Following confidently, even against the boys
Scales of Justice: Caulfield Race 8 – 7th ($3.60):
Copped a significant bumping rounding the turn and shot off the track. Forgiving that run and continuing to follow.
Regal Monarch: Warwick Farm Race 4 – 4th ($17):
Plugged home well from the back to just miss third. Looking for even further than 2200m and will strip fitter for the run. Still following.
Great Glenn: Warwick Farm Race 7 – 8th ($13):
Snagged back to last from the outside gate. Came hard late once clear and was on the heels of the place getters once past the post. Will be keen once fit and out in trip.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Land of Plenty: Caulfield Race 8 – 8th ($41):
Sent around as a friend-less $41 chance and encountered a torrid run in transit. Was caught off the track for most of the run and pushed even wider coming around the home turn as Scales of Justice darted outwards.
The Stratum 4YO doesn’t have much of an appealing record, having only won a Geelong Maiden at his second start. However, he’s been mixing it in the top company for some time now and has been far from disgraced. Especially this preparation, flying home late last start to grab third in the G2 Bobbie Lewis. His latest run has confirmed this was no fluke. He’ll probably go around in the Toorak next time in, but he’s eligible for easier. If he drops back in class they won’t be beating him.
Where to Next? Likely G1 Toorak 1600m Caulfield 14/10 but would prefer in a G2/3.
Bondi: Randwick Race 1 – 2nd ($4.60):
The money was there late to suggest the trial winner would give a sight on debut, jumping at $4.60 after drifting out to as much as $6.50 on race morning. The son of Snitzel has looked a real professional both in his trial and first up, jumping nicely and relaxing in the run.
The times of the boys were far superior to the girls last weekend when assessing the Breeder’s Plate versus the Gimcrack. No excuses for not beating Performer home, but early two-year-old races can often be messy and following the professional types like Bondi is often a profitable option moving forward.
Where to Next? Open 2YO 1000m.