Moonee Valley (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Moonee Valley. Today’s best bet is in race 4.
There are no Group 1 races to highlight tonight’s card like the start of night racing here last Friday where the Group 1 Moir Stakes (1000m) was the showpiece. The false rail remains at the seven-metre position with a Good 3 forecast.
Last week the on-pace runners were suited with the rail at seven metres, so would expect the same to occur here. It is going to be an icy night with a minimum of 6C anticipated following a maximum of just 14C. The weather will be overcast but with no rain forecast.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 5,8 – 9,13 – 4,5 – 3,4
Wide Play: 5,8,10,11 – 2,9,1013 – 4,5,8,13 – 3,4,5,10
BEST BET: R4 – 11. SEVEN YEAR REWARD
Next Best Bet: R7– 5. PRINCETON SPIRIT
Best Roughie: R5 – 4. DANUKI
R1 – 6.30pm. Simpson Construction Plate – 1200m.
No2 CHOISBORDER showed he was teetering on a win with a close second over 1100m in a maiden at Ararat on September 26. He is a son of Choisir from the top stable of Darren Weir and has been placed second at his two starts thus far. Good chance here.
No7 SEIZED is capable of giving a forward showing fresh. Not raced since finishing fifth in the Listed Redoute’s Choice (1200m) at Caulfield on April 29. The colt gets the in-form Ben Melham to partner here and just needs to get an easy cross over from gate 11.
No9 BEQUEATHED showed good form at her debut to run a strong third over 1000m in a 3yo fillies maiden at Mornington on September 13. She gets stable jockey Regan Bayliss to partner and she is drawn on the inside rail. She should get a nice soft run from there and makes appeal.
SCRATCHED No10 PLATINUM ANGEL was first-up when she chased hard to finish third 1170m maiden at Wangaratta on September 19. With apprentice Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim her weight is reduced to a mere 54.5kg. She drops 2.5kg on her run when fresh and will be fitter.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 BEQUEATHED
R2 – 7.00pm. TSOLS TIPS Handicap – 2500m
No2 CHEQUERED FLAG has a sound record when racing fresh. Resuming here from a six-week spell after starting at a $1.60 favourite and finishing a close second in a 3200m hurdle on August 20. The son of Raise A Flag has performed well on the flat over the longer journeys and will carry 57kg with the claim.
No3 BLING DYNASTY was the $4 favourite when finishing second over 2447m at Geelong on September 17. Has been at the top of the betting at his most recent starts and drops 2kg to 57.5kg and gets senior rider Jordan Childs replacing a 3kg apprentice. Must rank.
No8 CRY IF I WANT TO is returning from a run in Adelaide where she finished strongly to run fifth over 2400m at Morphettville on September 23. She gets top jockey Damien Oliver to ride here and she only carries 55kg. She did win over 2200m at sale two starts ago. Good chance.
No7 KAWABATA has been consistent and rates as an each-way chance on his last-start fifth over 2247m at Geelong on September 17. Won over 2500m at Flemington five starts ago and with Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim will carry a mere 53.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 CRY IF I WANT TO
R3 – 7.30pm. 1PRINT Handicap – 1600m.
SCRATCHED No13 KAZIO with a good speed up in front he should get a nice cart along. He gets the in-form Luke Nolen to ride and he ran a fighting second over 1400m on the Synthetic track at Pakenham last start on September 21. He is an emergency but if he runs he will be hard to beat.
No6 ACCREDITATION should run a big race on his last-start third over 1600m at Sandown on September 6. With leading apprentice Ben Allen’s 1.5kg claim his impost is reduced to 57.5kg. This is his first time at The Valley, but he has been most reliable and would respect.
No4 MINOAN SPIRIT came off second best in a hard fought battle for the top prize over 1600m at Bendigo on September 14. Leading stable rider Brad Rawiller takes the ride on 59.5kg and he has finished in the money at three of his seven starts. He is a progressive type.
No3 JOLIE’S CAFE was outgunned by the winner Strong Hand over 1600m at Cranbourne on September 16. He fought hard and lost no admirers and the stallion gets senior rider Noel Callow replacing a 3kg apprentice here. Makes claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ACCREDITATION
R4 – 8.00pm. Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap – 1000m.
SCRATCHED No11 SEVEN YEAR REWARD (BEST BET) was an audacious seven-length winner at his debut over 1000m in a maiden on the synthetic at Geelong on September 22. He gets top jockey Dwayne Dunn to steer him across from gate 13. The son of Reward For Effort had won at his prior two barrier trials and he looks a top bet on the card.
No2 JOSE WALES is back racing in the city after some good efforts in the country.
No10 DUNGENESS showed she was tuned for a big effort with a flawless trial win.
No7 BILLABONG BABE races on the speed and because of that she is worth thinking about.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 BILLABONG BABE
R5 – 8.30pm. Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Heat 2 – 955m.
No5 MISS VISTA was scratched from here last week so she is ready. Showy mare who has speed to burn and from gate six she should get a nice run. Senior jockey Linda Meech rides the daughter of Show A Heart at her first start in 15 weeks and expect her to run a top race.
No10 MODERN WONDER is fresh for this resuming from a four-week break. Last start she beat all but the winner Winspot over 1121m at Geelong on September 3. She gets a nice drop in weight with Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim dropping her handicap to 54kg. Looms as a chance.
SCRATCHED No4 DANUKI (BEST ROUGHIE) has been placed at his three starts at this track and pay to give another chance on his last over 1200m at Caulfield on September 2. He gets top jockey Michael Walker to partner here and has the pace to be right on the speed. Each-way chance.
No8 CONCHITA is from the stable of leading Newcastle trainer Paul Perry who celebrated success at Flemington last Sunday. She struck a bog track when finishing fifth over 1100m at her last start in June. Perry has given her two trials in NSW where she has shone. Respect here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 DANUKI
R6 – 9.00pm. LF Sign Group Handicap – 1600m.
No13 COSMIC LIGHTS struck a bog track when finishing strongly to run fourth as a $4.20 favourite over 1430m at Geelong on September 17. Gets the experienced Daniel Stackhouse to ride and has been placed at his four starts at this track. Should be right on the speed.
No9 SEBRING DREAM has been placed third at her two starts at this track. She struck a strong field of mares when running fifth over 1400m at Caulfield on Seprtember 23. Ace jockey Damien Oliver is her new rider and she is ideally drawn in gate seven to be prominent. Can finish strongly.
No2 EBEDIYIN is a former Northern Hemisphere import who won well over 1509m here on September 9. That was the stallion’s first start in seven weeks. He was tried at the elite level at home in England, but was unsuccessful so his connections did have an opinion of him. Carries 59kg with the 1.5kg claim.
No5 VIOLATE ran a good third over 1630m at Flemington on September 17 when well liked in the betting at $3.40. He gets senior rider Jamie Winks replacing a 1.5kg claiming apprentice and he should be right on the speed. Winks has won on him in the past and is worth each-way thought at odds.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 VIOLATE
R7 – 9.30pm. Grosvenor Engineering Group Handicap – 1200m.
No5 PRINCETON SPIRIT (NEXT BEST BET) will be going all out to keep intact his unblemished record with a strike rate of two starts for two wins. The 4yr has fought hard to post narrow wins at Pakenham and Geelong and makes his debut here tonight. He will carry 58.5kg with the claim of the apprentice and he is from an astute stable.
SCRATCHED No4 POPOVICH looked good at a trial when a close second over 990m at Cranbourne on September 4.
No8 FANFARON is having his first start for a new stable but he did trial well at Cranbourne.
No10 HECTOPASCAL has an excellent record fresh and from the yard of top trainer Darren Weir.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 POPOVICH
R8 – 10.00pm. Chandler Macleod Handicap – 1000m.
No4 LOVE DAYS has a great record at this track with two starts for a win and a second. She is resuming here from a 35-week spell and she has shown heaps of dash fresh in the past with a first-up record of a win and a second at three starts. Top jockey Michael Walker rides. Good appeal.
SCRATCHED No5 OPEN HOUSE converted her excellent trial form on to the racetrack with a tigerish win over 1000m at Cranbourne on September 20. She does rise 1.5kg to 59.5kg but Jye McNeil keeps the mount and she has a sound record second-up. Barrier 13 is the setback.
SCRATCHED No13 BONNEY scored her break-through win at her last start over 975m in a maiden at Sale on September 15. Top jockey Linda Meech keeps the ride and she drops 1.5kg to 55kg here for her rise to city class. She has drawn perfectly in gate two to gain a soft run.
No3 DOC’S HERO has been in blistering form winning at her two starts this campaign at Pakenham. Latest she had to dig deep to win over 1000m on September 21. She gets top jockey Luke Nolen to ride again and from barrier four she should get a nice run in transit. Should be there.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 Bonney