Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 8.
Leading trainer Tony McEvoy appears set to dominate this eight-race card with a strong team of gallopers engaged on the program.
McEvoy has been reaping success on the Melbourne tracks lately and can kick off the new two-year-old season on a high with Crockett in the opening race.
The former stable foreman for David Hayes had an outstanding season with juveniles last year.
Would suggest punters to watch the stable closely as he is a great chance of winning the first three races.
The track will again be rain-affected with a forecast of a Soft 7 (Thursday). The rail will be out at nine metres. The weather forecast is for a warm day of a maximum of 26C after a balmy evening on 16C.
There will be cloud with some sunny periods.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 2,8 – 7 – 2,3 – 3,10
Wide Play: 2,8,9 – 6,7 – 1,2,3 – 1,3,8,10
BEST BET: R6 – 7. NODOUBTABOUTIT
Next Best Bet: R7 – 2. MOSS ‘N’ DALE
Best Roughie: R8 – 9. FREEDOM ROAD
R1 – 1.11pm. James Boag's Plate – 1000m.
No1 CROCKETT has shone at the gate trials winning over 800m here by 2.3 lengths on September 28. He is out of the Tony McEvoy yard so he will be well prepared for his debut in the first two-year-old race of the 2017-18 season in Adelaide. Top jockey Jamie Kah partners the All American colt.
No2 MORE THAN EXCEED ran a solid third to Crockett in an 800m trial here on September 28. That was his sole trial but he is from a top Adelaide yard and has leading jockey Dom Tourneur riding. Tourneur rode a treble on Wednesday so he is on fire and one to watch.
No5 TEQUILA TIME was working home well when finished a close third to Cotillion over 800m in a trial here on September 28. The son of Stratum is from the top stables of Leon Macdonald and Andrew Gluyas so he will be ready for his debut assignment. Stable rider Clare Lindop is on top.
No6 COTILLION has Victorian-based apprentice Jordan Turner riding her at his debut. She showed excellent acceleration to comfortably win her 800m trial here on September 28. Turner’s 1.5kg claim will drop her weight to 53kg – giving her a distinct weight advantage over the colts and geldings
VALUE RUNNER: No5 TEQUILA TIME
R2 – 1.46pm. Schweppes Handicap – 1300m
No2 ALL EEZ gives leading trainer Tony McEvoy a strong hand in the first two races on today’s card. He romped home to win by 3.3 lengths over 1300m at Balaklava on September 27. Jason Holder is the new rider and he only goes up a half-kilo to 58kg here. Should carry on with his good work.
No1 DOUBLE JEOPARDY has Victorian apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 2kg claim to reduce his impost to a comfortable 57kg. He was easy in betting at $5 before posting a smart win on the synthetic at Pakenham on September 21. That was over 1200m and was his maiden win. Respect.
No7 MISS BELISA was taken to Flemington last Wednesday week where she ran a steady eighth over 1400m on the Melbourne Cup course. She had won impressively at her prior start at this track over 1100m last month. Top jockey Joe Bowditch is on board.
No3 PASEETO is a stablemate to All Eez and has the blinkers being taken off for the first time. Was at double figure odds when finishing a sound third over 1500m in the Mornington Sires (1500m) last March. He won a trial over 1000m here on September 28 so he is ready to show fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 MISS BELISA
R3 – 2.21pm. Bazz's Bucks Show Handicap – 1250m.
No9 SET TO SPARKLE made a perfect debut despite a big betting drift out to $12 when streaking home to win by 1.3 lengths over 1200m in a maiden at Balaklava on September 13. Gives leading trainer a top hand in the first three races with ace Adelaide jockey Jamie Kah to steer.
No4 FULLY STOKED has the blinkers going back on and the tongue-tie coming off. The major gear changes are the result of his poor 11th here over 1400m on September 23. He is a multiple winner at this track and he can rebound with ace jockey Dom Tourneur replacing an apprentice.
No6 EMBECEE LIL motored home to post a convincing win over 1200m at Balaklava on September 23. That was her sixth start, but was her second win at her past three starts. She gets in nicely on the weights with a 2kg claim reducing her handicap to 55kg. Each-way hope.
No2 PALE ALE was a big drifter out to $21 last start but defied his odds to run a strong third over 1250m here on September 23. Don’t expect to get those odds again here after running two good seconds at this track at his two starts this campaign. Good prospects.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 FULLY STOKED
R4 – 2.56pm. Kitty Cat Pastoral Handicap – 1950m.
No7 EMMOOKI’S DASH has proven a model of consistency and gets his chance here on his last-start fourth in the Mindarrie-Halidon Cup (1800m) on September 17. He ran a steady third over this trip two starts ago and has a 4kg decrease in weight down to 54kg on his last start.
No5 KIRONA is on the quick back after running a good third in last Saturday’s Tokyo Cup (1800m) when at the rank outside odds of $81. No hope of getting those odds here as he looms as one of the better chances with senior rider Joe Bowditch to again ride him on the 54kg limit.
No8 STAR WARS came in for good support when backed into $5 before finishing a strong third over 1400m here on September 23. He gets the 2kg claim of apprentice Raquel Clark to decrease his weight to 52kg and from barrier one can give his rivals plenty of cheek here.
No3 TEMPS VOLEUR is a Victorian trained middle-distance runner who is hard as a rock. Victorian apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 2kg claim drops his weight to 53.5kg and this is easier than his seventh over 2400m here on September 23. Won here 2040m four starts ago.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 EMOOKI’S DASH
R5 – 3.31pm. Spring Carnival 21 Oct - 7 Nov Handicap – 1250m.
No9 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR hails from the top yard of Tony McEvoy and looked imposing when striding to a half-length win over 1000m here on September 28. Ace jockey Jamie Kah has the ride and he has an outstanding fresh record of two wins and a second at his three starts. Has no weight on 54kg.
No2 BOGGOMS was in a cluster finish when running second over 1000m here on September 23. He goes up a half-kilo to 59.5kg on that start. That was his second run back from a good spell and is now cherry ripe to put his best foot forward from a good draw in gate six.
No1 ASHDAM scored a good win over 1600m at Wodonga before finishing eighth over 1206m at Benella first up on September 29. He has a far superior second-up record and would expect a much bolder showing here. The 2kg claim drops his weight to a comfortable 57.5kg.
No8 SWORD OF JUSTICE is a Victorian-trained galloper brought across for this race. Had to dig very deep to post a narrow win over 1200m at his last start at Cranbourne on September 20. That was first-up from a 20-week spell and he should only be improved from the outing.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR
R6 – 4.11pm. Hughes Limousines Handicap – 1000m.
No7 NODOUBTABOUTIT (BEST BET) has a fantastic record of five wins at 12 starts. Boosted his scoresheet with another smart win over 1000m here on September 16. He carried 56.5kg that day and won by 1.7 lengths and he drops to 54kg here and gets top jockey Dom Tourneur to partner him. Looks a safe bet on the day.
No6 GET THE NOD showed plenty of dash but faded a little last start. Speed again.
No2 BAY ROAD was placed at a recent trial so he is primed first-up for this.
No3 USAIN DANE stablemate to Nodoubtaboutit and has each-way claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 USAIN DANE
R7 – 4.51pm. Ubet Handicap – 1400m.
No2 MOSS ‘N’ DALE (NEXT BEST BET) looks to get in well with the claim of apprentice Brandon Stockdale dropping his weight to 57.5kg here. He carried 54.5kg with the claim of Jack Martin to score a comfortable two-length win over 1300m here on September 23. That was first-up from a seven-week spell and will be hard to beat again.
No1 DAYTONA GREY found Moss ‘N’ Dale too slick at their last encounter when finishing a well-beaten third over 1300m here on September 23.
No3 CHAMOIS ROAD showed the way down the straight but was pounced upon by Moss ‘N’ Dale and had no answer to his brilliance.
No4 IT AND A BIT was making strong ground late to snatch second over 1550m here on September 23. There was a bit of money for him that day and he was only beaten by centimetres.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DAYTONA GREY
R8 – 5.30pm. The Junction Handicap – 1400m.
No10 MAZUREK racing with plenty of vigour and looms as a good chance here on his last-start win over 1400m on September 16. He dashed away to score comfortably by 1.8 lens and top jockey Jamie Kah rides again here. Carries the same weight on 55kg.
No3 SO SKILLED flashed home with a powerful run to win over 1250m here on September 23. He carried 56.5kg that day and jumps 2kg to 58.5kg here. He gets top jockey Joe Bowditch to ride again which is a plus. Should be able to cross comfortably from 10.
No1 SCRATCHY LASS gets Victorian apprentice Jordan Turner to ride and his 1.5kg claim reduces her weight to 58kg. She did not have a lot of luck last time when pushed wide and rattled home to finish fourth over 1200m here last Saturday. On the back up and respect.
No9 FREEDOM ROAD (BEST ROUGHIE) had some support when he got home to post an impressive win over 1400m here on September 23. He carried 55.5kg that day and he drops a half-kilo to 55kg here. He gets top rider Dom Tourneur as his new partner and is worth a look.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 FREEDOM ROAD