Horses to Follow – Saturday 14th October 2017
Two winners (SPs: $2.20, $14), including a $27.50 quinella came from our black book last weekend and this week we welcome a G1 winner who’s returned in style along with a luckless galloper who started at $21.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Big Duke: Randwick Race 6 – 1st ($2.20F):
Given a great ride by Avdulla as he charged up along the fence to win the St Ledger. He’ll be in contention for some good races in Melbourne, continuing to follow.
She Will Reign: Randwick Race 8 – 11th ($5.50):
Backers are entitled to be disappointed after a great run in transit and finding nothing. Undoubtedly flat after the brilliant first-up run. Not dropping off, especially back to her own age.
Redkirk Warrior: Randwick Race 8 – 10th ($11):
Perhaps he’s just not as dynamic around a bend or the Sydney way of going. Times did say track was good – so sting out couldn’t be blamed. Still following back to Melbourne.
Coldstone: Caulfield Race 5 – 4th ($31):
Good run at odds, though assisted by race shape. If he got more room in the straight he would’ve been right on the heels of the winners. Good return, will be keen next start.
Oregon’s Day: Caulfield Race 5 – 5th ($6):
Ridden upside down due to barrier and race/track pattern. Found herself 3-4 wide mid-field with no cover in a horror watch. Kept on stoutly despite the run, must forgive.
Duke of Brunswick: Caulfield Race 5 – 12th ($8):
Beaten by terrible draw and race shape, but probably entitled to give backers a bit more at the $8. Hesitantly giving one more.
Aloisia: Caulfield Race 6 – 1st ($14):
Admittedly received the absolute suck run up along the rails, but she was still soft on the line winning the G1 Thousand Guineas. Currently sits at $4 for the oaks which could be a steal. Following confidently.
Shoals: Caulfield Race 6 – 2nd ($4.40):
Set alight some way out with the blinkers on for the first time. Every chance and looks like the mile is her limit but she’ll will be competitive wherever she bobs up next. Still following.
Booker: Caulfield Race 6 – 6th ($7):
Had a great run, but 1600m was a query. Very disappointing upon first viewing but has since been found to have pulled up lame. Still following.
Catchy: Caulfield Race 8 – 3rd ($4.40F):
Looked a big hope coming into the straight after settling a bit closer than normal mid-field. Only stuck on to run 3rd by 1.3L. All things fair she’ll be hard to hold out against her own sex. Still following.
Comin’ Through: Caulfield Race 9 ($15th):
Wide no cover 5th in runner and was going backwards around the turn. Didn’t seem under riding at all in the straight with Jockey Michael Walker suggesting he needs the ultimate gear change. Won’t be backing until that happens.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Impending: Randwick Race 7 – 2nd ($7.50):
The last start G1 Stradbroke winner looks to have come back in fine form for the new look Godolphin operation. Punter’s took a fancy to the son on Lohnro, backing the 4YO into $7.50 after opening $9 despite the avalanche of money for the favourite and eventual winner In Her Time ($2.35).
Jumping from barrier 13 it took a Hugh Bowman gem to get Impending out after weaving through the field along the rails to just miss In Her Time by 0.2L. The closing 600m and 200m sections of this horse were low fliying, running 32.87s and 11.25s respectively. Looks to have come back in great order and may take out another G1 this prep.
Where to Next? Group Race 1300-1400m.
Lavendi: Caulfield Race 8 – 6th ($21):
He’s been solid running on from the back in both his two runs in town this prep. However last start in the Caulfield Guineas, he was given no hope. H up badly behind Al Passem and The Mission who were going nowhere, then checked at the 300m mark as jockey Anthony Darmanin tried to get him out.
Still found the line very despite all the trouble, doing well to finish only 3.75L off the winner. Given the hectic tempo of the race, you can be assured he runs a strong mile and will be placed typically well by the Gelagotis team.
Where to Next? 1600m G3 Carbine Club Stakes Flemington 04/11.