Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 2.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 20 Oct, 12:28 AM

 

Leading trainer Tony McEvoy has been absolutely dominating at Morphettville in recent weeks and he saddles another strong team here on this eight-race card.

He teams with leading Adelaide jockey Jamie Kah again. They are in striking form with the combination providing an extraordinary 30 per-cent strike-rate.

McEvoy can get off to a flying start out of the gate with strong claims to win the first three races.

The track is rated perfect for racing as a Good 4. The False Rail will be at the true position so racing should be fair.

 

QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)

Skinny Play:  4,12 – 6,7 – 2,3 – 5,7

Wide Play: 2,4,11,12 – 1,6,7 – 2,3,4 – 3,5,7

 

BEST BET: R2 – 1. MANUEL

Next Best Bet: R3 – 2. DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR

Best Roughie: R8 – 2. RAHEEBA

R1 – 1.06pm. Dominant Handicap – 1250m.

No5 FEDERAL COURT has the blinkers coming off and the visors going on. Battled away well enough to finish third over 1000m here on October 7. He strikes only four runners in opposition here and gets top jockey Joe Bowditch to ride. He goes up only a kilo to 55kg and the stable is running hot.

 

No4 CALL ME CURTIS has been placed at all six of his starts here but has yet to win. He has the pace to lead and he drops 3kg on the weight he carried to finish ninth last Saturday with the apprentice’s claim he is loaded on 53.5kg. From barrier two he gets a nice run on the rail and is a good chance.

 

No3 LAST BULLET was bumped several times before finishing fourth over 1200m here three weeks ago. He has won at this track and has the in-form Raquel Clark. Her 1.5kg claim will reduce his weight to 55.5kg and he has an excellent second up record. Pay to respect.

 

No2 TENERE is a veteran galloper who gets in nicely with the 2kg claim of the apprentice dropping his weight down to 58kg. He was given a soft trial when finishing third over 1000m at Gawler on October 10. He has a rock-solid first-up record and is worth keeping a close note on.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No2 TENERE

R2 – 1.41pm. Barry Simpson Handicap – 1400m.

No1 MANUEL (BEST BET) hails from the red hot yard of Tony McEvoy and looks poised to continue his winning streak here chasing a third straight victory. He was penalized 2kg to 60kg for his last win over 1200m here on October 14. But he gets ace Adelaide jockey Jamie Kah to ride from gate four.

 

No6 NIGHT BREEZE trialled well at Gawler and on that effort has each-way claims.

 

No5 EQUIDAME is likely to race on the pace and has good claims here.

 

No3 WANTED BY ALL the claim helps with his weight and can lead here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 NIGHT BREEZE

R3 – 2.16pm. Schweppes Handicap – 1400m.

No2 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR (NEXT BEST BET) can give leading trainer Tony McEvoy a race-to-race double. Returned from a spell with a stylish 2.3 length win over 1250m here on October 7. He goes up 3kg to 57kg here for that effort but he has the red hot Jamie Kah to ride. His second-up record is a win at two starts and expect another bold showing.

 

No1 NICCOCO has been freshened for this and likely to race on the speed.

 

No3 TYCOON QUEEN has a great record on this track and likely to improve on last-start fifth here.

 

No4 NIPPERKIN loves this track and is racing in excellent fashion. Makes good appeal.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 NIPPERKIN

R4 – 2.51pm. Happy Birthday Mum Handicap – 1400m.

No1 PASEETO converted his excellent trial from to the racetrack with an effortless first-up win over 1300m here on October 7. He goes up a kilo to 59kg for that performance, but top jockey Jamie Kah keeps the ride for leading trainer Tony McEvoy. McEvoy can win the first three races here.

 

No2 PHELPS GLORY gave a good effort to his trial but then proved disappointing when finishing seventh over 1050m here on September 30. He has been given a three-week break and with the apprentice’s 1.5kg claim carries 55.5kg. He will wear a tongue-tie for the first time.

 

No6 DEPLORABLE had to dig deep to post a ¾ length win over 1200m in a maiden at Strathhalbyn on October 8. That was first-up and only his second start so plenty of room for improvement. She gets top jockey Joe Bowditch to ride from gate three and has no weight on 54.5kg.

 

No4 DEXELATION with the apprentice’s 2kg claim will carry 54kg. Ran a fair fourth here three weeks ago over 1050m on September 30 and he won at his only other start in a maiden over 1200m at Strathhalbyn. The claim will help and he has plenty of room for improvement.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 DEXELATION

R5 – 3.26pm. AAMI Lucky Club Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – 1250m.

No12 LADY OF CREBILLY has been placed second at two of her three starts. Latest she ran home strongly to finish runner-up over 1100m in a maiden at Gawler on October 11. With the claim of Dylan Caboche will be loaded on 53.5kg and can overcome wide draw in 12.

 

No4 MADE IN RUSSIA the addition of blinkers and a lugging bit made the world of difference when he came out and blasted his opposition in a 1000m trial at Gawler on October 13. With top jockey Jamie Kah to ride and drawn well in gate five at his debut makes strong claims here.

 

No7 VERLANCO fought hard to run a close second over 1290m in a maiden at his debut at Mildura on October 3. Simon Price rides him again but he has not drawn so well in gate nine. The son of Magic Albert should take heed from his debut effort and is an each-way chance.

 

No5 OUT OF KILTER gave a good effort to run third at his only trial over 1000m at Gawler on October 13. He will wear a tongue-tie at debut here and has top jockey Joe Bowditch to partner. The gelding is from an astute stable and would watch the betting on him.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 VERLANCO

R6 – 4.11pm. Youngcare Grants Handicap – 1300m.

No7 EMBECEE LIL has won at two of her past four starts. Latest she ran strongly to finish second over 1250m here on October 7. Senior rider Todd Pannell gets to ride this time and she drops a kilo to 54kg, despite a senior rider replacing a 2kg apprentice. Good chance.

 

No6 FASTBROOK has won at two of her last five starts and has the blinkers replacing winkers for the first time here. She battled away okay when finishing ninth over 1340m at Geelong on October 4. Top Adelaide jockey Jason Holder is her new partner and would respect.

 

No8 MAZUREK won here two starts ago over 1400m in this type of class. Latest she had no luck when finishing a close sixth over 1400m here on October 7. Ace jockey Jamie Kah sticks and she drops a kilo to 54kg here. With a clear run in transit this time from gate seven she can figure.

 

No1 MODEL DRAGON is returning to the racetrack from a three-week break. Last start she ran home strongly to run fifth over 1200m here on September 30. Apprentice Dylan Caboche’s 2kg claim reduces her impost to 57kg.  That is only a kilo more than she carried last time out.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 MASUREK

R7 – 4.51pm. UBET Handicap – 1950m.

No3 VICTORY DOWNS has a fabulous record of two wins and three seconds at five starts this track. Latest he was checked and was a forgive me run when finishing seventh over 2050m in the Murtoa Cup on October 7. Has Jason Holder to ride and is suited in this class.

 

No2 KOURKAM has ace jockey Jamie Kah to ride and his winning strike-rate for Tony McEvoy is 30 per-cent. He ran a close sixth at $21 last start over 1800m in the Tokyo Cup here on September 30. He drops substantially in class hereon that start and is worth another chance.

 

No4 HAVE PLENTY collected two straight wins over this distance before finishing ninth in the Benella Cup (2046m) on September 29. With leading apprentice Raquel Clark’s 2kg claim has no weight on 52kg here. He has an outstanding record at this track and would forgive his last start.

 

No1 JIM’S JOURNEY was narrowly beaten by Brown Ben in a tussle for the Tokyo Cup (1800m) here last start on September 30. Dylan Caboche gets the ride here and his 2kg claim reduces his impost to 58.5kg. Has a good record in this class and is worth keeping most safe here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No1 JIM’S JOURNEY

R8 – 5.30pm. The Junction Handicap – 1250m.

No5 VONRASANA made an audacious debut with a 3.3 length win over 1355m in a maiden at Strathhalbyn back in April. Strikes stronger opposition here but Justin Potter keeps the ride and the 5yo gelding has drawn perfectly for his return in gate five. Will be right in the finish.

 

No7 ALL EEZ has been in excellent form and was beaten by a smart sprinter in Paseeto over 1300m here on October 7. He gave trainer Tony McEvoy the quinella that day and was a brilliant win in a maiden over 1300m at Balaklava at his previous start. Paul Gatt replaces Jason Holder now.

 

No2 RAHEEBA (BEST ROUGHIE) was caught very deep but kept on coming home when finishing fifth over 1600m here on September 30. Apprentice Siaryn Fawke keeps the ride and her 2kg claim drops his weight down to 57.5kg. He has been racing well without winning and looms as an each-way hope.

 

No3 MISS IDENTIFIED has Raquel Clark’s 2kg claim to reduce her impost to a more comfortable 56.5kg. Latest she ran home strong to post a 3.3 length win over 1200m at Gawler on October 11. She will need to cross from gate 11, which is a drawback, but must rate with claims.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No2 RAHEEBA

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