Horses to Follow – Saturday 28th October 2017
Another two winners came from our black book last week, including our early Oaks selection. A potential top line 3YO on times and a gutsy import join our ranks this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
All Too Soon – Randwick Race 1: 3rd ($5.50):
There was money around for the All Too Hard Filly, opening at $16 prior to scratching’s. It was a solid enough run, finishing 2L behind the smart looking winner Warranty. Looks a like she’ll relish 1600m and probably further. Will be waiting until she gets out to these distances before backing again.
Just Dreaming – Randwick Race 2: 2nd ($7):
Another one who was backed: $11-$7. Produced a much-improved performance after getting to her preferred leading role. The jump up to 1500m second-up told late, going down by less than 1L. This will provide an ideal platform, very keen on following.
Machinegun Jubs – Randwick Race 3: 6th ($9):
Plain first-up off a good trial. Perhaps she needs good despite a solid enough record on effected ground. Dropping off.
Great Glen – Randwick Race 7: 5th ($31):
Improved second-up despite finishing a long way off the winner. Got going late over the 2000m and stepping up further in distance with fitness on his side should suit.
Etymology – Randwick Race 9: 7th ($13):
Poor, even though soft tracks aren’t his go. Developing a non-winner’s record, jumping off now.
Oregon’s Day – Moonee Valley Race 5: 8th ($4.40):
Another unlucky forgive performance. Caught wide no-cover in the small field of 9 after drawing the outside. Considering if she can finally draw a marble.
Big Duke – Moonee Valley Race 6: 4th ($1.95):
Never got a look at them as a short-priced favourite – strung up for much of the short straight. Won’t be following into the Melbourne Cup, but a similar grade would suit.
Humidor – Moonee Valley Race 9: 2nd ($31):
Gave the racing world a heart attack when running Winx to within a length. Still a bit of an enigma, playing up in the yard but the blinkers improved him length. Hoping they work his manners out before trying him over the 3200m.
Aloisia – Moonee Valley Race 10: 1st ($3.10):
An absolutely dynamic win. Looked to have improved lengths in the yard and put them to the sword. Into $1.70 for the Oaks, good luck beating her there. Was $8 when we black booked her for that event.
Milwaukee – Sale Race 6: 1st ($8):
Sat up on the speed and put them away very nicely over the 1200m. 1400m second-up will be ideal, keen on following.
Coldstone – Sale Race 7: 4th ($13):
Solid effort second-up over the 1600m. Was doing his best work late on the back of a strong tempo. Stepping up in distance with fitness on his side will warrant consideration. Still following.
Jungle Edge – Sale Race 7: 5th ($18):
Set them alight up front, leading by 6L at one stage. Probably just not wet enough to mitigate the turn of foot of those behind him. Still going well enough to win if he finds a heavy surface.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
Eptimum – Moonee Valley Race 3: 1st ($11):
Developing into a very nice type, having won 3 on the trot now. He broke the clock in a Bendigo BM70 last time out when winning by 1.2L and went to a whole new level last start, waltzing in by 3L in a solid enough G3. On raw figures, he’s a live chance in a race like the G1 Coolmore.
He’s been installed as a $9 chance in the Magic Millions 3YO for next year after this emphatic win. Given he’s trained in QLD by the astute Toby Edmonds who mentioned post-race this was a long-term goal, this seems like a great bet if you’re a futures player.
Where to Next? Possibly the G1 Coolmore Stud Stakes 1200m (04/11), long term goal of the Magic Millions 3YO.
Folkswood – Moonee Valley Race 9: 3rd ($26):
It was a very pleasing run in a testing Cox Plate. The Charlie Appleby import looked gone prior to the turn after sitting in behind leader Gailo Chop as Bowman set them alight 1000m out on the champion mare. The intestinal fortitude this galloper showed to keep fighting and hold the rest of the field at bay by 1.5L was admirable given Winx broke her own track record.
He’s a very consistent type (exemplified by his record) with a great racing pattern. Should give followers a run for their money wherever he shows up next. The 2000m at Flemington in the Emirates looks like a great third-up target.
Where to Next? G1 Emirates Stakes 2000m (11/11).