This filly has simply jumped out of the ground in the past month is a deserved favourite for this. She caused a decent upset in winning the Thousand Guineas, knocking off Shoals and Catchy with the former going on to win the Myer Classic last week. Aloisia then handled the boys in the Vase at Moonee Valley on October 28. Has relished the jump up from 1600 metres to 2000 metres at her past couple of starts and the 2500 metres shouldn’t be a concern here. Is low flying!
The John Sargent-trained filly is seen as one of the only threats to Aloisia. Like the hot favourite, Luvaluva has really come to the attention of punters in the past few weeks where she ran second to boom colt Kaonic before coming from last to win the Wakeful last Saturday. Sargent knows how to win this race and the daughter of Mastercraftsman seems ready made for 2500 metres. Is likely to get back in the field though. Can she spot the favourite a start and beat her?
She is a very interesting runner and comes into this with strong form. Pinot led throughout to win the Ethereal Stakes (2000 metres) at her previous start while she was just as impressive coming off the speed to win the start before over 1800 metres. Has won or placed in four of her five starts and the stable of Waterhouse & Bott are flying, having recorded a double on Cup Day with Our Crown Mistress and Setsuna. Jockey Stephen Baster, who rides Pinot, was the winning hoop on both those horses.
BRING ME ROSES
Can she recover from her disappointing Wakeful effort last Saturday? Trainer Tony McEvoy is a genius and has taken the blinkers off for the first time after claiming she didn’t settle last time. She was brilliant in the Edward Manifold two starts ago. Forgive?
The daughter of High Chaparral will run a good race and at around the $18, could be worth an eachway bet. Has been knocking heads with Bring Me Roses, Pinot and Luvaluva at her past three starts and although running respectable races, not sure she has what it takes to beat all three of them this time and even if she does, it probably won’t be enough.
ALOISIA looks one of the bets of the Flemington Cup carnival but you are being asked to take extremely short odds. Either way, her last start victory by three-and-a-half lengths against the males was something to behold. That is good enough to win this. LUVALUVA is the obvious threat and will be charging home at the finish, while PINOT will run a big race too. The value for mine is with BRING ME ROSES and RIMRAAM but I don’t think they can beat Aloisia especially after having to back up after racing last week.