Hawkesbury for their usual Thursday meeting to support the Oaks card. The highlight is the Listed Ladies Day Cup, this used to be when they ran the Hawkesbury Cup. But it is a very nice race. Rain early in the week in Sydney, but sun since Tuesday and the rail is +3m 1300m-400m, True Remainder and we should be on a 4-5.
QUADDIES (races 5-6-7-8)
Skinny Play: 1,6 - 2,3 - 1.2 - 2,4
Wide Play: 1,6,7 - 1,2,3,4 - 1,2,5 - 2,3,4
BEST BET: R4 – 1. KATHAIRE
Next Best Bet: R1 – 5. SEINE NET
Best Roughie: R3 – 1. HURRICANE HARBOUR
No5 SEINE NET (NEXT BEST BET) finds, in the best way of saying it, an awful race. She started fav here two starts back against Melobia and that form has held up quite well. All she needs to be is fit enough to run the 1500m second-up and she will be winning this.
No4 FIDELE’S CHOICE was solid enough on debut and should be able to improve with the claim here.
No3 BLAME IT ON PARIS gets a good jockey change and that is the only positive I can find for it.
No1 BROOKE EXPRESS has the #1 saddlecloth and that’s as close it will get to being first.
VALUE RUNNER: No value
No1 ZAUNKONIG drops well in class here and is given a hit in the weights, but with T Angland on board that offsets that.
No3 CONCESSIONS always runs well at the home track and the distance is going to be no issue, not suited against bias last start.
No6 HAPPY PARTNER has been going well enough as of late and should run well yet again here.
No2 MEINER FRECCIA comes out of the same race as Zaunkonig last start and should run well again down in grade.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 HAPPY PARTNER
No4 KENNEDY resumes here off a very good trial leading in, there has always been a touch of a spruik on him. He may live up to it now.
No3 JUNGLIZED should improve at the second start from the spell, the form out of that race should hold up well.
No2 WESTON comes out of some good races last prep and won well before the spell. The trials have been good.
No1 HURRICANE HARBOUR (BEST ROUGHIE) has trialled in stylish fashion coming into the fresh run and he will be charging late.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 HURRICANE HARBOUR
No1 KATHAIRE (BEST BET) finds a very weak race here after coming through some good races in the first preparation. The trial leading in was quite good and the claim for Nutman – who has been riding well as of late helps here and she should be winning.
No9 ZEGOTA comes out of a good race on debut and the trial leading in was good enough.
No5 HEARTACHES has pretty average form in fairness, but has trialled well leading in.
No4 FINAL IMPULSE is yet to place, but comes out of some okay enough races in the first prep and the trial was good.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 HEARTACHES
No1 AUERBACH looks super hard to beat here off the debut run, the form out of that race has really held up and the trials have been nothing short of brilliant.
No6 I AM LEXUS has the good SP profile here and should improve second-up from a spell.
No7 LUCKY HADA was scratched out of a good race on Tuesday in preference to this and has been trialing well.
No11 MAWZOONA has let the punters down in her short career, but the trials coming in here have been solid.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 LUCKY HADA
No2 CHIEF KIDDER will start good each-way odds here and has been going quite well as of late and should run well.
*SCRATCHED* No3 BANNER SEASON comes out of a good race last start and should run well here.
No1 BEIJING BOARD was ok enough first-up, he hasn’t shown his UK ability as of yet, but if he does it could be a gap job.
No4 EL DORADO MINE will have the last shot at them here. Collett and Cunningham are quite a good combo and any race Clare runs one in, needs to be respected.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 EL DORADO MINE
No2 FABRIZIO resumes here and finds a race with not much pressure for him. He has a good fresh record and was a winner of the Cup in May. If he is wound up, game over.
No1 RED EXCITEMENT will probably take a sit here with the big weight, has he had enough? That’s the only worry.
No3 JAPONISME won the Coolmore two years ago and hasn’t won since, this is the weakest race he has run in ever.
No5 DUCA VALENTINOIS is ready to do something here third up. He is going well.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 JAPONISME
No2 RENEGED drops well in grade here and has won second-up before, he goes well for Tye and should run well.
No4 SO SPIRITED won in good fashion last start at Warwick Farm, he looks to be a very progressive type.
No3 OXFORD MAGIC has the SP profile here and gets a good weight claim for JVO here.
No5 OLD HABITS has ability on his day, but he is a bit of a thinker, if he puts it all together he can win.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 OLD HABITS