Emirates Stakes Day (Flemington) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Flemington. Today’s best bet is in race 7.
Wow, what a mighty week it has been with Joseph O’Brien at the tender age of 24 years winning the Melbourne Cup with Rekindling, giving owner Lloyd Williams his sixth Cup win.
O’Brien beat his father Aiden with Johannes Vermeer to become the youngest trainer to win the Cup.
The conclusion to a mammoth week of racing at the hollowed grounds at Flemington come to a close today with the running of the Group 1 Darley Classic (1200m) and Emirates Stakes (2000m).
Visiting Godolphin trainer Charlie Appleby chases a double in the Emirates with Folkswood, after his brilliant win in the Cranbourne Cup and third in the Cox Plate to Winx.
Appleby chases another double with Qewy in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, after he won the Bendigo Cup at his first start back in Australia at the start of this month.
The track is rated as a Good 3, but with rain forecast it could pay to see if it is downgraded.
Enjoy the final day of the Melbourne Cup carnival.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 2,10 – 1 – 7,15 – 3,4
Wide Play: 2,5,9,10 – 1,2,3,7 – 1,3,4,7,15 – 2,3,4,7
BEST BET: R7 – 1. CHAUTAUQUA
Next Best Bet: R8 – 7. FOLKSWOOD
Best Roughie: R2 – 10. KASTOR
R1 – 12.15pm. AAMI Maribyrnong Plate – 1000m.
No1 BIONICS will strip fitter for the start when finishing a strong second over 1000m at Moonee Valley on October 28. The in-form Chris Symons takes the reins from Kerrin McEvoy and from barrier 10 will go to the outside fence down the straight race here. Strong chance.
No4 ENCRYPTION was powering home at his debut to snatch third behind Qafila over 1000m at Caulfield at his debut on October 14. The colt gave a big effort and is bound to be improved on his first start. Damian Lane stays on board and from eight will head to the outside fence.
No3 RUN NAAN took the easier option and headed to Bendigo for his debut where he clawed to a narrow win in a busy finish over 1000m maiden on October 21. He was well fancied that day at $3.40 and is $26 here. Andrew Mallyon keeps the ride and would respect.
*SCRATCHED* No2 GRAND CHALLENGE has been well liked in the betting at his two starts. Latest he ran a solid third to Qalifa over 1000m at Moonee Valley on October 28. Melbourne Cup runner-up jockey Ben Melham is the new rider and he is now seasoned more then his counterparts. Has good claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 RUN NAAN
R2 – 12.50am. Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation Plate – 2000m.
No2 TARQUIN ran a great third in the Moe Cup (2050m) on October 19 when carrying 54kg. He goes up to 59.5kg here in lower grade and he gets ace Sydney jockey Hugh Bowman to ride. He likes the distance and can break through for an overdue win today in a mild field.
No5 HAVE PLENTY comes here boasting a great record at home with two wins and two seconds from his past four starts at Morphettville. He ran a fighting second to the hot shot Hussybay over 1950m at Morphettville last Saturday. He is on the quick back up but drops a kilo to 55kg. Commands respect.
No3 ONCIDIUM RULER hails from an astute punting stable and will be improved on his first up 11th over 1700m at Caulfield on October 18. He gets top apprentice Beau Mertens to ride and he drops a massive 3kg to 56.5kg. This is his distance range.
No10 KASTOR (BEST ROUGHIE) her form has been in the lower grades but she has been most consistent. She broke the ice with a tear-away 5 length win over 1950m at Yarra Valley on October 28. It was in a maiden, but she did spread eagle the field and comes to town against strong class. Worth merit on her form.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 KASTOR
R3 – 1.30pm. Melbourne’s Own 3AW Trophy – 1600m.
No1 FASTNET TEMPEST can build a strong case that he should have won the Sale Cup (1600m) at his Australian debut on October 29. He is an International visitor chasing air-fares here and with the blinkers going back on and top rider Kerrin McEvoy to steer commands respect.
No2 MAN OF HIS WORD is a Gold Coast galloper who ran a good sixth over 1400m at Randwick on October 28. He had no luck in the straight when blocked for a clear run and did a good job to finish where he did. He loves this distance but is having his first look at Flemington today.
No6 COLDSTONE chased steadily from midfield to run a handy fourth in the Sale Cup (1600m) on October 29. That looks to be a good form line for this race and it was only his second start back from a spell. He has drawn perfectly in gate four to be a force here.
No4 JACQUINOT BAY was not disgraced in the Group 1 Toorak Handicap when finishing ninth to Tosen Stardom in a hot race over the 1600m at Caulfield on October 21. He gets hot Sydney jockey Blake Shinn to ride for the in-form Team Hayes. He is seasoned at this track and makes a strong case.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 JACQUINOT BAY
R4 – 2.10pm. Sensis Digital Trophy – 1400m.
*SCRATCHED* No1 SUPPLY AND DEMAND was in outstanding form last campaign with wins at Grafton, Rosehill and the Sunshine Coast. He resumed with a close second over 1400m at Randwick on October 28. He does have a load on 61kg but the stable is running hot over Melbourne Cup week. Good chance.
No2 LORD ASPEN gets the South Australian born dual Melbourne Cup winning rider Kerrin McEvoy to ride this Adelaide galloper. He has been in excellent form at home scoring a boxing win over 1200m at Morphettville on October 28. He lumped 60kg that to victory and he drops a kilo to 59kg here.
No3 BASSETT copped a bad hold up before finishing a strong fifth over 1200m at Moonee Valley on October 27. He had no luck in transit that night and from barrier five should get a clearer run here. Beau Mertens keeps the ride on 58kg and is an each-way showing.
No6 DUKE OF BRUNSWICK was never on the track so he had a big excuse for his 12th in the Listed Weekend Hussler (1400m) at Caulfield on October 14. He has been freshened up for this assault and proven a most reliable galloper. He carries a nice weight on 55.5kg and keep safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 BASSETT
R5 – 2.50pm. Queen Elizabeth Stakes – 2600m.
No1 QEWY loves the Australian racing scene and returned to Victoria victorious in the Bendigo Cup (2400m) on November 1. Unfortunately with such a strong Melbourne Cup he copped the ballot and this is his chance for a consolation prize. Kerrin McEvoy won the Cranbourne Cup for the stable and rides him.
No3 KIWIA was storming home in the Bendigo Cup (2400m) but Qewy was too strong on the line. They clash again here with a 4kg gap in favour of Kiwia (55kg) compared to Qewy (59kg), but it is only a kilo better than in the Bendigo Cup. Looms as the main danger again here.
No6 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN gives champion trainer Darren Weir a strong chance here with stablemate Kiwia. He ran a great second in the Geelong Cup (2400m) on October 25 with 55kg on his back. He drops to 54kg here and top jockey Craig Williams is to keep the mount. He is a threat.
No5 COOL CHAP was held up at a pivotal stage before flashing into fifth to Who Shot Thebarman in the Moonee Valley Cup (2500m) at The Valley on October 28. He loves this track with a win and a second at three starts and with the experienced Dwayne Dunn to ride will be in the placings here.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 COOL CHAP
R6 – 3.30pm. 7News Matriarch Stakes – 2000m.
No2 PROMPT RESPONSE was plunged at big odds and was only swamped in the last strides when finishing fourth to 3yo Star Shoals in the Group 1 Myer Classic (1600m) here last Saturday. Top Sydney jockey Blake Shinn rides again and she has a superior alley in gate five compared to 13 last time out. Good chance in an open field.
*SCRATCHED* No6 FALIKA was far too good when sweeping to an easy win over 2040m at Moonee Valley on October 27. That was her third win on the trot after claiming a scalp over 2080m at Cranbourne and 1800m here. She drops 1.5kg to 55kg and gets top jockey Kerrin McEvoy to ride.
No9 TOKEN OF LOVE scored a brilliant win over 1900m against her own sex at Canterbury two starts ago. Latest she ran a strong second to Falika over 2040m at Moonee Valley on October 27. Has maintained an outstanding level against her own grade and commands strong respect here.
No10 SAVAPINSKI was fresh from a three-week break when she ran a good third to Lubiton in the Group 3 Tesio (1600m) At Moonee Valley on October 28. Her form has been first class with three wins and a second at her six starts and top Sydney jockey Brenton Avdulla rides on 55kg here.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 TOKEN OF LOVE
R7 – 4.10pm. Darley Classic – 1200m.
No1 CHAUTAUQUA (BEST BET) his scratching at the start of the Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley on October 27 caused a big stir in racing. He was heavily backed to win and many punters felt aggrieved when the vet scratched him. He is a specialist down the straight at Flemington with four wins three seconds and a third at eight starts. Gets his chance to extract revenge here.
No3 VEGA MAGIC not sure whether he has come back from the hard run in Sydney in The Everest where he looked a good thing beaten, finishing second to Redzel. His run in the Manikato was disappointing to run fifth.
No2 REDZEL has won at his past five starts including the $10 million Everest and is a strong chance.
No7 REDKIRK WARRIOR high-class sprinter who gets overlooked too much. He is unbeaten down the straight here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 REDKIRK WARRIOR
R8 – 4.55pm. Emirates Stakes – 2000m.
No7 FOLKSWOOD (NEXT BEST BET) scored a brilliant Australian debut win in the Cranbourne Cup (2025m) on October 15. He then ran out of his skin to run third to the champion mare Winx in the Cox Plate (2040m) at Moonee Valley on October 28. Trainer Charlie Appleby is a genius with his selections of horses to bring Down Under and he looks very hard to beat here on his exposed form.
No15 CLIFF’S EDGE is a top-class Victorian three-year-old and deserves his chance in open class here.
No1 HAPPY CLAPPER has been a fantastic competitor and is the Epsom Handicap champion.
No3 GAILO CHOP won the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes and ran fifth in the Cox Plate. Good credentials.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 HAPPY CLAPPER
R9 – 5.45pm. Emirates Airline Handicap – 1400m.
No3 TREKKING had to work hard early and was entitled to peak when running third to Eptimum in the Group 3 Red Anchor (1200m) at Moonee Valley on October 28. That was the colt’s first run in eight weeks and he will be improved. The winkers come off for this race.
No4 ANDAZ is down a few grades on his last-start eighth in the red hot Group 1 Coolmore Stakes (1200m) here on November 4. Trainer Chris Waller has the gelding on a quick back up, but he is much better suited here and gets ace Melbourne rider Ben Melham to guide.
No5 TAMASA comes to the big smoke with a polished record of two starts for two wins on country tracks. Top trainer Darren Weir believes his So You Think colt is ready for showtime racing after great wins at Warrnambool and Bendigo. This is the acid test.
No7 DOUBLE JEOPARDY the stable is red jot with a double on Melbourne Cup day at Flemington. He went down in a dog fight to Prepare To Win over 1300m at Cranbourne on October 15. He was strongly backed that day and has an excellent record of a win and three placings at six starts. Value at $21.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 DOUBLE JEOPARDY