Horses to Follow – Saturday 11th November 2017
In the huge week of racing that was, our black bookers record stood at 21: 4-5-5 and we’ve found a first-upper and a tough mare ready to run 3200m to follow.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners:
Land of Plenty – Flemington Race 3 (Tues): 2nd ($6):
Produced a good performance dropping back from group 2 grade. Didn’t look as excellent in the yard as he has previously. Still following if he sticks to benchmark grade.
Milwaukee – Flemington Race 3 (Tues): 3rd ($7.50):
Put into another solid performance as each way odds, settling right up on the pace. BM90 is about his grade but can be winning as some of the better gallops go for a spell. Still following.
Bandipur – Flemington Race 5 (Tues): 2nd ($8.50):
Another second at each-way odds for the ever-consistent type. Again, can be winning as some of the better 3YO’s go for a break. Still following.
Big Duke – Flemington Race 7 (Tues): 4th ($21):
Excellent run in the Cup. Easily the best performed out of the Aussie stayers. Still a 6YO so could be seen around this time next year. Following.
Humidor – Flemington Race 7 (Tues): 19th ($11):
Simply didn’t stay the 3200m. As previously stated, I believe he’s a top-shelf 2000m WFA horse. Once his mental issues are ironed out perhaps another crack. Following.
Odeon – Flemington Race 8 (Tues): 1st ($5.60) & Flemington Race 8 (Sat): 8th ($14):
Produced an arrogant win over 1800m by 2L on Cup day before he was out-classed in the G1 Mackinnon over 2000m. There was money around for the 4YO on Saturday and he ran a credible race only being beaten 2.5L. Have plenty of time for this galloper, still following.
White Moss – Flemington Race 10 (Tues): 12th ($3.60F):
Only needed to re-produce her Sydney figures to win the race and she simply didn’t turn up. Very unfortunate. Back to Sydney this time of year will see her very hard to beat. Following.
All Too Soon – Randwick Race 1 (Tues): 1st ($2.70):
Finally broke through getting out to the 1800m. Sticking to this distance or even 2000m next time in will see him very hard to beat with fitness on his side. Following.
Savvan – Randwick Race 5 (Tues): 3rd ($2.90F):
Crunched in betting and looking to have the race won when travelling inside the final 200m. Not sure if she really wanted it, going down by 0.2L. Give her one more, but that was her chance.
Aloisia – Flemington Race 8 (Thurs): 6th ($1.80):
After black booking her for this event after her first-up effort at close enough to double figures, the overs gods really did a number on us here. Didn’t see out the strong 2500m after being made to work early. Still think she’s a dynamic filly over the middle-distance trips. Excited for the Autumn.
I Am Excited – Flemington Race 9 (Thurs): 2nd ($2.40F):
Absolutely steam-rolled in betting and went down by a neck. Think the stable have finally worked out this girl. Sticking to the sprint trips fresh. Similar set-ups will see her very competitive in the future. Following.
Moshway – Cranbourne Race 5 (Fri): 1st ($3.60):
A solid all the way (bias assisted) win over un un-suitably short 1300m trip. Definitely going well enough to be winning again in this grade up in trip. Following confidently.
Scales Of Justice – Ascot Race 6 (Sat): 3rd ($1.50F):
Stable openly stated prior to the race that the trip back from Victoria had really knocked him around so I’m willing to forgive his performance that was well under market expectation. Following into the WA carnival.
Mystified – Morphettville Race 6 (Sat): 2nd ($2.90F):
Ran on alright, though the winner did go past her. SP profile won’t be giving us much value next time in, but she could win. Forgetting.
Coldstone – Flemington Race 3 (Sat): 4th ($7):
Less than 2L off the winner in a bunched finish. Form out of these types of races can be tough to follow moving forward. Didn’t look great in the yard but trusting Kent to have him spot on for an upcoming Cup race, that’ll be his last chance.
Duke Of Brunswick – Flemington Race 4 (Sat): 2nd ($19):
Huge performance in a narrow 0.1L defeat at juicy odds. Just shows what he can do when he turns up. Can’t drop off on the back of that.
Impending – Flemington Race 7 (Sat): 3rd ($9.50):
Brilliant performance in the hottest sprint race of the year. Was only second up there and did win the G1 Stradbroke over 1350m, could really give the WA carnival a shake if the Godolphin team pull that reign.
Redkirk Warrior – Flemington Race 7 (Sat): 11th ($9.50):
Inside ground was clearly inferior, but being beaten 7.05L was well-below his best. He’s probably best fresh and needs to be if he’s tackling these types of events in the future. Likely being tipped out now, will give him one in the Autumn.
Folkswood – Flemington Race 8 (Sat): 5th ($3.60F):
Ran a very credible race after being cast from the outside gate and left working without cover for much of the race. This globe trotter will likely be back on his way home now. Can’t be following without fully knowing what he’s up against.
Great Glenn – Rosehill Race 3 (Sat): 3rd ($6):
Lead the field round over 2400m fourth-up. Battled on very well in the straight to go down by under a length. Will derive benefit from that run. Set to peak over 2400m again next start. Following confidently.
Just Dreaming – Rosehill Race 7(Sat): 1st ($4.20):
Got caught up in traffic as the favourite gave nothing. Would’ve been a tragedy beaten but got through to win quite well on the line by 0.8L. Can’t go backward off that run. Following confidently.
This Week’s Black Book Runners:
God’s In Him – Flemington Race 4 (Sat): 4th ($15):
Settled a few pairs back on the fence over 1400m first-up after a long break. Changed late when clear to record some of the best closing splits of the race (behind Duke Of Brunswick). His second-up record is quality, reading 5:1-2-1 and has raced very well out to the 1600m. Looks ideally set-up to be racing well over the Summer period.
Record: 21: 5-3-4
Where to Next? Open Handicap over 1600m.
Wheal Leisure – Flemington Race 5 (Sat): 3rd ($9):
Had a nice enough run on the rails behind the leading pairs but just couldn’t produce a turn of speed when asked to go between the weakening Qwey and Grey Lion about 400m out. She’s lightly raced and only had the 4 runs back this preparation so should improve off that effort. Races like she’ll get 3200m, a back-up into the Sandown Cup would see her very hard to hold out.
Where to Next? 3200m Sandwon Cup 18/11.