Pakenham (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Pakenham. Today’s best bet is in race 6.
Racing returns to night racing at Pakenham with an eight race card on the grass on Thursday.
Does not look a strong card with three maidens to kick off the evening.
The track is rated as a Soft 5 on Tuesday night but may be upgraded with fine and sunny weather forecast for the region.
The false rail will be out to the nine metre position.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1 – 2 – 8 – 3,6
Wide Play: 1,4 – 1,2,4 – 2,8 – 3,5,6
BEST BET: R6 – 2.REZAK
Next Best Bet: R7 – 8. SUN QUAN
Best Roughie: R8 – 12. YASEY SUN
R1 – 6pm. Evergreen F&M Maiden – 1400m.
No2 CONSIDERING will wear a tongue-tie for the first time. Latest ran a solid third over 1400m maiden at sale on November 3. That was first up from a spell and will be ready for the rise in distance here. Makes good appeal.
No6 DRAMATIST made an impressive debut to finish a close third over 1400m against her own sex in maiden at Ballarat on October 26. She looks well suited here and will be fitter for the effort. Looms as a good chance.
No7 GLOBAL SANCTION gave a solid effort to run third over 1400m against her own sex in 1400m maiden at Seymour on November 2. Bound to be improved for the outing and can make a good impact felt here.
No3 KALARU GIRL ran a great third over 1200m maiden on November 11. She is on the quick back up but she does not strike a strong field here. From barrier (5) and with Kevin Forrester to ride has each-way appeal.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 KALARU GIRL
R2 – 6.30pm. Gendore 3yr Maiden – 1200m.
No6 LU BU looked most impressive when ran away to an easy trial win over 990m at Cranbourne on October 23. This is his second race start and ran a very close fourth at his debut last campaign. Makes good appeal here.
No10 WALHALLA will wear blinkers for the first time. Has been knocking on the door and latest gave a good effort to run third over 1100m maiden at Sale on October 29. Strikes a mild field here and gets a soft run from (3).
No8 REDCORE made a highly promising return with a strong second over 1000m maiden at Mornington on November 5. Returns to the track off a short break, and from barrier (6), and with Nikita Beriman to ride must command respect.
No11 ZOU YORK is resuming from a long spell. Has shown promise at only two starts, and drawn the rail with the highly experienced Noel Callow to ride here. Ran a strong race at on debut in his maiden campaign.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 ZOU YORK
R3 – 7pm. Dad & Dave Turf Maiden – 1200m.
No6 ONEMORE EMOTION is by leading sire Onemorenomore from Love And Emotion. He will wear a lugging bit at his debut and hails from the top stable of Chris Waller. The highly experienced jockey Michael walker rides and respect.
No4 LANGBRO has shown promise at two starts. Latest he ran a strong third over 1212m maiden at Kilmore on November 5. Back her for another crack off a quick break and with barrier one gets a soft run.
No10 FONTEIN FLYER showed good pace top run a close second over 1203 in a maiden at Yarra Valley on October 28. Country jockey Jarrod Fry retains the mount and has shown a liking for this distance.
No9 WILL I BE showed was on the rise with a good second over 1100m in a maiden at Taralgon on Noevmber 4. With apprentice Jack Martin’s 1.5kg claim will carry 57kg, which will help off set the wide alley in (11).
VALUE RUNNER: No9 WILL I BE
R4 – 7.30pm. Grand Prix Handicap – 1000m.
No5 WILDE GEM is bound to strip far fitter here with a good fifth under belt when resuming from a long spell. Ran home very well over 1000m in a maiden at Sale on October 29. Takes the next step here and from five has good claims.
No3 DESTINY’S REWARD should be better suited here than last start when ran a close sixth over 955m at Moonee Valley on October 28. He has good form at this trip and would expect him to be most prominent.
No7 SCAPPARE was resuming when ran a good third over 1000m at Mornington on November 5. She is on the quick back for this short-course but she does love this distance with two wins and two placings at seven starts.
No4 MISTOFFELEES ran a very solid fourth over 1000m at Sale on October 29. That came after a good third and a great win in the country. Has an excellent record over this trip of five starts for a win and two thirds. Like here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 MISTOFFELEES
R5 – 8pm. Southern Cross Handicap – 1400m.
No1 BEN GOES BERSERK went within centimeters of winning last start when finishing a close second over 1300m at Bendigo on November 1. Has drawn perfectly in gate (4) here and has top rider Brad Rawiller to ride.
No4 SAVVY BELLE scored her second career win in style with a fighting effort in a three-way finish over 1411m at Seymour on November 2. She is suited in this grade and her form on country tracks has been most reliable. Keep safe.
No5 HAMMERSTEIN was first up from a good spell when run on well to finish sixth over 1200m at Seymour on November 2. Gets top country jockey Daniel Stackhouse to ride and from barrier (1) gets an easy run.
No2 ARTISTIC DESIGN hails from a leading Victorian stable and returns to the track here from a three-week break. Latest he battled on okay to run eighth over 1400m at Geelong on October 25. He strikes milder opposition here and respect.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 ARTISTIC DESIGN
R6 – 8.30pm. Evergreen Turf Handicap – 1600m.
No2 REZAK (BEST BET) ran a great second to Rib Eye over 1600m at Moe on October 19. Has had a nice freshen-up for this assault. The five-year-old loves this track, with a record of a win and a third at two starts. The gelding gets Damian Thornton to ride again and is perfectly drawn in gate (5). Looks to have good claims in a moderate field.
No1 ELECTRIC FUSION Looks to be one of the main dangers on recent form.
No4 GUIZOT has been about the mark and looks to be a chance again here.
No7 BACKROADS won two straight earlier this campaign and recent efforts are solid.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 BACKROADS
R7 – 9pm. Casey Cardinia Handicap – 1200m.
No8 SUN QUAN (NEXT BEST BET) has been
R7 – 9pm. Casey Cardinia Handicap – 1200m.
No8 SUN QUAN (NEXT BEST BET) has been racing on the crest of a wave and looks hard to beat here. He is chasing a hat-trick following two excellent wins. Latest he beat Check Our Enemy over 1100m at Murtoa on October 7. He is fresh for his assault here and gets the dual group 1 winning jockey Michael Dee to ride from a nice alley in gate (6).
No2 SANG CHOI BAO has been most consistent this campaign without winning.
No4 NIC NAC looms with good each-way prospects here. Keep safe.
No7 FORBIDDEN KISSES has been honest and looks to have each-way claims in this field.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 FORBIDDEN KISSES
R8 – 9.30pm. Evergreen Handicap – 1600m.
No3 HAZARD AHEAD has been racing in full steam and looks a good chance here on recent form. Latest, he ran a very close second over 1900m at Taralgon on November 4. Jack Martin’s 1.5kg claim drops his weight to 59kg.
No5 FAST PLAN scored a brilliant win two starts ago before finishing a close sixth over 1600m at Hamilton on October 29. Goes up 3kg to 60kg but he does drop in class and gets top city jockey Luke Nolen to partner.
*SCRATCHED* No6 LAST WEEK won four starts ago at Bendigo. Latest ran a solid fourth over 1600m at Hamilton on October 29. That was a good effort to run within a len of the winner in a swamping finish. Gets top jockey Brad Rawiller to ride and combat gate (14).
No12 YASEY SUN (TOP ROUGHIE) was finishing hard on their heels when running a close sixth over 1600m at sale on October 29. Should again be at nice odds and has a good record of two starts for one win at this track. Keep safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 YASEY SUN