Geelong (Sunday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Geelong. Today’s best bet is in race 4.
Racing returns to Geelong on Sunday and with rain forecast the track may be downgraded from a Soft 7.
The false rail will be moved out to the five-metre position from the 800m to the 400m and will be at the three-metre position for the remainder. This is a small card of only seven races and there are four moderate maiden events. Suggest to tread carefully and watch for any betting moves on the day.
QUADDIES (races 4,5,6,7)
Skinny Play: 1 – 4 – 1,7 – 2,6
Wide Play: 1,3 – 1,3,4 – 1,2,7 – 2,4,6
BEST BET: R4 – 1. PAREMUUS BOY
Next Best Bet: R5 – 4. BONVILLE
Best Roughie: R7 – 4. THE BONT
1 – 12.58pm. Audi E-Tron 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate – 1221m.
No4 MAEVE IN MANHATTAN does not appear to be a lot of depth in this maiden. She has been placed at two of her three starts. Latest she ran a good third over 1300m in the Elvstroem Classic at Swan Hill on June 9. She is resuming here and has form when fresh and would respect.
No2 BONNIE AND CLYDE will sport winkers for the first time. Ran a solid fourth over 1206m in maiden at Benella on November 12. She is on the quick back up here as that was her first start from a 26 weeks spell. The gear change may help and cannot rule out.
No6 WAR PIGLET is by middle-distance sire So You Think and is making her debut here. She has no trial form to expose any ability but she does come out of an astute stable. She has drawn gate six and would suggest to watch the betting here for any moves.
No3 HOTHANDS LIZ claimed her first pay cheque at her third start when finishing a sound third over 1106m maiden against her own age and sex at Benella on October 31. Top jockey Michael Walker takes the reins for the first time and is worth noting.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 HOTLANDS LIZ
R2 – 1.33pm. The All New Q5 Maiden Plate – 1121m.
No6 COULD IT BE MAGIC strikes a moderate field of maidens here. She has been placed twice at her four starts. Latest she ran a handy fifth when caught very deep over 1000m maiden at Mornington on November 5. She is well-bred and can go on to improve further.
No2 I’VE GOT MAGIC showed stark improvement at his sixth and last start to run a close second over 1100m maiden at Hamilton on October 29. Japanese rider Yoko Ota keeps the ride and should again be well fancied in a most moderate maiden field here.
No5 BARKING SPIDER has blinkers going on for the first time and the tongue control bit and winkers go off. These are critical gear changes and really has only raced twice as was pulled up early last start at Stawell on October 23. Has drawn perfectly and is worth looking at the betting for any moves.
No9 DRAGON WIFE is resuming from a three-week break and will wear blinkers for the first time. The three-year-old filly was a big drifter from $7.50 to $14 before finishing seventh in a 1200m fillies and mares maiden at Ballarat on October 26. Damien Oliver is a big plus.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 DRAGON WIFE
R3 – 2.08pm. Audi Sport Maiden Plate – 1421m.
No6 WESSELS has an important gear change with the blinkers going on and the winkers coming off. He finished strongly to run a good third over 1300m maiden at Hamilton on October 29. He was backed from $8 into $5 that day and has a superior draw in gate two today.
No4 RED LIBERTY was a big drifter from $7.50 to $14 last start before finishing a sound fifth after racing deep over 1100m maiden at Bendigo on November 1. That was only his second start and was a $3 favourite at his debut seventh here over 1240m in June.
No12 STAR SILK has been placed at both of his starts. Latest he ran a half-length second over 1212m in a maiden at Kilmore on November 5. He eased from $4.40 to $6 that day and he is again well drawn in gate five here. He is from an astute stable and should be prominent.
No8 BLUNAKKA has the blinkers going back on here. He drifted back and lost ground when finishing eighth over 1400m maiden at Ballarat on November 6. He drops a kilo in weight down to 57kg and gets a change of rider with Jye McNeil the new pillion.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 BLUNAKKA
R4 – 2.43pm. Audi RS BM64 Handicap – 1421m.
No1 PAREMUUS BOY (BEST BET) has been in splendid form notching successive wins in the country. Latest he was backed from $5 into $3.20 and landed the chocolates over 1400m at Warnambool on October 20. Apprentice Shane Thornton’s 1.5kg claim reduces his impost to a more comfortable 58.5kg and is ideally drawn in gate six. He carries a half-kilo less than last time.
No3 CALL TO JUSTICE came home with a searching run to narrowly miss the major prize latest and looks the main danger.
No6 RAMENSKY his form has been tops with two wins from his past four starts and must command respect.
No4 HOAGLAND won a maiden over 1200m at Hamilton at his sole start. Must include.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 RAMENSKY
R5 – 3.20pm. The Audi Q7 BM58 Handicap – 2227m.
No4 BONVILLE (NEXT BEST BET) looms as a big chance here when refused to surrender and fought hard to the line before finishing a close second over 2000m at Ballarat on November 6. Gets ace jockey Damien Oliver to ride now and that is a big bonus. The son of O’Reilly is now hardened for this trip with a run over the journey and back to his pet distance at 1400m.
No3 FINE EVADER finished with a strong burst last time at Ballarat and makes strong claims here.
No1 INASTRIDE has two wins and a last-start unplaced effort from his past three starts. Must include.
No9 THE BANANA STAND is still a maiden but recent form has been full of merit. Each-way claims
VALUE RUNNER: No9 THE BANANA STAND
R6 – 3.50pm. Audi Centre Geelong BM58 Handicap – 1521m.
No1 MISS ADEQUATE has won and been placed three times from her past five starts. Pay to discard last-start seventh over 1600m at Pakenham on October 20. She showed speed but pulled up with mucus in her nostrils. With four weeks off she can kick back to her best form.
No7 SEE THE NIGHT has won and finished in the top four placings at her past five starts. She was a $2.80 favourite when narrowly running second over 1612m at Kilmore on November 5. She hails from a leading Caulfield stable and looms as a strong chance in this field.
No4 BANK STREET has been raced sparingly of late. He resumed from a three-week break when finishing a strong second over 1400m at Wcheproof on November 4. He gets senior rider Jarrod Fry to replace a claiming apprentice here and is beautifully drawn in gate two.
No3 GRAND AWAKENING may pay to forgive his last start eighth over 1700m at Warrnambool on November 7. He was supported in betting backed from $7.50 into $6 and he battled on well enough to give thought to here. His prior form was solid enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 GRAND AWAKENING
R7 – 4.25pm. The Audi R8 BM58 Handicap – 1121m.
No2 COSSASTOCK has been in tip top form with a win at Kyneton two starts back. Latest he ran a good second-up third over 1106m at Benella on October 30. With apprentice Brandon Stockdale’s 3kg claim will carry a more comfortable 58.5kg and is from an astute stable.
No7 DRAGON ARTIST bounced back from a bungled start to run a great second over 1000m here on November 11. She gets top jockey James Winks to ride and should gain a smooth passage from gate five. She has been placed once at her two starts at this track.
No6 CARRIE ANN is a lightly-raced five-year-old mare who won over 1100m in a maiden at Tatura on October 16 two starts ago. She then battled away to finish a sound fifth over 1200m at Ballarat on November 6. Senior jockey Patrick Maloney replaces a 3kg claiming apprentice.
No4 THE BONT (BEST ROUGHIE) resumed from a four-week break with a good third over 1000m at Ballarat on November 6. The four-year-old gelding has finished inside the money at four of his past five starts. He gets the experienced Jamie Mott as his new rider today.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 THE BONT