Mornington (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Mornington. Today’s best bet is in race 6.

Oddschecker
 | 
Wed, 22 Nov, 12:00 AM

 

Mornington hosts a midweek fixture after playing to a Monday card last time a fortnight ago. The false rails pushed out to six metres after racing at four metres last time. The track is rated as a Good 4 and with fine weather forecast the horses should get a nice and dry surface to race on. There has ben mixed form here with some racing on wet tracks and others on the drier ones. All part of the puzzle of picking a winner!

 

QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)

Skinny Play:  4 – 3 – 10,11 – 4,5

Wide Play: 1,4,6 – 3,4,7 – 10,11,13 – 4,5,6,11

 

BEST BET: R6 – 3. ECOLOGY

Next Best Bet: R5 – 4. CHARCOL

Best Roughie: R8 – 7. NORTHKAPE

R1 – 1.00pm. Window Warehouse Plate – 1500m.

No4 MANY REWARDS strikes a most moderate field of only seven maiden runners here so he gets an excellent chance to break the ice. He has beaten all but the winner at his past two starts this campaign, latest over 1300m maiden at Geelong on October 13. Looks the goods.

 

No2 JOHN’S REVENGE gave a fitting effort to finish last of five at his final start over 1426m in a maiden at Kilmore on November 5. He was just outside the major players and had to work most hard when tramping deep throughout.

 

No3 MAGNAPEGASUS has the visors going on for the first time and has been given a three-week freshen up. He was heavily backed into a $2.50 favourite but failed to get the biscuits when running second over 1462m maiden at Kilmore on November 5.

 

No6 VISAVIS showed plenty of natural speed from the gates to lead and fought on well to claim a narrow third over 1411m in a maiden at Seymour on November 2, Has been freshened up for this week a three-week gap and respect.

 

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 VISAVIS

R2 – 1.30pm. Highview Accounting Mornington Plate – 1500m.

No6 TENNESSEE BOSS strikes a small field of eight maidens here. Was heavily backed from $3.60 into $2.80 favourite before posting a close second over 1411m in a maiden at Echuca on November 7. The four-year-old has been placed twice at three starts this campaign.

 

No2 CROOKED GENT having blinkers put on for the first time could be a help. Latest he was a $10 before finishing a solid second over 1500m in a maiden at Cranbourne on November 7. Gets new rider Jamie Mott and is drawn perfectly in two.

 

No4 LORD MAPPERLEY showed pace from out of the gates to lead before being headed in the home stretch and finishing a sound fifth over 1400m maiden at Pakenham on November 9. That was the ex-New Zealander’s first Australian start and will improve.

 

No7 MY CHARLIEGIRL has now been well seasoned with nine starts. She has shown improvement with a good second over 1300m maiden at Cranbourne on November 7. This is a small field so gate seven is not such a disadvantage.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 MY CHARLIEGIRL

R3 – 2.00pm. The Big Screen Company Plate – 1200m.

No9 PIRELLI he showed speed at his first start to run the narrowest third over 1200m maiden here on October 10. Has had a heap of time to recover and was backed from $17 into $13 at debut.

 

No3 CITY OF PEARLS has not finished that far behind at his past four starts in similar company. Latest he ran a solid enough fifth after leading over 1100m maiden at Moe on November 10. Is this any stronger? Probably not so rate as a chance.

 

No7 PREEMPTIVE starting to get a bit frustrating with 21 starts but is still a maiden. He has shown decent form and his last start suggests he could play a role when finishing fifth over 1100m maiden at Moe on November 10. Each-way.

 

No2 CHIPS IN PLAY copped a check in running which was a big set back before finishing steadily enough to run fifth in a 1200m maiden at St Arnaud on October 28. Comes into this maiden fresh and is drawn fair in gate six.

 

VALUE RUNNER: N02 CHIPS IN PLAY

R4 – 2.30pm. Amicus Cup – 2000m.

No2 ONE OVER ROD is engaged in a most even maiden with many chances. Has been placed at his past five starts, but has failed to win at 10 career starts. Latest he ran a close second over 1850m maiden at Kyneton on November 8. Respect.

 

No6 BRANDO was finishing well enough to land on the heels of the major players when fourth over 1717m maiden at sale on November 15. That run should have him nice and buttered up for this trip over 2000m. Noel Callow is a plus for him.

 

No9 CASTAGNE she has been placed twice at her four starts. She comes into this maiden with a strong second over 2050m in a maiden at Moe on November 10. With the start over the distance under her belt she should be stronger here.

 

No10 GOLD LABEL MISS was facing her own sex when she ran a good third over 1500m maiden at Cranbourne on November 10. That was the four-year-old’s second career start so would expect her to be sharpened up nicely for this race over 2000m

 

VALUE RUNNER: N010 GOLD LABEL

R5 – 3.00pm. RCP Project Management Handicap – 2400m.

No4 CHARCOL (NEXT BEST BET) has a lot to like about his last start effort when digging deep to run a close second to Deep Purple over 2415m here on November 5. There was good support when backed in from $16 to $13 that day. He has a superior alley in gate six and Jamie Mott is staying as his pilot. He has won and finished second at his two starts at this track.

 

No6 CHARLIE ROAD makes a nice case as the main danger with his solid fifth over 2050m at Moe last start. He has been consistent.

 

No1 MICHELIN was right in the thick of the action last start over 2000m at Ballarat. Good chance again.

 

No13 MISS DANNI is right at the tail of the field on the saddle-cloth order. But don’t overlook here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: N013 MISS DANNI

R6 – 3.30pm. Steller.com.au Handicap – 1500m.

No3 ECOLOGY (BEST BET) looms as a big chance of repeating last start effort on the strength of her 1.25 length win over 1406m against her own sex at Benella on November 12. She was kept firm in the betting at $5.50 and strode away for a confident win. She gets barrier five and with Jack Martin’s 1.5kg allowance drops her impost to 58.5kg. Two kilos more than she carried last time.

 

No7 ANGELIC TRUNE broke her maiden status with a fighting win in a 1200m maiden at Bairnsdale on November 7.

 

No4 ELEGANTLY WASTED the 2kg claim drops her weight to a comfortable 57kg and likes a dry track.

 

No8 NAVITA was headed but she did not surrender easily and fought on well to finish third over 1411m at Seymour last start.

 

VALUE RUNNER: N08 NAVITA

R7 – 4.00pm. European Autos Refinishers Handicap – 1200m.

No11 KAFOO the blinkers go on and the winkers come off for the first time. He is from Team Hayes and he does like this trip. He ran a solid 2 length fifth over 1106m at Benella on October 31. He gets Andrew Mallyon replacing a 3kg apprentice.

 

No13 ATOMIC LOKADE was out wide but kept on chipping away to the line to finish 1000m here on November 13. The five-year-old mare gets a change of rider with a senior jockey replacing a 2kg apprentice.

 

No10 KING KOHEI has been in ripping form with two wins at his past two starts. The 3kg claim of apprentice Thomas Stockdale reduces his impost to a comfortable 56kg today. He has a good draw in gate seven and on his last start rates highly.

 

No5 TRIS has been freshened with a three-week break between starts. Latest ran a solid fourth over 1000m at Traralagon on November 4. The four-year-old was backed into a $3.30 favourite that day and has a superior second-up record.

 

VALUE RUNNER: N05 TRIS

R8 – 4.30pm. Mornington Auto Group Handicap – 1000m.

No5 VILLA ROSA looked most smart when posting a convincing win over 1000m against her own sex here two starts ago. Latest she ran over 1000m in her own class at Bendigo on November 1. She is fresh for this scamper and is a strong chance.

 

No4 DECONI left her rivals in her wake when going to the line for an easy 1.5 length win over 1009m at Echuca on November 9. She drops a kilo to 59kg and she keeps Thomas Sadler as her pillion. She is fit now and commands respect.

 

No11 STEEL OF MADRID having the ear muffs going on should help to settle better. He ran a solid third over 1000m maiden here on November 5. He was well liked at $3.30 that day but he does rise in class here. Worth a look.

 

No7 NORTHKAPE (BEST ROUGHIE) has quite a neat strike-rate and she did win well against her own sex over 1000m at Ballarat two starts ago last month. Latest she ran a sound fifth over 1000m at Moe on November 10. The claim has her carrying 56.5kg.

 

VALUE RUNNER: N07 NORTHKAPE

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