Warwick Farm (Wednesday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Warwick Farm. Today’s best bet is in race 4
Warwick Farm for our midweek meeting this week in Sydney, small fields in the offering here as we transition into the summer season here in Sydney. There has been some rain about early on this week and will rain into the lead up on Wednesday. We will end up on a soft to a heavy track. The rail is +5m 1000m to W/P, +3m Remainder.
QUADDIES (races 4-5-6-7)
Skinny Play: 1,4 - 3,5,6 - 1,5,8 - 3,4,7
Wide Play: 1,4,5 - 3,4,5,6 - 1,2,5,8 - 3,4,7
BEST BET: R3 – 2. STAR GALAXY
Next Best Bet: R1 – 3. SEAWAY
Best Roughie: R4 – 4. TIMING
R1 – 2.00pm. TAB.com.au Handicap - 1600m.
*SCRATCHED* No3 SEAWAY (NEXT BEST BET) gets up to the 1600m here which looks to be a big advantage given how he grinded through the line when winning at Canterbury last start, it was either that or the tight turning circuit. I am going with the latter and thinking that Warwick Farm mile which gives horses plenty of room to move into the race and I think he is a serious horse on the way up.
*SCRATCHED* No1 BULL MARKET did a good job when winning last start, the win was good against some nice horses. The wet track is a touch of a concern for mine.
No5 BEZZINA didn’t have the best of luck last start, the form around him is quite good and I think at a price he can run well on a wet track given his breeding.
No7 CHAIN OF FOOLS shouldn’t have much of an issue with the wet track given he is by More Than Ready. With 52.5kgs she will run them along here.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 BEZZINA
R2 – 2.35pm. Casino Prince @ Vinery Handicap - 1400m.
No2 SCREAM PARK looks to be a good horse in the making and was quite good first-up behind a nice horse in Seaway. He gets the blinkers on second-up here and the Ocean Park seem to spark up when they get the blinkers on. Wet track shouldn’t be an issue.
No1 BALEARIC comes out of the same race as Scream Park last start and closed off well there. It was a tight finish there and he was second-up in that race and won’t have the same fitness improvement that Scream Park will have.
No3 HIGHJACKER on debut here by High Chapparal has trialled up in good order leading to the debut run. I love that he has had the 1050m trial leading into the 1400m here. Bridge will have poured a lot of work into the horse. Interesting that Clark isn’t on board, but the claim for Innes suits.
No8 ASSIOMA was very well backed on debut at Hawkesbury and it really didn’t look her race there. I like the quick step to 1400m here as that should suit her a lot better and she can settle closer with Clark aboard.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 HIGHJACKER
R3 – 3.10pm. TAB Handicap - 1300m.
No2 STAR GALAXY (BEST BET) was quite good first-up when doing a lot of work in the run and then blowing out late as Jungilized ran them into the ground there. The penny still hasn’t dropped with her as of yet, but there is a lot of ability. The wet track isn’t going to be an issue as she put up a massive job on debut when winning at the track. Second-up she should improve immensely.
No8 LISDOONVARNA comes out of what I think is a very good race last start behind Marble at Hawkesbury and the form should hold up well out of that. Being form NZ the wet track shouldn’t be an issue.
No1 SAVATIANO was a touch disappointing last start at Goulburn, but that was against the older mares. Back to 3yo grade helps. Wet track, I am unsure, but she has some ability.
No4 DAWN DAWN has been quite good in both runs, in her first preparation and looks to keep improving. Back to the 1300m shouldn’t be an issue at all and nor should the wet track.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 LISDOONVARNA
R4 – 3.45pm. #THERACES Handicap - 1000m.
No4 TIMING (BEST ROUGHIE) will want it to keep on raining being a half to Title who absolutely loved the slop. She has a very good second up record and should be much fitter for the first-up run. She has had 11 starts on rain affected going for four wins and five placings. The 1000m is a specialist distance and she has a good record.
No1 LAKE LUGARNO is quite a nice horse who has done a good job dominating around country NSW in open class sprints. She gets in well after the claim here, she was due to run at Gundagai a few weeks ago where they had a server thunderstorm. So she may not run on rain affected going? She is very good fresh and has trialled well coming in.
*SCRATCHED* No5 IDENTIC has been very good at winning the last two over the 1000m and running quite good time. She has yet to run on the tracks that are rain affected, but you have to say she will handle it until she fails in the going. She is well weighted after the claim here.
No9 CHAPPO was quite poor first-up for the new stable, the market expected him to run well and she didn’t so I am happy to forgive that run due to the strength of her SP profile. The trial last week was quite good and he looks to be going well.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 TIMING
R5 – 4.20pm. TAB Rewards Handicap - 2200m.
No3 WAKING MOMENT should be ready to produce now up in distance and onto wet going here. She comes out of a very strong race last start where the form has held up quite well, she gets the good jockey change with Shinn going on board. She won the Adrian Knox in the autumn on wet going and this is her chance.
No5 WINE BUSH has been whacking away in races at this level as of late without winning, but one of these days he is going to fall in and we will wonder why we weren’t on him. He isn’t the best betting proposition. But he is going well and a win won’t shock me.
No6 ASHKANND backs up quickly from Friday night where he was a strong winner over the 1900m. He has got a good wet track record without it being outstanding. But I do love stayers who are in form and do back up quickly as they can win again, and he can do that.
No4 SHIELD WALL was quite poor last start behind Tumultuous, but looked to have pulled up with an issue there. The form that she brings to this race prior is quite good. Wet track a touch of a concern for mine. But this isn’t the strongest race and I needed to find something to drop into fourth.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 WAKING MOMENT
R6 – 4.55pm. Schweppes Handicap - 1300m.
No5 LADY EVELYN didn’t have the best of luck last start at Canterbury over the 1550m. She gets a jockey change and a good claim here down to 54kgs. She has a brilliant record in wet going and has been in good form this time in, she is still a mare on the way up, and from gate 6 she gets a very good run on the map and should be in the finish.
No8 HITTITE resumes here and has had a very nice trial coming in over the 1030m, which is what I love to see for horses who are resuming at 1100m and over so the 1300m here is a perfect point. Even though her record isn’t that inspiring, the form around her is quite good and with the blinkers on for the first time I think she is set for a fresh run here.
No1 PECANS trotted in at the second start for the new stable, when sitting wide throughout and putting a gap into her rivals. She hadn’t won in a while and that win may well have given her a good confidence boost. Back to her home track and on a rain affected track with her record, I want to keep her on my side.
No2 KAWAKINI did a good job when winning last start at Canterbury, that came after a disappointing second-up run but she did produce a booming fresh win in a good race at Nowra. She has been in very good form this time in, but the wet track record is a touch confusing and I want to see some market support for her.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 HITTITE
R7 – 5.30pm. Australian Turf Club Handicap - 1400m.
*SCRATCHED* No1 PIPELINE comes out of a very good race first-up from a long break in a Saturday race. He does get hit at the weights for that one, but gets in with a good claim for Innes. If you have a look through his form, it is quite good and is some quality group form. From gate 10 he gets a good run and looks hard to beat.
*SCRATCHED* No4 THE AVENGER didn’t have the best of luck last start, in a race which I think will hold up quite well form wise. He was eight weeks between runs there which wouldn’t have helped, as he had no trial. The wet track shouldn’t be much of an issue given his breeding, as he charged home on a soft track on debut. Now to 1400m is much more suitable and he is going to give them something to beat.
No7 LORD MACAU looks the likely leader here and has a win at the track and distance in the past. Hyeronimus has a very good record riding the 1400m at the Farm, as he can dominate the race by rolling along in front. Now that he has got the win this time in, he could well go on with it here, the wet track isn’t going to be an issue for him.
No11 ATLANTIC FOX resumes here and brings some solid enough form, from Victoria which doesn’t look too bad now when we look back on it. Jaminzah and Kiwia have won plenty of races since. He has had the two trials coming into this and has looked to have moved quite well in those trials. The wet track shouldn’t be an issue at all and he should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 ATLANTIC FOX