Rosehill (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Rosehill. Today’s best bet is in race 1

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 7 Dec, 12:50 AM

 

Rosehill for yet another Saturday meeting here, before we go back to Randwick next week for the Villiers meeting. We have 9 good races on the card here and I am intrigued to see Gongs in R1 she was dominant on debut and could stamp her Slipper credentials here. Rain about in Sydney in the lead up, rail out 6m and we will be on soft going.

 

QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)

Skinny Play:  2,7,9  -  11,12,13  -  11,15  -  5,13

Wide Play:  2,7,8,9  -  5,11,12,13  -  1,4,6,9,10,11,15  -  5,13,14

 

BEST BET: R1 – 1. GONGS

Next Best Bet: R2 – 2. HELIOSPHERE

Best Roughie: R6 – 8. TIME TO TORQUE

R1 – 12.35pm. Merry Christmas ATC Members Handicap - 1100m.

No1 GONGS (BEST BET) looks to be a major slipper contender already after just one start for a dominant win at the Canterbury midweeks. She looked super green when winning and should take a lot of improvement out of that. She does have to carry the same weight as the colts here, but she should handle it no issue, if she wins this she is basically into the slipper with 85k in her prizemoney bank.

 

No3 ORCEIN is on a Magic Millions path and looked good when running through the line on debut, the times were slow however.

 

*SCRATCHED* No9 EAWASE looks just like her mother Karuta Queen and has trialed up in good order coming into the debut run and should run well.

 

No6 CARNINA has been trialing in super order coming into the debut and looks to be a smart filly who should be respected on debut.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 CARNINA

R2 – 1.15pm. #THERACES Plate - 1400m.

No2 HELIOSPHERE (NEXT BEST BET) was utterly awesome first up from a spell when running right through the line, in a race which wasn’t run to suit at all. Now that he is second-up to the 1400m which is going to be much more suitable, the form that he brings is undeniable. He was five lengths off Kementari on debut and has an SP of $2.1 over Hulaluai. He looks to have come back better and should be winning.

 

No6 POETIC CHARMER was quite good last start finding the line well. Wet track a touch of a concern for mine, but I’ll give him a chance.

 

No5 UP TRUMPZ wasn’t at all suited by the quick backup last start, the wet track shouldn’t be much of an issue, given he won in a monsoon at Wagga last prep.

 

No4 STAR SENSATION didn’t get the best of rides from Shinn last start, and gets a jockey change here. Down 5.5kgs suits and I have to give her one more chance.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No5 UP TRUMPZ

R3 – 1.50pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1400m.

No3 VOLPE got the job done for us in brilliant order last week and now backs up quickly to the 1400m here which shouldn’t be an issue. If he got clear running last week he wins by 5. JVO sticks on and he only carries the 54.5kgs here and I can’t see why he won’t win again.

 

No4 DIVINE UNICORN looks to be quite a smart horse and has shown very good ability in all three starts. He ran brilliant time last start when getting over the top of them at the Gold Coast. Now he comes to town off the back of that and you need to respect M Dunn as always.

 

No1 FOREVER NEWYORK won in good order at Gundagai on their feature day and was strong through the line. He was looking for 1400m that day and now gets to that distance. Wet track shouldn’t be an issue as he got through it at Gundagi even though it says a Good 3, it was a slow track.

 

No5 O’LORDY drops in grade here from a good run at Goulburn on cup day. Before that she was a good winner of a highway over 1200m. The step to 1400m shouldn’t be an issue at all and she is in quite good form and gets McEvoy!

 

VALUE RUNNER: No3 VOLPE

R4 – 2.25pm. ATC Owners Benefit Card Handicap - 1400m.

No3 NOIRE resumed with a very good win at Canterbury and ran right through the line there when lugging the big weight. That had come from two solid trials and she should improve off that again. She gets a soft run from barrier 1 for McEvoy who has won on her in the past and she looks hard to hold out.

 

No4 MISS BALLANTINE resumed quite well against market expectations a fortnight ago. She did a very good job form gate 1 there and really found the line well there. Second-up to 1400m she looks to be much more suited and should run well again, she looks to have come back well.

 

No7 QUEEN MISTY was good first-up at Canterbury in the evening star and ran well through the line against the pattern of the day there. Second-up back to mares' grade she looks very well suited and Clark sticks here which adds to confidence.

 

No2 OVERSTEP was good finding the line last start in the same race as MB. She found the 1200m too short there and should appreciate the step up to 1400m here. She gets well weighted after the claim here for Magorrian and she gets a good run on the map.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 QUEEN MISTY

R5 – 3pm. National Jockeys Trust Handicap - 2000m.

No2 CARZOFF has been quite good this time in, in all three runs and is well weighted after the claim here. He now has the grounding to run a strong 2000m after three good runs this time in. The wet track shouldn’t be an issue at all.

 

No4 STRIKE FORCE brings the different form to this race coming out of what looked to be a good Wodonga Cup last start. Moroney does have his team going well at the minute in Melbourne, and they ones that have come to Sydney have been running well.

 

No10 MORNINGTON has been ok enough in both starts this time in, in his first Australian preparation. He just never got into that race last start behind Dagny which was a weirdly run race. The step up in distance looks as if it will suit, but Waller does have seven in the race.

 

No5 IMPAVIDO gets thrown in here as he isn’t a Waller horse and I am trying to look away from the stable here, despite having two of the top four from the stable. He hates winning this horse, but he is one that is a must for all exotics. I would love to see him win a Class 1 out in the bush and get some confidence.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 STRIKE FORCE

R6 – 3.40pm. Beanie For Brain Cancer Handicap - 1400m.

No2 FIRSTHAND really found the line well last start behind Cabeza De Vaca to just miss in a good race there. He comes back in grade here, hence the apprentice going on for the claim. He has come back well and shown that he wants to win, the wet going won’t be an issue.

 

No7 NEW UNIVERSE got the job done well at Ballarat on their cup day on a track which played quite weird. It was overwatered and then it poured on race day. He won and that’s all that matters, his manners have improved and he has shown that all going is fine and should run well again.

 

No9 FLOW just missed fresh behind Redouble who is low flying this time in. He just lacked that fitness late to just miss there. Second-up staying at the 1400m he should be much fitter and gets a super soft run of it on the map from gate 1 and will be in the finish.

 

No8 TIME TO TORQUE (BEST ROUGHIE) will be hoping that it keeps on raining as he brings a superb wet track record and some very good form to this. The win in Brisbane against Carzoff was quite good and then he was 'Willowed' at Flemington. He was just edged out in a tight finish last start and looks well placed here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 TIME TO TORQUE

R7 – 4.20pm. Mark Hughes Foundation Handicap - 1100m.

No11 TEST THE WORLD let us down fresh when we were full of confidence, but there was some excuses there as she didn’t get a race run to suit and looked to peak on her run late there. Now second-up staying at the 1100m on rain affected going should run a bold race again.

 

No13 BON AMIS didn’t get the best of rides in the same race last start, if the jockey shows some intent he probably wins. Now he gets an apprentice on here to claim away from them. He looks a very nice horse and does have a win on wet going.

 

No12 SINGLE BULLET needs to show me that he wants to and can win before I back him again. I will throw him in my quaddie here in case he does do that, as he brings some serious form around Viridine and Eptimum. The trial since was good.

 

No5 HIGHLY GEARED if there is a god this horse will get the job done on Saturday. Trainer G Kirkup currently in hospital with burns all over his body and various injuries from a car crash last weekend that claimed the life of his partner and strapper / track work rider of this horse Samara Johnson. Her record is good, she is a winner at the T&D and no one will begrudge a win.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No5 HIGHLY GEARED

R8 – 5pm. ATC Membership Open Now Sprint - 1200m.

*SCRATCHED* No15 BRAVE SONG resumes here and is quite a smart horse in the making. He comes out of three very good races in the late winter and early spring. This is a step up form what he has been taking on, but looks to have trialled in good order. I am to assume he is on a Magic Millions path given the timing of his prep, and he looks had to roll.

 

*SCRATCHED* No11 STAR REFLECTION found the line quite well first-up from a spell in what looks to be a good race. She gets a race here which should be run at a better tempo for her, coming from the wider barrier suits as she can wind up and let down.

 

No9 PIPELINE comes out of the same race as SR last start and was quite good first up there. He is a horse who is Magic Millions qualified, and looks to be on a path to that raceday yet again. No help from the gate here, but he should run well.

 

No6 DRACHENFELS is a good horse, when he wants to be. One day you will best bet him and he wont turn up, next start you risk him and he blows a field away. Its all about how he is feeling. The trial since the last win was good.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No11 STAR REFLECTION

R9 – 5.40pm. TAB.com.au Handicap - 1500m.

No5 CELLARMAN backs up quickly here from a good effort last weekend behind Sedanzer in which the form has held up quite well already. He gets a good barrier change here and should roll forward from the gate.

 

No13 THE AVENGER should improve after a poor last start effort at Canterbury, where the form has held up quite well. To his home track and rain affected going here should be no issue at all and he looks progressive.

 

No14 BASTIA blitzed them first-up at Port Macquarie carrying a big weight. He has come back in very good order. He has changed stables since the last prep, so I am forgiving of his second-up record and the 8kg weight drop is brilliant.

 

No15 MERCURIAL LAD will want it to keep on raining here as he is 4/4 on heavy going. He won well on the worst going at Gundagai and drops in weight here and looks well set up to run well again.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No14 BATSIA

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