Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Randwick for the big Villiers meeting, and isn’t it great to be back at Randwick after six straight weeks of Rosehill. Form always works out differently here on the big open track. Nice races on the card with some fascinating betting races for punters all the way through. This day has produced two Golden Slipper winners in the past few years, with Mossfun and She Will Reign both winning the Inglis Nursery. Extreme Choice, who was a Blue Diamond winner, won this race on debut also. The Villiers winner gets a free shot at the Doncaster come April. Track good, rail true.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 2,3 - 11 - 1,7,14 - 4,9
Wide Play: 2,3,6,14 - 7,8,11,15 - 1,7,14 - 2,4,9
BEST BET: R4 – 10. MISS INVINCIBLE
Next Best Bet: R7 – 11. MISTER SEA WOLF
Best Roughie: R5 – 5. O’RACHAEL
R1 – 12.40pm. ANZ Bloodstock News Handicap - 1100m.
No1 CALCULATED is a serious horse in the making and has plenty of ability and comes out of some serious races last time in. I have loved the two trials that he has had coming in. I thought he was a Caulfield Guineas horse last preparation but didn’t go that way. Weird to resume in December, but maybe a Magic Millions Guineas contender.
No2 FROM WITHIN resumes off a long break here and it must be remembered that she was high in the Golden Slipper betting before not going there, as well as SP fav in the Magic Millions. I have liked the trials coming into this fresh run, and if she has learnt to settle. Look out.
No5 AWESOME PLUCK is the boom horse here coming in off the trials and his first two starts. He threw his second race start way by being quite green in the run and just missed there. Barrier 8 does look a touch sticky here for him map wise.
No4 SAVATIANO is starting to wear the patience of punters thinly, by going down in at short SPs at his last three starts. He again gets a sticky run on the map here and I wont be shocked if Glyn takes up the running here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 FROM WITHIN
R2 – 1.20pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1000m.
No1 ALL STAND (BEST ROUGHIE) is a flying machine who will jump and run from the wide gate here. He has some form around Bon Amis who has been going quite well in Saturday grade. The big weight isn’t going to be an issue at all here, and if he can cross with no issues he will be hard to catch.
No6 VICTOREM is the best horse in this race by a long, long way, but this could get very ugly very fast on the map here from barrier 6, as well as Ben Looker taking the ride worries me. He is a very good horse who has a future. But at the short price I have to risk him.
No9 TAKOOKACOD had no luck whatsoever last start and will be looking to be getting a much better ride from McDougall here from a sticky gate yet again over the short course. The win two back at Gundagai was quite strong and the form from the Highway two weeks ago should stand up well.
No11 ELLE’S NEL has won the last two starts quite well and in quite fast time coming from varying positions in the run. The wide gate helps her here as the apprentice will be able to sit just behind the speed here out of trouble and with the one turn over the 1000m she should be able to find clear air.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 ALL STAND
R3 – 1.55pm. Christmas Cup - 2400m.
No1 BROADSIDE won going away from them last start off a freshen up since the Metrop. The way that he won last start was strong and going up to the 2400m here is only going to suit. The weight shouldn’t be much of an issue at all and he looks hard to beat again.
No3 PRINCE CHERI finally finds the 2400m here and has not seen this distance in a long while. He was a fav for a Metrop once upon a time and has been doing a good job this time in. Home track 2400m he looks a chance.
No2 GREEN SWEET should be much better suited second-up here off the long break and stepping up to 2400m which has never looked to be much of an issue at all. The form that he brings to this is quite good and he has a chance.
No4 VASSAL drops well in weight here and gets a good jockey change here with McEvoy going on board. He ran well two starts back before a poor one last start, maybe it’s a trend for him to run well here?
VALUE RUNNER: No2 GREEN SWEET
R4 – 2.30pm. Inglis Nursery - 1000m.
No10 MISS INVINCIBLE (BEST BET) was fantastic first-up in what should work out to be a very good race. She did a lot wrong in the run there and the 1100m on debut really found her out. She now comes back to the 1000m here which is a move that should suit much better. From the wide gate of 13 she will be able to jump and cross them and if she gets across with no issues, good luck catching her.
No6 THE ENZO comes out of a good race on debut on Everest day. The trial leading in was quite good and with the blinkers on the first time, he should run well.
No13 WIMLAH improved trial to trial coming into this. Gai has a few nice 2yos going at the moment and has split them up over the weekend. I am respecting this one.
No5 IRISH BET has had the one trial coming into the debut at the home track here and has done quite a good job in that only trial, I expect race-day improvement.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 THE ENZO
R5 – 3.05pm. Catanach’s Handicap - 1200m.
No12 SUGAR BELLA won in brilliant fashion at the first start for the new stable at a Friday night meeting two weeks ago. She showed that she had improved with the break and had furnished into what looks to be a very good horse. Second-up she should be even better, and provided she isn’t flat from that she goes close again.
No5 O’RACHAEL (BEST ROUGHIE) has her second preparation for Waller here and didn’t have the best of luck in that first Australian prep. She has had two very nice trials coming into this, and would want to start winning soon as her record is getting very tiresome for punters.
No7 ANATOLA was a touch flat at the second start for the new stable and didn’t have the best of luck there. She draws a much softer gate here and should get a better run on the map here, she has always had ability but has never gone to that next level.
No9 KAWAIKINI brings good form to this race and has been in good form this time in. She drops well in weight from the last start run at the midweeks and gets a good run on the map here, but her record at Randwick is a touch of a worry.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 O’RACHAEL
R6 –3.40pm. Right2Drive Handicap - 1600m.
No2 SEDANZER gets a perfect run on the map here yet again third-up and has been in great form this time in with two very good wins and has been running right through the line there in great style and the step up to 1600m here will be no issue.
No3 DREAMFORCE draws out wide here and that shouldn’t be too much of an issue as he is a go forward horse who dominated from in front last start. Avdulla off for McEvoy isn’t an issue at all as he is one of the best front running riders in the land, there is some pressure here however and that could bring him undone.
No6 CHATELARD resumes here and draws quite a soft gate for the apprentice. In his short career has won three of the four races and just missed behind Alward which is quite good form. 1600m first-up is a good starting point and the trials have been good.
No14 PERIBSEN has his first Australian start here and gets Avdulla, who I am to assume chose this ride over Dreamforce given he has ridden him in two trials leading in. Barrier 17 is a touch of a concern though.
VALUE RUNNER: No14 PERIBSEN
R7 – 4.20pm. Inglis Villiers Stakes - 1600m.
No11 MISTER SEA WOLF (NEXT BEST BET) somehow missed first-up for Waller in a driving finish. One stride before and after he was in front. A bigger field here with much more speed engaged in the race is going to suit him. This looks like a well set up plan by Waller and co to get him into the Doncaster next year with no weight, and we know what the imports can do at their second preparation. McEvoy on is not a bad thing.
No8 INTERLOCUTER has been doing a brilliant job this time in winning three of four. I don’t think he has run a strong 1800m at his last two. Back to the mile suits better, but he has been up for a long while.
No7 CRACK ME UP gets a brilliant run on the map here and the plan all along according to the stable has been the quick back up into this. He ran well last week in what was a good race and with Collett on board form gate 2 he will sneak all runs here.
No15 SALSONIC gets a race run to suit finally here. He has the ability in there and will be ridden dead cold from the gate and will come charging at them late.
VALUE RUNNER: No15 SALSONIC
R8 –5.00pm. Razor Sharp Handicap - 1200m.
No1 CHETWOOD resumes here off a long break and has been trialing brilliantly coming into the first-up run. Forget last prep where nothing went right, his previous form is awesome and I love the wide gate, as he can go about his business without a worry, if he is back, he wins.
No14 I THOUGHT SO despite being gelded is still a thinker, I think he is going to be best ridden dead cold and coming at them late, so he hits the front before realizing it. He gets a soft run from gate 3 and should run well.
No7 CALANDA had all the straight to win last start and still couldn’t get past the winner there. He may well have had a think about it, but he has the talent and should go close.
No4 JAPONISME has been trialing well coming into this, its hard to believe that once upon a time he won a Coolmore against Exosphere. He has a host of gear changes and should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 JAPONISME
R9 – 5.40pm. Tab.com.au Handicap - 1400m.
No9 MALAISE drops 6kg from the first-up run where he hit the line quite well and looked to have a lot of improvement to come from the yard there. Second-up to 1400m looks to be a better race for him and he looks hard to beat.
No4 UPTOWN LAD smashed them last start when he was brilliantly backed there, there is no reason why he shouldn’t improve off that run. Avdulla off is the only concern for mine, but with 56kgs on his back after the claim, he is a big chance.
No2 REDOUBLE will be much better suited coming back to the 1400m here after not running a strong 1500m last start. He was just found wanting late there and gets a much softer run of it here and the big weight shouldn’t be an issue.
No13 SAVVAN will go right back to last here from the wide gate and be flying at them late. I have loved all three runs back, as she has smashed the line running great sectionals. There looks to be good speed here and she will be flying late.
VALUE RUNNER: No13 SAVVAN