Horses to Follow – Saturday 16th December 2017
A So You Think 3yo who hit the line nicely late and a staying mare on the rise join our black book this week.
Last Week’s Black Book Runners
Secret Trail – Randwick Race 5: 8th ($8):
Awkwardly away from an inside gate. Jockey Lee Magorrian no choice but to pick through the field. Eventually came wide at the turn and failed to make an impression against the pattern. Didn’t look as well in the yard first up which is a concern going forward. Forgetting now.
God’s In Him – Randwick Race 7: 12th ($26):
Took up a nice enough position in the second pair (besides the tear away leader) but didn’t come on after the brutal tempo. Don’t think he runs an exceptionally strong tempo, as evidenced by his form over further. Letting go now.
Savvan – Randwick Race 9: 2nd ($5.50):
Solid enough money around for this galloper after a freshen. Received a perfect run in transit at the rear of the field from barrier 12 and went down narrowly by 0.5L. Was impressed with the way she went through the line. Did enough to warrant another one around this time of year.
Heartlings – Randwick Race 9: 9th ($31):
SP was around the mark. Travelled 3 wide with cover for most of the trip. Seemed to resent the slow down prior to the turn but made no impression late. Needs some sting out of the ground in this grade. Forgetting for now.
This Week’s Black Booked Runners:
Calculated – Randwick Race 1: 2nd ($5):
Paraded very big with a ton of improvement to come. Drifted accordingly late in betting to SP at $5 with as much as $7 being offered at some places. Despite this, the So You Think Colt ran a quality race. Settled on the inside of the winner (Savatiano: $6) off mid-field and eventually got over its heels to finish 2nd by 0.3L.
Having been given 60.5kg last run, it’s obvious he’s the best horse in the race. Possessing a serious SP profile in Saturday grade, highlighted by starting a $3 favourite in the Group 3 Up and Coming won by Dracarys. Looked to be travelling better on and through the line better than the winner, indicating a step up in trip will be ideal next start.
Where to Next? 1200m-1300m BM75 for 3YO’s
Bint El Bedu – Caulfield Race 6: 3rd ($5):
Jumped only ok from the widest 12 gate, forcing M.Dee to take the mare right back to third last, some 10L off the leader and eventual winner Etah James ($5). Clipped up and asked the question some 600m from home and kept responding to come hard late and finish 3rd by 1.85L. Unsurprisingly her late splits were the fastest of the race at an impressive 11.14 (400m-200m) and 11.57 (200m-post).
Trusting the form out of this race, with the winner showing a fair amount of promise too. Being lightly raced and first-up after a short freshen this well-bred mare has a stack of upside. Will take some beating in staying races over the Summer months.
Where to Next? BM75-85 over 2400-2600m (Handicap conditions ideal)