Racing returns to Sandown this Wednesday and with fine weather the horses should get a firm track to race on for a change.
The curator is tipping the track to be a Good 3 and the weather will be sunny on the day.
The false rail is shifted right out to 12 metres but Sandown is a spacious track and has a long straight for back-markers to run home. The day kicks off with two maidens but there looks to be a couple of stand-outs in each heat.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 4,5 – 6,11 – 4,5 – 2,14
Wide Play: 3,4,5,6 – 1,5,6,11 – 1,2,4,5 – 1,5,7,14
BEST BET: R3 – 10. JUSTSIMMER
Next Best Bet: R5 – 5. WHISTLER BOWL
Best Roughie: R6 – 5. FINE EVADER
No9 HERMANITO hails from the mighty stable of Darren Weir and has been placed at his two starts. Was an easing $2.40 favourite last time when finishing a sound third over 1400m maiden at Warrnambool on December 12. John Allen replaces Dean Yendall today and can break the ice.
No7 ALMSCHEL resumed from a 23-week spell with a highly promising second in a 1300m maiden at Bendigo on December 6. Hails from the leading yard of Team Hayes and No. 1 stable jockey Regan Bayliss is taking the ride. He has been placed twice at his four starts and looms as a big danger.
No8 BLINKY O’REILLY has been knocking on the door at his recent starts in similar company. Latest he ran a good fourth over 1300m maiden at Bendigo on December 6. He was finishing right on their hammer and should get a nice run from gate three and has Craig Williams to steer.
No11 MR MONEY BAGS has a critical gear change with the blinkers going on for the first time. Latest he ran a solid fourth in a 1400m maiden at Warranmbool on December 12. Has a slightly better draw in gate eight today and gets top apprentice Beau Mertens as his new pilot.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 MR MONEY BAGS
No10 PLEASURING has been placed at three of four starts and gets the State’s leading jockey Damian Lane to ride of Darren Weir. Lethal combination and she will be a top chance here on last start narrow second over 1300m maiden at Warrnambool on November 30. Was the $2.60 favourite that day
No3 CAPTIVATOR has had several critical gear changes with the biggest one being gelded. Also will sport blinkers for the first time with the winkers coming off. Last start ran second in a 1400m maiden at Pakenham on the synthetic track on July 30. Has a rock solid first up record and bears thought.
No12 ANOTHER FLAG has finished second on previous two starts and likely to throw his hat in the ring once more in this field.
No9 LOOK BEHIND gave a good sight at debut when finishing strongly to run second over 1200m F&M maiden at Mornington on December 8. She has drawn a shade wide in 11 at her second career start and was a big drifter from $2.70 to $6 at her debut. Suggest to watch the market as is a punting stable.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 LOOK BEHIND
No10 JUSTSIMMER (BEST BET) certainly lived up to name with simmered home to win by 5 lengths at debut over 1121m maiden at Geelong on November 19. Was backed into a $2.90 favourite that day and the daughter of Hard Spun never looked in doubt after taking over the command at the turn to dominate. Chris Caserta’s 3kg claim reduces her weight down to a most comfortable 55kg for today.
No13 SHOKORA comes here from a maiden win on the synthetic at Geelong. That was a great effort.
No11 ROYALE EFFORT was a $3.70 favourite when she ran a solid third at Bendigo over 1400m last start.
No5 BUCK BAY started career on the highest note possible when a smart 2.75 length winner in a 1200m maiden at Hamilton. This is up a grade.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 BUCK BAY
No9 HOLY SEAL has won twice and been placed three times at five starts. The three-year-old filly is resuming from a 25-week spell and has a good record fresh of one starts for a second. She is perfectly drawn in gate two and with Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim will carry a comfortable 56kg today.
No6 BOORADLEY will be blindfolded for the first time into the barrier stalls. Latest ran a good third over 1300m here on July 19. He has won and been placed three times at his four starts so he is most reliable. First-up record is great with a win and a third at two starts so he has lots in his corner.
No145 SCUZI has an excellent record when racing fresh of four starts for three wins and a second. He resumed here from a 14-week break after finishing seventh at Caserton on September 10. Justin Huxtable‘s 3kg claim reduces his weight to only 54kg. The stable is in form too.
No8 CASQUE ran a top second over 1100m at Morphettville last start on August 8. Resumes here with top jockey Luke Nolen to ride for Robbie Laing and finished in the money at three of his prior four starts in Adelaide. The draw in gate three is a big help fresh.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 CASQUE
No5 WHISTLER BOWL (NEXT BEST BET) returned to the track in style with a big win over 1800m here on November 29. Was at the good odds of $5 that day and trumped ˙is rivals by 2.75 length in dashing fashion. Has been kept fresh with a three–week gap between starts and only rises a kilo to 59.5kg. Has an inside alley in gate three to give a comfortable run. Looks a good bet.
No3 DOMESTICATED finished a neck away from the winner here last start and looks the main danger here.
No4 STORM HARBOUR has a critical gear change with a tongue-tie going on for the first time. Extra distance here will suit.
No6 ADATTO was at double figure odds when ran a grand second here last start and would keep safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No12 RIVER GODDESS
No11 CORRS was stepped up to this distance for the first time and did peak when finishing fourth over 2400m here on November 22. She had won at Cranbourne over 2080m and been placed at Hamilton over 2200m at her prior two starts and top jockey Linda Meech is the new rider.
No6 MICHELIN was having his second run over 2400m at Bendigo when running a fair third on December 6. He was the $2.90 favourite that day and was placed second here over 2400m on November 22. Gets a cross-over noseband on for the first time today and keep safe.
No12 GRAND CASINO rises in distance today on a good third over 1600m here on December 2. That was a great effort from a three-week break and hails from an astute stable in John Sadler. Sadler has booked top jockey Craig Williams to ride the three-year-old at his first try over this trip.
No5 FINE EVADER (BEST ROUGHIE) had to dig very deep to post a narrow win over 2200m at Ballarat last month. Was then backed into $8 from $11 when finishing a solid second over 2025m at Kyneton on December 7. Jamie Mott is the new rider.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 FINE EVADER
No5 FROMPARIS WITHLOVE was pulling away on the line to score a smart .75 length win over 1400m against her own sex at Werribee on December 10. She returns today for a clash against her own sex and Stephen Baster will again ride. She drops a kilo to 57.5kg and has drawn gate two. Nice chance.
No2 TRINITY HILL has been freshened up for this encounter with a three-week break. Latest ran a close fifth after losing her balance over 1200m against her own sex at Moonee Valley on December 1. With Brandon Stockdale’s 2kg claim she will carry 57kg, which is 3.5kg less than last time out.
No3 HECTOPASCAL has an important gear change with the blinkers going on for the first time. Latest she ran a fair fourth over 1400m here against her own sex on November 29. She will carry 56kg with Ethan Brown’s 2kg claim, which is a half-kilo less than she carried the last time she was here.
No4 ALMA’S ROSSA was pressing hard down the outside when finishing a strong third over 1400m here against her own sex on November 29. She faces a few of those mares again here and with Mitchell Aitken’s 3kg claim will again carry 54.5kg today. She must rate as a good each-way chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 FROMPARIS WITHLOVE
No2 DUSTY JACK struck a bog track when floundered finishing ninth over 1400m at Ballarat on November 25. Has been given three weeks to recover and will be on top of the ground today. The in-form Perth apprentice Fred Kersley’s 2kg claim reduces his impost to 60kg and looks a nice bet.
No14 SIMPLY INVINCIBLE looked prime for a frontal assault with a smart win over 880m in a trial at Tatura on December 11. That was his second hit-out in preparation for today and he has a fair first-up record of a placing at three starts. Gets ace jockey Craig Williams to ride and that is a bonus.
No5 HE’S A MORAL has been in stellar form with two wins from his past five starts. Latest he ran a strong third out wide over 1200m at Moonee Valley on December 8. Justin Huxtable’s 3kg claim reduces his impost down to a more comfortable 58kg. That is a kilo less weight than last time.
No4 TANGO ROCK with the 2kg claim of apprentice Ethan Brown will carry 59.5kg. He was rattling home strongly last start when finishing seventh over 1200m at Moonee Valley on December 1. He was backed from $10 into $7.50 that time and would take a close look at here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 TANGO ROCK