Newcastle for our Boxing Day meeting in the Sydney provincial area, we have seven races on the card here with some smaller fields throughout. The rail comes out to the 10m position today after being at the 3m on Saturday. Weather in the lead up is fine, track good.
QUADDIES (races 4-5-6-7)
Skinny Play: 2 - 1,2,3 - 4,8 - 5,6
Wide Play: 2 - 1,2,3,6 - 4,5,8 - 5,6,8,11
BEST BET: R4 – 2. NEVER BEEN ANOTHER
Next Best Bet: R1 – 2. ISLE OF CAPRI
Best Roughie: R3 – 5. TRY A LIL HARDER
No2 ISLE OF CAPRI (NEXT BEST) was good enough first-up in a race which should hold up well enough here. The from out of her first prep is quite good. That should hold up well here and the step to 1400m looks ideal and she should be winning this.
No3 LIGHTS OF COMO gets a good run on the map here from the gate, he will be closing late.
No6 TE AMO has never lived up to the hype that he had on him early days. 1400m looks suitable.
No5 BELLE OF PORTUGAL was good enough last start in the same race as Te Amo and should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 LIGHTS OF COMO
No2 MR SMART has been going well enough as of late and the 1600m has proven to be his best distance.
No3 NACHO LIBRE has been quite good in his past two races in better company than this at Canterbury and the wide open spaces suit here.
No1 MAKEADANE has been going ok enough as of late. I wouldn’t be shocked if Penza rolled forward here from the gate.
No4 EXCITED PRINCE found the line well enough last start, this is a lot weaker and he should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 MAKEADANE
No5 TRY A LIL HARDER (BEST ROUGHIE) resumes off a long break here and you have to look through her form to realize she should be a good chance here if fit enough. Fickle Folly and Manya are Saturday class horses.
No4 STRATEGIC TIMES has trialled well enough coming into this and should run well at home.
No3 RAINOVER MANHATTAN has some ok enough form around her and has been trialing well coming in.
No2 OAKFIELD TWILIGHT was poor on debut when starting as fav. The trial coming in was good.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 TRY A LIL HARDER
No2 NEVER BEEN ANOTHER (BEST BET) got the job done in good order last start in what was a good form maiden. This isn’t a stronger race than this and the step up in trip isn’t an issue at all. He has the least convictions against him and he should prove too strong.
No5 JUST BUTE comes out of an ok enough race last start where the winner has won again since.
No6 SET THE TONE has been going well enough as of late and comes back in grade here.
No8 KADOMA MAN comes out of the same race as Never Been Another last start and was good enough there.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 SET THE TONE
No3 JUST KEEP GIVING comes out of much better form than this and was quite good last start.
No2 EQUIPPED although a maiden finds a very weak race here and has been going quite well as of late.
No1 CINEMA PARADISO has been in solid form late without winning, she finds a race to breakthrough in here.
No6 MISS MUMAZARA brings some, ok enough Victorian provincial form to this, watch the betting as this isn’t the best race.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 MISS MUMAZARA
No8 INDISPUTABLE was really good when finding the line on debut. He gets a better run on the map here and looks hard to beat.
No4 APACHE JUNCTION gets the blinkers on for the first time here and has been trialing well coming into this.
No5 ART OF MORE has been going well enough as of late and finds Penza here and has his chance to breakthrough.
No7 CALIFORNIAFIREBIRD was quite good on debut when running though the line behind Indisputable and should run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 APACHE JUNCTION
No5 WALSHIE won well second-up at Orange in a solid race, now that he is third up he looks set to peak here.
No6 INQUIRY was ok enough first-up when starting a short price fav. He gets a good run on the map here and has a chance.
No8 VINNIE POWER has been in quite form as of late and won well last start and it was a well deserved win. She should run well again.
No11 MADAME MOUSTACHE finds as weak a race as she has run in for some time. She has ability.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 MADAME MOUSTACHE