Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Randwick for the last City meeting of 2017. Don’t stress, we are back here on Monday for another meeting. This is a pretty good card, which has shocked me a touch with all the meetings we have currently. The 2yo race to kick off the day is a cracker. Chance we may get a shower come race day, but that should just even it out a touch. Rail out 6m doing form for a good track.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 1,5,13 - 1,4,5 - 6,8,9 - 1,2
Wide Play: 1,4,5,9,13 - 1,4,5,8,12 - 3,6,8,9 - 1,2,4,10
BEST BET: R1 – 1. LEGISLATION
Next Best Bet: R5 – 6. BRAVE SONG
Best Roughie: R8 – 8. XEBEC
R1 – 12.30pm. New Years Day At Royal Randwick Plate - 1100m.
No1 LEGISLATION (BEST BET) was arguably the second best win of the 2yo season (behind Performer) when winning on debut at Rosehill, he jumped, ran and kept on running in what was a brilliant performance. That showed that he still had a stack of improvement despite running them into the ground. The trial since was quite good and he looked to go through his work well, if he has taken any improvement at all, he will be winning and hard to beat in the Magic Millions.
No14 FEARLESS GIRL has been trialing well coming into the debut run here, being from the Gai yard, she will roll forward and try to run them into the ground.
No9 SECRET LADY won well last start and has trialled well since, the hype train is in overdrive here due to the SWR comparisons, but she ran no figures when winning.
No8 MORPHEUS gets Shinn here over Legislation which is a touch confusing. He has also trialled in good order and with Blinkers on for the debut he will be in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MORPHEUS
R2 – 1.05pm. TAB Handicap - 1300m.
No2 SASSO CORBARO has come back a better horse this time in, I love how she was placed by Lees first up to get that kill, and didn’t she what. Running fantastic time with the stable relaying that she had a lot of improvement to come from that. If she does do that she will be very hard to beat.
No3 EPIDEMIC has been good at winning the past two in very good style, she beat Seaway two back who has won twice since then. She did enough when winning at Rosehill, the trial since was quite good and she is in very good form.
No1 MEMORY BANK comes from Victoria and gets a good claim here to meet these fillies closer at the weights. She keeps on improving and looks the likely leader from barrier 1 here and if she can get some cheap sections she could keep, kicking and prove too strong.
No5 BELLA VELLA won well when resuming at Hawkesbury, she didn’t run as good a sectionals as Sasso Corbaro that day, but she also looked to have a lot of improvement to come from that. She doesn’t need to lead, but Hippo may take that option up if Memory Bank is slow to move.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SASSO CORBARO
R3 – 1.40pm. Book Summer Hospitality Today Mile - 1600m.
No5 DREAMFORCE drops well in weight here, and finds a much easier race than last start when he went along at a suicidal pace and knocked up late there. From gate 6 he will be able to cruise across and roll along at his own clip here, and provided he isn’t flat after last start, he should be winning.
No4 NEW UNIVERSE looks ready for the mile after three runs back this time in. He closed off well enough last start behind the stablemate, and the wide open expanses of Randwick should suit him here. Glyn will have to be on alert that Dreamforce isn’t getting an easy time however.
No3 LIAPARI ran up to his profile first-up, where he doesn’t do too much but has a much better second-up record and getting to the mile does suit here. This time last year / over the summer he did a good job in races like this and looks to be well placed again.
No6 HUNTER JACK gets good weight relief for King here and gets a super-cosy run of it on the map just behind the leader. He has been going well this time in with the two placings from as many starts. The weight drop is a big benefit and he has his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 LIAPARI
R4 – 2.15pm. TAB.com.au Handicap - 1100m.
No5 LADY OF CREBILLY comes out of a very good race last start at Sandown, where she just got too far out of her ground there. She has been freshened since and does have to come back to the 1100m which is a slight concern. But does get the big Randwick track to wind up here.
No4 FROM WITHIN was placed in a poor race first-up, where she was drawn to get such a run there. On the map, what happened was always going to happen. She had trialled well coming in. But wasn’t at all placed well. If she improves / still has it in her, she will be hard to beat.
No1 JUNGLIZED has a solid enough record with four wins from the 10 starts thus far. He has had a trial since the last start where he wasn’t too bad behind Epidemic. I don’t think he was at all suited to leading last start. He can sit off them here.
No3 EQUAL BALANCE comes out of the same race as Junglized last start and found the line well enough there. The bigger field does suit him a touch more here and Melham gets a good drag into the race from gate 2.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 FROM WITHIN
R5 – 2.50pm. #THERACES Handicap - 1200m.
No6 BRAVE SONG (NEXT BEST BET) was nothing short of fantastic first-up at Canterbury, when making a long run and overcoming trouble to win there, in what has been one of the better wins I’ve seen there in some time. He can only improve from that second-up here and the wide open spaces of Randwick are going to suit much better. Glyn can stay out of trouble from barrier 5, as the chute start doesn’t penalize if caught wide. He should go right past them.
No2 FLOW wasn’t given the best rides last start by Brown and knocked up late there. There is a chance he could be a touch flat after that as he does rise up to 59kgs here too.
No4 GHOSTLY comes out of some solid enough form last time in. The two trials leading in have been good enough and he has his chance.
No1 CRAFTY COP comes out of some good form last time in, but doesn’t like winning and hasn’t done for some time. The trial coming in was good enough.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 GHOSTLY
R6 – 3.30pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1100m.
No1 ALL STAND was brilliant last start when getting run down late by the hype horse. He is doing this all on his first prep, but seems to be thriving on his racing. From gate 1 he will jump and run along here, this is a touch weaker race and he deserves the win.
No13 ACQUITTAL has had two starts for two placings, but has been doing a lot wrong in both of those runs. I do think that the form out of the last start will hold up quite well. But he needs to have his barrier manners in order to show his best. He is also eligible for weaker races and seems a touch of unders.
No5 TERRITORIAL has been doing a great job for Tash Burleigh and brings some very good form to this. He showed that he has a different bow to his string, by leading all the way last time. He doesn’t need to do that here as he can sit behind the leader here.
No4 MOLASSES brings very good fresh form to this winning 2/2 and comes to this off the back of two wins last time in before going for a spell. The trial leading in was quite good and he will run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 MOLASSES
R7 – 4.10pm. Christmas Classic - 1200m.
No1 MUSIC MAGNATE is clearly the best horse in this field, as he is a Group 1 winner against some lesser profiled horses here. I am forgetting his last prep as nothing went right on that Eagle Farm track. He has trialed in good order coming in and looks like he is back.
No4 KURO gets a super soft run on the map here from gate 1 and really ran right through the line there behind Zestful. That sort of a run style will suit him here as he has that short sharp burst and has form around Music Magnate.
No5 ECKSTEIN must be on her way to the Magic Millions again given the timing of her fresh run here. She arguably should have won the Myer Classic in the spring when having no luck at all. 1100m short of her best, but she will be charging late.
No12 MY COUNTRY gets a soft run on the map here and looks to have found her form again. The trial since the last start behind Zumbelina was solid and she looks to be going well.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 KURO
R8 – 4.50pm. Hyland Boxing Day Sale Handicap - 1800m.
No6 ZOURKHAN should improve second-up from a spell, he comes out of a fast run race there and was really strong through the line there. The form will hold up out of that and he will run well here.
No3 GAMBLER’S BLUES was a strong winner last start, and despite the drop back to 1800m I don’t see why he can’t do it again, a lot of these horses have been going up against each other for a long while now and he is in form.
No8 XEBEC (BEST ROUGHIE) comes out of the same race as Zourkhan last start and like him was very strong through the line and ran some good sectionals, he can only improve here and up in distance suits too.
No9 VAUCLUSE BAY comes out of the same race again, and what I have said above I have to say again. Strong through the line and up in distance here suits and Melham sticks here.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 XEBEC
R9 – 5.30pm. ATC Owners Benefit Card Sprint - 1200m.
No2 O’RACHAEL should only improve from the first-up run where she charged through the line behind Anatola. The form out of that race will hold up well and she is a good chance here.
No1 ANATOLA was awesome when winning last start, and was quite good there when leading all the way and breaking their hearts. She goes up well in weight here which is a slight concern. But she looks to have found her form.
No10 SUGAR BELLA was a late scratching at the gates last start and would have been a short priced fav in the Anatola race. She comes to this second-up, but some freshness may have been knocked out of her due to going to the races two weeks ago, and she has her chance.
No4 STAR REFLECTION was a good winner second-up in a good prizemoney race at Muswellbrook, she came out of a good race fresh at Rosehill, and now third-up she looks set to peak.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 STAR REFLECTION