Cranbourne (Friday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Cranbourne today’s best bet is in race 5.
Well punters are going to get their first taste of hot in the New Year with sweltering weather forecast for Victoria and South Australian this weekend.
The mercury is expected to soar into the 40’s causing havoc with the race meeting programmed over the first weekend of 2018.
Fortunately Cranbourne is at night but it is going to be hot travelling in the floats for the horses to the course. Looks an even lot of fields on this eight-race card. The track is rated as a Good 4 and the weather is hot. The false rail will be out to three metres.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 2 – 3 – 5 – 2,11
Wide Play: 2,3 – 1,3 – 5,11 – 2,4,11,12
BEST BET: R5 – 2. CHILL THE CHAMPERS
Next Best Bet: R4 – 4.CAPTIVATOR
Best Roughie: R7 – 6. HEART OF AUSTRALIA
R1 – 6.30pm. TAB Multiplier Maiden Plate – 2025m.
No7 UNRESOLVED has shown good form over the longer journeys in the past and will relish his rise in distance on his first-up sixth over 1400m maiden at Echuca on December 20. Joshua Bryon’s 2kg claim reduces his weight to 56.5kg.
No2 EL CHORRILLO has had his hoof on the till with successive seconds in this class. Latest he ran a strong second over 2050m at Moe on a maiden on December 12. He was heavily backed into a $2.70 favourite but was outgunned.
No8 SARTEANO STAR has been placed third at past three starts in similar company. Latest he ran a solid third over 2050m maiden at Moe on December 12. He clashes again with El Chorillo today and with the 1.5kg claim will carry 55.5kg.
No9 THE AUDITOR was stepped up in distance and ran home well to capture second over 1950m in a maiden at Yarra Valley on December 22. Gets top jockey Nikita Beriman to ride again and is now primed for this trip.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 THE AUDITOR
R2 – 7.00pm. Procon Developments F&M Maiden Plate – 1300m.
No8 HARDLY SURPRISING will be bound to have reaped reward from her debut when flashing home into second over 1100m maiden at Moe on December 15. Top jockey Regan Bayliss replaces Luke Nolen and those who took the $1.75 can get their money back.
No7 DRAMATIST will sport winkers for the first time. She ran a fair third over 1400m in a F&M maiden at Pakenham on November 16. Was given a respite after going down as a $2.40 favourite and is anticipated to rebound here.
No10 RERELEASE beat all but the winner last start over 1300m maiden here on December 22. Gave a great sight that day and from another inside alley in gate two should get the favours in running. Goes up 1.5kg to 56.5kg.
No11 ROCOCO CHANEL kept on working home through the pack when finishing fourth over 1300m fillies maiden at her debut at Geelong on December 26. Leading apprentice Ben Allen rides but he has no claim and she carries 56.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 RERELEASE
R3 – 7.30pm. NP Distribution 3YO Maiden Plate – 1400m.
No8 THE CHARMER looks to have good claims here on his last-start second over 1400m maiden here on December 16. He gets No. 1 stable jockey Regan Bayliss as his new pilot and has a superior alley in barrier three.
No1 AMSCHEL the addition of blinkers for the first time should improve. Ran a fair seventh over 1400m maiden at Sandown on December 20. Was steady in the betting at $6. Gets a change of rider with Andrew Mallyon taking the reins.
No12 SOMETHING SILVER was making good headway down the home stretch when finishing fifth over 1100m in a Fillies maiden at Bendigo on September 1. She was a roughie that day at $81 but showed plenty of grit.
No10 LAST LIGHT drops back to a country maiden after running a fair fourth over 1300m maiden at Sandown on December 20. Ace jockey Craig Williams is taking the trouble to drive here to ride and is well drawn in gate four.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 LAST LIGHT
R4 – 8.00pm. Mypunter.com Maiden Plate – 1500m
No4 CAPTIVATOR (NEXT BEST BET) resumed from a 20-week spell with a good third over 1300m 3YO maiden at Sandown on December 20. Was steady in the betting at $5.50 and chased hard to whole length of the straight to be breathing down the leaders necks. Has a great draw in gate four and will take plenty of benefit from the experience. Looks one of the better bets on the card.
No11 JOIE DE DREAM with the addition of winkers would expect to be sharper and been placed third at two starts.
No2 RED LIBERTY gets to wear blinkers for the first time and has been placed at three of past four starts.
No1 INVINSKI Looms with each-way claims on current form with successive placings in similar company.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 INVINSKI
R5 – 8.30pm. gavelhouse.com Class 1 Handicap – 1500m.
No2 CHILL THE CHAMPERS (BEST BET) will wear the barrier blanket for the first time and will have a lugging bit too for the first time. Ran third in the Group 2 WATC Derby (2400m) two starts ago for Perth trainer Fred Kersley. He is now with Team Hayes and the top stable’s No. 1 rider Regan Bayliss rides the mare at her Victorian debut. She has a solid first-up record of a win at three starts and will be primed here.
No3 MAHAMEDEIS broke the ice to win a 1400m maiden two starts ago. Looms as the main danger.
No1 HAKERAK will race near the speed and will relish the big drop in class today. Makes nice claims.
No4 CALL TO JUSTICE has been placed twice at past four starts and will be thereabouts again.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 CALL TO JUSTICE
R6 – 9.00pm. NZB Karaka2018 F&M BM64 Handicap – 1400m.
No3 NICODAME scored a brilliant win at this track three starts ago. Latest she ran a closing fifth over 1400m against her own sex at Sandown on December Senior rider Harry Coffey takes the reins from a 3kg apprentice.
No5 SHE’S GOING OFF should relish the three-week break. Her recent form has been tops with two wins from her past five starts. Latest she ran a strong fifth in higher class over 1200m at Moonee Valley on December 15. She carries the same weight on 59kg today and top jockey Michael Dee again rides here.
No7 HI SUPPOSE the blinkers come off and the visors go on for the first time. Latest ran a close sixth over 1170m at Echuca against her own sex on December 20. The 1.5kg claim drops her weight to 55.5kg here.
No1 LOVE IN THE CITY struck a smart field when finishing 13th to Bella Martini over 1200m at Caulfield on December 26. That also was against her own sex and she is on the quick back up tonight. Carries 60kg with the claim.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 LOVE IN THE CITY
R7 – 9.30pm. gavelhouse.com Handicap – 1000m.
No5 KYZAMBA won impressively at Seymour before running a good sixth over 955m at Moonee Valley on December 8. She has been kept fresh for this encounter and has an outstanding record here of two starts for a win and a second.
No11 WATCH ME BLUSH has been placed at two of her three starts at this track. Last start she ran a solid fourth over 1200m here on November 24. She has an excellent first-up record of a win and a second at three starts.
No6 HEART OF AUSTRALIA (BEST ROUGHIE) is a former Gold Coast sprinter making her debut here. Has an outstanding record of two wins and three seconds at her past five starts there. She comes here off a 20-week spell and watch.
No4 STRICTLY LEGIT has won and been placed third at his three starts. Ran a fair fourth over 1200m at Moonee Valley last start, which was 49 weeks ago. Obviously he has issues, but is from Team Hayes and will be primed.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 HEART OF AUSTRALIA
R8 – 10.00pm. NZB Karaka2018 BM64 Handicap – 1400m.
No11 SHALLOTTI has yet to taste defeat at two barrier trials and a race start. Made an imposing debut to win over 1200m maiden at Seymour on December 21. Top jockey Craig Williams is taking the trouble to drive here to ride.
No4 BLUE TYCOON has the winkers coming off for the first time. Latest ran a fair ninth over 1400m at Sandown on December 20. Was heavily backed that day from $6 into $4.80 and was slightly disappointing. Can rebound.
No7 CRITICAL THINKING won well over 1200m at Seymour three starts ago. Has not raced since finishing unplaced in a Group 3 over 1400m in Brisbane on May 27. Has a solid first-up record and gets Michael Dee to ride.
No2 LITTLE BITA SPUNK loves this track and with Mitchell Aitken’s claim will carry 60.5kg. Has a record of seven starts for two wins and four placings here and expect to give a good account in spite of the big weight.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 LITTLE BITA SPUNK