Warrnambool (Sunday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Warrnambool. Today’s best bet is in race 6.
The anticipated cool change should make the weather far more bearable for today’s Koriot Cup meeting.
Leading Victorian trainer Darren Weir saddles a strong team at The Bool today – he was leading trainer at the Bool’s famous three-day carnival last May if you remember, so keep a close watch on his gallopers and have a peek at Irish import Kings With Dreams in Race 5. Has very good form back home but no trial form here to guide.
The track will be perfect rated as a Good 4 with the false rail shifted to the three-metre position from the 1200m to the 300m and at the true for the remainder. The weather should be fine.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1,2 – 4,6 – 1,2 – 3,8
Wide Play: 1,2,3 – 4,6,7 -1,2,7 -2,3,8
BEST BET: R6 – 6. FLORAL FEVER
Next Best Bet: R8 – 8. TOFFATIN
Best Roughie: R7 – 4. BARMAID FROM WYE
R1 – 12.58pm. Fabriweld Constructions 3YO Maiden Plate – 1200m.
No4 SCALLYWAG showed plenty of courage at debut when finishing strongly to run second over 1100m 3yo maiden at Horsesham on December 17. He was at $10 that day and won’t be at those odds here.
No6 CARIBBEAN PEARL has an important gear change with the tongue tie going on and the winkers coming off. Flew the coup to win by 4 lengths in an 800m trial at Colac on December 18. The filly has yet to be placed at five starts but she was not far behind last prep.
*SCRATCHED* No10 TRISCILLA worked home steadily to snatch third over 1000m maiden at Cranbourne on December 16. Was well fancied at $3.80 and did enough in the straight despite being well beaten to warrant here.
No9 SPLASHETTE found the winner too strong but worked hard to claim the runner-up prize over 1400m maiden here on December 12. Was the well backed one of the race shortening from $3.10 into $2.60. Nice chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 SPLASHETTE
R2 – 1.33pm. L Davidson & Sons F&M Maiden Plate – 1400m.
No9 HARDLY SURPRISING showed potential at debut when was a $1.75 favourite worked hard to run second over 1100m maiden at Moe on December 12. The winner was too clever that day and she will be improved for the outing.
No10 SO YOU LEICA is a filly by staying sire So You Think making her debut for the leading stable of Darren Weir. Weir has booked his top stable jockey Dean Yendall to ride and from barrier six she should get a cosy run. Watch betting.
No2 DUANEO’S SISTER was a soft $4.60 favourite before finishing third over 1400m against her own sex here on December 12. Talia Hope’s 1.5kg claim reduces her weight to 56.5kg and the apprentice is flying at the moment.
No1 BANRI DE HERO is a four-year-old mare wearing a tongue tie for the first time fresh from a 21-week spell. She has shown ability at her three starts and her sole placing when third was at this track. Looks one of the better chances.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 BANSI DE HERO
R3 – 2.08pm. Roma Britnell MP Maiden Plate – 2009m.
*SCRATCHED* No15 WAR PIGLET went down in a strong fight finishing a close second over 1600m maiden at Werribee on December 24. That was her third start and her first pay cheque. From barrier four should be a top chance again.
No11 IMPERIAL EDITION is by noted staying sire Reset and looks the main danger on his strong third over 1600m maiden at Seymour on December 21. She will have the polish of top trainer Darren Weir. Stable jockey Dean Yendall is on board.
No4 POLICE CAMP is an English bred galloper who defied a big betting drift from $4.40 to $8 to run a cracking first-up third over 1700m here on December 31. He is on the quick back up, but if he repeats is a good chance.
No8 CONDOVER HALL refused to surrender when running a close second over 1700m in a maiden here on December 31. The three-year-old colt is by staying sire Mastercraftsman and is trained and ridden by Michelle Payne.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 CONDOVER HALL
R4 – 2.43pm. Sungold Milk Maiden Plate – 1200m.
No11 IRISH DELIGHT has the perfect alley in gate one and ran the best race of three start career when finishing second over 1100m maiden here on November 30. She was backed from $14 into $10 that time and gets a senior rider today.
No12 LAKE LONI was unwanted in the betting at $31 but surprised with a big effort to run a narrow second over 1100m maiden at Stawell on December 9. Has a superior draw in gate four and Christine Puls rides again.
No10 DUECOURSE has an important gear change with blinkers going on for the first time and also has top rider Linda Meech to steer. Was backed into a $2.60 favourite when fourth over 1100m at Geelong in June last start. Goes well fresh.
No3 PARTY TIGER the barrier in 14 should prove no issue as likely to race off the speed. He is on the quick back up after running sixth over 1400m maiden here on December 31. Race hardened and makes appeal today.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 PARTY TIGER
R5 – 3.20pm. Mickey Bourke's Koroit Hotel BM64 Handicap – 1200m.
*SCRATCHED* No1 FORTIFY was a brilliant winner over 1100m at Ararat two starts ago. Drops back in class here on last start 10th over 1200m at Caulfield on December 16. Has drawn perfectly in gate six to be prominent again.
No3 FLORIDA PEARL has a great fresh record of a win and two placings at four starts. She has not raced since finishing13th here over 1400m on a bog track on August 24. Carries 58kg with the 1.5kg claim of Talia Hope.
No7 FAVONSKI showed plenty of courage and fought gamely enough when finishing eighth over 1200m against her own sex at Moonee Valley on December 15. Was never on the track and back in the country rates.
No2 KINGS WILL DREAM is an Irish import in the hands of top trainer Darren Weir. Has not been seen in public but the son of Casemento was gelded during his break and has won over 1600m at home. Has raced three times for a win and two thirds.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 KINGS WILL DREAM
R6 – 3.55pm. Daly's IGA Koroit Cup – 1700m.
No6 FLORAL FEVER (BEST BET) has a critical gear change with the blinkers going on for the first time and the winkers coming off. Is out to exact revenge after finishing a close third to Artie’s Shore over 1700m here on December 31. Carries the same weight on 54kg here and gets the talented Dean Yendall to ride again from barrier nine.
No4 ARTIE’S SHORE has the wood on Floral Fever but meets his foe 1.5kg worse on 55.5kg for beating him by half a length over 1700m here on December 31.
No7 SIGA LA VACA has won twice from past five starts and looms as one of the main dangers.
No2 OUR BOTTINO drops down in class on last-start seventh in a Listed race at Caulfield. Keep safe.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 OUR BOTTINO
R7 – 4.25pm. Gillear Lime & Sandstone BM58 Handicap – 1400m.
No2 GREAT SOUTHERN has hot jockey Dean Yendall to ride for trainer Darren Weir and will be on the speed. This is far easier than when seventh over 1300m at Bendigo on December 17. Looks a good chance.
*SCRATCHED* No1 CAPE SOUNION was plunged into a $2 favourite and just missed getting the money when second over 1100m at Horsham on December 17. The blinkers go back on again and the winkers come off. The 3kg claim reduces the impost to 58.5kg.
No7 YOU WOULD THINK has been in the money at three of past five starts. Latest was backed from $7.50 into $4.80 when finishing a close third over 1500m at Geelong on December 26. Winning jockey Jarrod Fry is back riding.
No4 BARMAID FROM WYE (BEST ROUGHIE) found the winner too strong but fought on well to run second against her own sex over 1400m at Werribee on December 24. She was not wanted in the betting at $20 and is a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 BARMAID FROM WYE
R8 – 5.05pm. The Midfield Group BM64 Handicap – 2009m.
No8 TOFFATIN (NEXT BEST BET) was a brilliant winner at Swan Hill this campaign and likes this track. Was heavily backed from $8 into $4.60 before finishing sixth over 1750m at Geelong on December 14. Was scraping the outside Dulux was so wide and gets a critical gear change with a tongue tie going on and the blinkers coming off. Drawn wide in 12 but has plenty of time to cross.
No3 COLUMN won at Pakenham three starts ago and was a solid second over 1850m at Kyneton last start.
No2 LEISHMAN posted two good wins over 1500m and 1600m before last-start fifth over 1750m.
*SCRATCHED* No7 GOLD SEAL at three starts at this track has been placed twice so would keep safe today.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 GOLD SEAL