Gosford (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Godford. Today’s best bet is in race 7
Gosford for our Thursday provincial meeting here in the Sydney region of New South Wales. We got absolutely battered with rain on Tuesday and there is some more on the way looking at the radar. The track is currently a good 4 and we could get anywhere from 10 -100mls before race time, wet track form is your best friend here. Rail is in the true position.
QUADDIES (races 4-5-6-7)
Skinny Play: 1,8 - 7,8 - 2,3,6 - 1
Wide Play: 1,8,9,12 - 5,7,8 - 2,3,6,8 - 1,4,5
BEST BET: R7 – 1. SPENDING TO WIN
Next Best Bet: R2 – 4. NEW HORIZONS
Best Roughie: R3 – 8. ZAVEENA
R1 – 1.50pm. TAB.com.au Benchmark 61 Handicap - 1000m.
No1 WING SNIPPER is well weighted after the claim here, and may well be a jump, hold on and hope ride here for Toms. The trial coming in was quite good and his fresh record is quite good and he should run well.
No4 CASH STRAPPED has been going well enough this time in and gets a good run of it on the map from barrier 1, his wet track record is quite concerning however, so connections will be hoping most of the rain avoids the track.
No2 BRIDYN MAY won the maiden in quite slick time last start and raced away from them over the 900m at Newcastle, this is a step up however. But given the way she raced away from them last start and looks the likely leader again, she has a chance.
No3 THORN IN MY SIDE found the line well enough fresh at Newcastle in a race which really wasn’t run to suit him. He does enjoy the wet tracks and will be hoping that the rain keeps on tumbling, he gets a better run race for him here.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 THORN IN MY SIDE
R2 – 2.25pm. Tooheys Maiden Plate - 2100m.
No4 NEW HORIZONS (NEXT BEST BET) finds a race to finally break through here after three good runs this time in and a solid trial since the last-start run. The wet track is going to be no issue as Frankel was a son of Galileo and Miss Keller was a Monjetu mare, that just screams staying wet tracker. He gets a soft run on the map for Angland from gate 1 and if he was ever going to win a race, this is going to be the one, as he isn’t the finished product as of yet.
No9 PERUN will be suited coming back to maiden level and stepping up to the 2100m here. His record looks quite average, but there is some ability level in there and he could just be that dower plugging type who needs ground.
No1 HAILSTORM was solid enough when jumping up in distance last start, he looks the leader again and will be a chance here.
No3 I AM BAYMAX has been going well enough as of late and has been running through the line well, next best in a race which drops away.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 HAILSTORM
R3 – 3.05pm. Eve Electrical & Communications Benchmark 68 Handicap - 1600m.
*SCRATCHED* No2 GRAVITATE won in good order last start when given a great ride by Collett and looks to get a similar run race here again. Wet track shouldn’t be too much of an issue, even though the record is average he has had excuses and I want to be with him.
No5 NO EFFORT NEEDED gets a good run of it here, just behind the leaders from gate 3 and will appreciate the jockey change with Angland going aboard. He has been at his best at the mile in the past and the going will not bother him at all.
No8 ZAVEENA (BEST ROUGHIE) is one who wants the rain to keep on falling, and falling hard. She seems to grow a leg in the wet conditions and gets aided by the claim for McDougall here and should appreciate stepping up to the mile here.
No1 MY FRIEND CHARLIE resumes without a trial coming into the fresh run here and has a host of gear changes. The booking of Parr intrigues me here, as he wouldn’t be on this horse unless the connections thought he was going well.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 ZAVEENA
R4 – 3.40pm. Huckel Excavations 2yo Maiden Plate - 1000m.
No1 BURBANK has been trialing up well coming into the debut run here, I am happy to be with Waller 2yo horses now as he is starting to produce them now and this colt looks to have his fair share of ability, gate 1 on debut helps.
No8 LILITH really knocked up late on debut and should take a lot of improvement out of that run. She was a very well backed favourite there who had been trialing well. How often do we see horses gas out late on debut and then bounce second-up.
No9 OUR DAWN was given a chance in a stronger race than this last week, and draws well in gate 2 here for King. She has improved trial to trial and looks to be a filly of some potential.
*SCRATCHED* No12 TELL NO TALES will more than likely be the best looker coming from the Smith yard, who is one of the best presenters of horses going around. The two trials have been quite good coming into this, but the sticky gate on debut does concern me a touch.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 OUR DAWN
R5 – 4.15pm. ICU Security Maiden Handicap - 1100m.
No8 OXFORD ANGEL should have won on debut simple as that, she was utterly truck-loaded that day and threw it away by missing the kick. She charged late to just miss and it was obvious to all that she should have won. With the benefit of race experience and Shinn getting aboard here, she will be hard to hold out.
No7 EXCELLENT DESIGN has been trialing in very impressive order coming into the debut run here, Thompson’s horses do tend to improve with racing however, which is my only concern about diving into her now.
No5 THIRTY KNOTS has had plenty of trials leading into the debut run and looks very well educated. He has been improving with each one and now is ready for that step to the racetrack. Wet track no issue for a son of Bon Hoffa.
No1 KNOCK TOFF has been going about his business well enough at the trials leading into the debut run here. He gets a great run on the map, just in behind the speed from barrier 1, and Angland will just need that touch of luck coming around the turn and if he does so, he will be in the finish.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 THIRTY KNOTS
R6 – 4.50pm. De Bortoli Wines Takeover Target Stakes - 1200m.
No3 CALANDA won't have an issue with the wet track given his record and breeding. He has been in quite good form this time in, with not much luck and probably should have won a race or two by now. I like Shinn back on board him here, as well as the winkers on as they will sharpen him up that touch which he seemed to be lacking last start.
No2 KURO resumed with a good run in the same race as Calanda last start when finishing off quite strong in the Razor Sharp. He has won this race in the past, it may have been when he was originally with JOS and now that he is back in that stable at Randwick, he seems to be going quite well, as O’Shea has his team going very well at the moment.
No6 SUPREME EFFORT ran right through the line first-up in the Christmas Classic behind Music Magnate, which should be a race which holds up quite well going forward. He has got a very good second-up record and knowing K Waugh, this would have been a target race for him with his good record at the track. From gate 8 Clark can settle that touch closer too.
*SCRATCHED* No8 MACHINE GUN JUBS isn’t well suited at the weights here, but will know her way around here better than anyone in the field given she is at her home track. Her chances will depend on how she jumps and if she can, she can roll across and tuck in behind Chetwood here. If she misses it, as we have seen before, it is game over.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 SUPREME EFFORT
R7 – 5.30pm. Bill Rutledge Cusick Prelude – Class 3 Handicap - 1100m.
No1 SPENDING TO WIN (BEST BET) looks to be brilliantly placed here for a fresh win by the Snowdens after two very nice trials coming into the fresh run. You just need to look through his form to realise why he is going to be super hard to beat here, he started fav in the Group 3 Eskimo Prince, as well as a $3.40 SP vs. Tactical Advantage. Last prep he started very short in two strong Saturday races and was unlucky in both. He now gets into a class 3 with only 60kgs and after those two trials leading in, he should be winning and going onto better things.
No5 STAR OF MONSOON finally did it last start! He won a race and never looked like he was going to get beaten in the run. He pinned his ears back and ran through the line, as we said last start if the gelding has worked, he can turn into a handy horse and looks to be going that way.
No4 ALLEGHENY gets a soft run of it on the map here from the gate (1) she has resumed with two very strong wins this time in. She has proved me wrong in both of those starts, and you never jump off a mare who is in form. Good claim for Ryan down to 56kg.
No3 PARLAY VOUS shouldn’t be worried by the wet going, being by Jimmy Choux. He looks to be the closer here on the map, Collett can go to sleep on him early and run over the top of them late if given the chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 ALLEGHENY