Randwick (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Randwick. Today’s best bet is in race 2
Randwick for Saturday racing in Sydney and we have nine races on the card as is the norm nowadays. There are a few interesting races on the card here. Race 2 being that with some very smart colts going around and they could well be Randwick Guineas horses later this autumn. Waller has three very smart colts engaged here. The big races are around the corner and the great mare Winx is down to trial next week. The weather is brilliant and the rail out 8m.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 5 - 4,6 - 5,8,11 - 5,7,9
Wide Play: 5,6,7 - 4,5,6 - 2,5,8,11 - 5,7,8,9
BEST BET: R2 – 3. D’ARGENTO
Next Best Bet: R6 – 5. XEBEC
Best Roughie: R5 – 8. GREAT CHOICE
R1 – 12.40pm. Australian Fire Hose Plate - 1000m.
No4 RULING SYMBOL has been trialing up in very nice order coming into the debut run, the two trials this time in have shown that he has come back in better order than his first trial which was behind Performer. He draws well here and looks hard to beat on debut.
No8 ESTIJAAB is bred in the purple being by Snitzel out of Response – both Group 1 winners, and this filly looks to have her share of ability going off her trials. She has extended well in both trials when Avdulla has asked her. Barrier 11 shouldn’t be too much of an issue from the chute.
No9 GENTLE PERSUASION is a well-bred Goree commodity who has improved trial to trial this time in and looks to be a ready made 2YO, despite the 1000m looking too short. Newnham doesn’t rush his horses and that he is bringing her to the races at her home track shows she is ready to go.
No10 PREMIER ROSE beat Gentle Persuasion in a trial leading into this debut run, but as usual for a Gai trailer was pushed out to get the job done. I have made the mistake of taking on Gai horses from trials before as they haven’t looked super impressive.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 GENTLE PERSUASION
R2 – 1.20pm. Nelune Foundation Handicap - 1300m.
No3 D’ARGENTO (BEST BET) looks a Group 1 horse in the making here and resumes in a really hot race here, with what I believe has three potential Group 1 winners in the race. The two trials coming into this preparation have been quite good, and he looks to have come back much better after winning two runs from as many starts in the first preparation, and that Bowman sits on him over the other two Waller horses here makes me lean that way.
No2 MEROVEE is another who I think will be a Group 1 winner at the end of his career. He was good in all three starts last time in, and still hasn’t furnished into the horse he will become. The stable has always talked about this autumn and spring this year as his time to shine. Son of Frankel out of More Strawberries, how much is he worth.
No5 PARET will hopefully have his racing manners in order now that he has had a spell and time to mature after his last prep. He should have won at Rosehill in September and then was in a race that didn’t suit at Flemington. The trial was quite good.
No4 WOOSHKA has been a very strong winner at his last two runs, and has a step up to 1300m here to suit him at his home track.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 MEROVEE
R3 – 1.55pm. TAB Highway Handicap - 1400m.
No1 KOPI LUWAK resumed with a big win over 1000m at Moruya where he didn’t look at all suited and he charged right over the top of them for a big win. $7 into $3 was the telling point there, his debut run before that was brilliant. He has come back well and 1400m suits much better.
No2 FUEL is a horse who I have always been a massive fan of and he has never really lived up to those lofty expectations. He has had three runs for the new trainer and is yet to breakthrough, but finds the apprentice getting off for Bowman which is a good change. 1400m suits.
No10 ACQUITTAL needs to sort out his racing manners before I can back him with any confidence. He has run in races which haven’t suited him yet and now that he gets to the 1400m he is much better suited. I want to see him win a maiden first before backing him at this level.
No4 BEL DIABLO won well last start in a race that he should have won at Gilgandra, previous to that he was utterly slaughtered at Narromine. He was also good in a Highway in November, when not having much luck. He is a consistent honest type who will run well.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 KOPI LUWAK
R4 – 2.30pm. Happy Birthday Louisa Baxter Mile - 1600m.
No5 MEDAILLE looks set to peak here and just ran out of time last start when chasing down Positive Problems, the race wasn’t at all run to suit there and she should be able to take a lot of improvement from that and be hard to beat here.
No4 CELLARMAN was a touch disappointing as fav in that race last start, and I am going to be forgiving of that effort. The form that he brings prior to that is very strong and he finds Bowman here and he is going to run well again here.
No2 NEW UNIVERSE was taken out of his races last weekend and I assume saved for this in a race which suits a hell of a lot more than the race last weekend in which Dreamforce spanked them. If he brings his best form he is well within a chance here.
No6 HUNTER JACK closed off well last weekend behind Dreamforce and is going to be much better suited here rather than dragging the field up. The week back up suits as does the senior jockey going on board here.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 HUNTER JACK
R5 – 3.05pm. Rebecca Louise Summer Sprint - 1000m.
No6 MEMES resumes here and was in fantastic form last time in winning five of her starts from eight starts. She has been trialing in very good fashion coming into this prep and is really well weighted here for King and all she has to do is bring last preparations form and she will be hard to beat.
No8 GREAT CHOICE (BEST ROUGHIE) doesn’t look to be well weighted at all here, but he is a horse with quite good ability. I don’t think that the first run was too bad where he found the line well enough. Staying at the 1000m shouldn’t be a worry.
No3 HIDDEN PEARL is a really fast mare and resumes for a new trainer here, and brings an imposing fresh record of four wins from six starts. 13 months ago she was too fast for Vidorra in Listed race in Brisbane, if she brings that form she will win this.
No2 PALAZZO PUBBLICO wasn’t too bad behind Zestful last start and now comes back to the 1000m here and looks to have the last shot at them. She can stalk the speed here and Avdulla will have her in the right part of the track when it matters.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 GREAT CHOICE
R6 – 3.40pm. Liberty International Underwriters Handicap - 2000m.
No5 XEBEC (NEXT BEST BET) should have won last start, simple as that, he had no luck in the run / when he needed it and it cost him the win. The step up now to the 2000m is much more suitable here and after three runs this time in, and the last two of which were very good, plus the addition of Bowman he looks super hard to beat here.
No6 ZOURKHAN comes out of the same race last start and was ok enough there, he also comes through that Sedanzer race that I want to follow last month over the mile. Now to the 2000m he should be much more suited and has his chance.
No7 VAUCLUSE BAY backs up quickly from last weekend and was a touch disappointing there. Now up to 2000m he looks suited and has his chance.
No1 CARZOFF comes back in distance here and has had a trial since the last start, if he runs at his best he is well within a chance here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 VAUCLUSE BAY
R7 – 4.20pm. Optus Systems PTY LTD Handicap - 1400m.
No4 LEVEL EIGHT just missed last start when charging through the line in a two horse war with Malaise who was stalking him throughout there, the way he has drawn here is to stalk him here, and with the visors going on he will be able to see his opponents and knuckle down when it matters.
No6 MALAISE won that race last start and looks to have the rolls reversed here as Level Eight will be stalking him here in the run. Angland sticks on here and is riding in terrific form as of late and will give him every chance.
No5 FLOW found the line well last start behind Brave Song in a race which should hold up quite well, I think he will be better suited getting up to 1400m now, and he gets a good run for Bowman on the map here.
No8 PIANISSIMO has been very good at the last two runs and has been bursting to win a race this time in and finds a race where he looks a threat, all he needs to do is hold his current form and he will have his chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 LEVEL EIGHT
R8 – 5.00pm. Rebecca Louise Handicap - 1200m
No11 FARAWAY TOWN resumes here and has been trialing well coming into this, she brings some very impressive form to this and hasn’t won for quite some time which is the only issue I have here. She gets back here and comes at them with one run.
No8 INSENSATA has been trialing well coming into the fresh run here and brings some very imposing formlines leading into this. 1200 may well be short of her best, but I have liked how she has trialled coming into this.
No5 FORTENSKY won well fresh in what was a strong race but loses Bowman here, which is a touch confusing for mine. The second-up record isn’t the best either which is another cause for some conern.
No2 GUARD OF HONOUR was shocking last start in a race where he looked to be a good thing. He did run up to his average second-up record there, so maybe he rebounds here? Bowman off apprentice on for some weight relief.
VALUE RUNNER: No 8 INSENSATA
R9 – 5.40pm. The Honourable James Caird (Tim) Bruxner Handicap - 1600m.
No9 BYE SEE got the job done well for us last start when saluting at $10. It was a very strong win there and she kept on kicking. The step up to the mile shouldn’t be an issue at all as she will keep on kicking and give her all.
No7 QUEEN MISTY will find those extra few lengths that she needs here given the blinkers going on for the first time here. She gets a great run on the map here from barrier two and just needs the breaks turning from home to be in the finish here.
No5 SIREN’S FURY was a strong winner last start and really dug deep when Collett asked her for the big effort there. The step up to the mile here is going to be much more suitable as she can build from a long way. She gets a good run from barrier 4 here.
No8 BAYSA gets Bowman here and will be going back from the gate and coming at them with one run here. She is at her best when she can come with that one withering run and she gets the chance to do that here.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 QUEEN MISTY