Hawkesbury for our midweek meeting this week in Sydney, good to see Canterbury and Warwick Farm getting a break, with the amount of meetings we have coming up. The carnival is just around the corner, you can almost smell it. We have seven races on the card, smaller fields which is expected due to the Australia Day meeting on Friday for better prizemoney. The rail is in the true position and the weather in and around Sydney now is glorious, we will be on a good surface.
QUADDIES (races 4-5-6-7)
Skinny Play: 1,2,8 - 1,4 - 2,9,11 - 5,7,9
Wide Play: 1,2,8 - 1,2,4 - 2,9,11,12 - 4,5,7,9
BEST BET: R2 – 2. COMMANDING WITNESS
Next Best Bet: R3 – 2. ANGELS BOY
Best Roughie: R1 – 2. SACRED EDGE
No1 CYRUS ROCKS was solid enough fresh when getting run down late, he was first up and did a good job to lead up the field there and should take a lot of benefit from that run fitness wise, his only win in the past was second-up and his record is good. He should jump and roll along here.
No4 OPEN ROAD smashed them at Canberra when stepping up in trip, I am not too sure as to the quality of the field, but he raced away from them late there. He will be better over further than this, but gets an economical run for Avdulla and has his chance.
No2 SACRED EDGE (BEST ROUGHIE) huge win when coming from nowhere to win at Orange second-up, he was a long way out of his ground there and got them late. Big betting move that day, $6 into $2.05 by jump time, the trial since was good and 1600m is much more suitable.
No3 MOZART’S WORK has been going well enough this time in, with solid placings at the past two starts. He closed off well to just miss last start and was behind Cyrus Rocks prior to that, the claim for Hunt who is riding well is invaluable here.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SACRED EDGE
No2 COMMANDING WITNESS (BEST BET) resumes here over 1300m, the two trials coming in to this have been quite strong and the 1300m shouldn’t be an issue. K Mallyon gets welcomed to the Sydney jockey ranks here as she now calls Sydney home. The form out of this geldings' last start is fantastic, as he was only 2.6 lengths off Assimilate and Dracarys. Group form and we see him resume in a Class 1 on a Wednesday. He should be winning.
No4 BRUNCH come out of what should be a good enough form race for this level on a Friday night at Canterbury. She was just outsprinted when it mattered there, the 1300m and open spaces suit and she has her chance.
No3 KATHAIRE absolutely flogged them when breaking the maiden last start and it was a long time coming. She gets a good run on the map just behind the speed here, and has to be considered given the way she won last start.
No6 DUNATUN beat Kathaire home last start when breaking his maiden, he is a big horse who lopes along and takes his time to build up. He should be improved second-up.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 DUNATUN
No2 ANGEL’S BOY (NEXT BEST BET) brings very imposing formlines to this, with form around Kementari, Malahat and Bull Market. Three quality colts in the Sydney ranks. The SP profile of $5 and $1.40 make you sit up and take notice. He has had two trials coming into this and has gone about his work quite well, there doesn’t look to be any speed here to bother him and he should be able to run them along and kick away.
No8 TARABAI has been trialing in good order coming into the debut run here, Hawkes aren’t afraid to kick one off out wide if they think they are any good, and the stable has started to hit some form as of late.
No6 ESCHARA has been poor in both runs to date, but has trialled well since the last-start failure at Gosford, maybe she is fitter and can improve here. If she does off that trial she can figure somewhere here.
No3 THIRTY KNOTS went well last start, until he decided to go rouge and take out half the field and give J Collett a nice holiday. He should be much better for the experience, and he does look to have good ability in there.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 THIRTY KNOTS
No2 FIFTH AFFAIR brings the best form to what is a pretty horrible race in all honesty. He wasn’t too far off a nice horse of Waller’s last start, and before that closed off well over the T&D. All he needs to do is hold that form and he is hard to beat here.
No8 KATY’S IN CHARGE was pretty average on debut, but I am willing to forgive that as the Quenbeyan track brings a few undone. The SP was strong there. The trial leading into this was good and I am happy to gamble that she has improved.
No1 DRAGONS FLYER has had two ok enough trials coming into this, you don’t have to have too much ability to figure in the finish here. From gate 1 on the home track, watch the betting here as this could easily get crunched in and smash them.
No11 SHIRAZZLE looks to be next best here with the husband and wife combination. Average race.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DRAGONS FLYER
No4 BELLA VELLA comes out of a very good race last start behind Sasso Corbaro and drops well in grade here. They ran pretty slick time that day, and she was quite good when winning fresh for the new stable. She looks to be the likely leader here and if she gets a soft lead she will kick away.
No1 POSTMASTER GENERAL resumes here and has had two ok enough trials leading into this. He has proven to be a flat out 1000m horse over his career, and from the draw he looks to go back and come at them late. Average fresh record is a worry.
No2 FLORID gets the blinkers on for the first time here and has to be on one of his last chances to remain at Godolphin surely. He has all the potential in the world, but cannot seem to produce it when it matters. If the blinkers shock him into action he will be there when it matters.
No6 STAR ASPIRATION found the 920m too short last start at Moruya when zipping home. She is getting the habit of being a non-winner – 10:1-4-1 which is a touch of a concern, she will sit off them and have the last shot at them.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 POSTMASTER GENERAL
No11 LAKE HAYES gets a good jockey change here with Avdulla getting aboard at start two, and this filly was quite good when closing off well on debut. She looks to be a filly who will be getting better as the distances increase and she gets a big open track here to wind up.
No2 KATHMANDU was good enough when closing off well at Kembla on debut, the form out of that race shouldn’t be too bad. The step up to 1500m here looks ideal, and from gate 2 he can settle a touch closer in the run for Hutchings who is riding quite well.
No9 ATTRACTED should be getting better as the distance increases if the breeding has anything to do with it. I am not too sure about that Spencer form as he was a big non-winner and fell in. But she should be much improved for the experience, and should run well at start two.
No12 STELLA VICTORIA is becoming a non-winner as far as I’m concerned, some solid SP’s in the career, but in 10 starts she has loomed up a fair few times and hasn’t put them away. While I think she is a big chance here, I want to see here put a field away before I back her.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 ATTRACTED
No7 PRODIGY has been going quite well since joining the new stable and finds yet another race in which he can run quite well here. The form out of the last-start Kembla race should be quite solid at this level of racing and on his home track he has a chance.
No9 LETTER TO JULIETTE drops in grade here and brings solid enough form to this, the run on New Year’s Day was good, and now third-up from a spell up to what looks to be a suitable trip. She should be well in the market and finish here.
No5 MY FRIEND CHARLIE gets the blinkers for the first time here and will be likely pushed forward by Parr here, as his best form and runs have been when he has gone forward. Second-up he should be much fitter and looks to be a chance here.
No4 LINDWALL has been going quite well this time in, but has a sticky draw (12) to contend with here. Not too sure about the 1800m, as he hasn’t been super strong through the line in his last two. But he may be saved up for one run at them ridden dead cold.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 MY FRIEND CHARLIE