Kilmore (Thursday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Kilmore. Today’s best bet is in race 7.
Racing returns to mid-week at Kilmore with a card of eight races on Thursday.
The track is rated as a Good 4 and the false rail will be at the five-metre position from the 1400m to the 400m and at the True for the remainder. There are four maidens to kick off the show and three races on the card for the fairer sex. Hardly Surprising looks set to finally end a running streak of minor placings and break-through for that inaugural win in Race Two.
The most consistent Cry If I Want is racing very well and she gets her chance in the Kingsgate Handicap (1912m) striking a moderate bunch in opposition and she has top jockey Damien Oliver to ride. The ever-reliable Dry Biscuit should give punters a great run for their money too in the Jet Roofing Handicap (1462m).
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 1 – 6 – 4,5 – 2,5
Wide Play: 1,2,4 – 3,6,10 – 4,5,7 – 2,5,8,10
BEST BET: R7 – 5. CRY IF I WANT TO
Next Best Bet: R6 – 6. DRY BISCUIT
Best Roughie: R5 – 6. PRESS RELEASE
R1 – 1.30pm. bet365 Maiden Plate – 1912m.
No4 SNAKE CAVERN has drawn one to gain a soft transit and has been in good form on outer provincials. Latest was finishing strongly to claim third over 1912m here on January 18. That was in a higher grade.
No8 MAHEERA was raced out of her class when stepped up to 1850m and ran eighth at Terang on January 23. The three-year-old filly has two runs over the middle distance under her belt and looks ready to fire.
No1 DON’T DISMISS eased out from $2.90 to $4.60 before finishing a good second over 1623m in a maiden at Moe on January 17. The gelding again has drawn well in two and Brian Higgins rides again. This is his fourth start from a spell.
No9 NOTHINGBUTADREAMER improved from three deep to finish a strong third over 1623m in a maiden at Moe on January 17. Was in a tussle with Don’t Dismiss for the minor money. Goes up a kilo to 56kg here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DON’T DISMISS
R2 – 2.00pm. Wallan & Kilmore Community Bank F&M Maiden Plate – 1612m.
No6 HARDLY SURPRISING has been placed second at all three of her starts. She looks ready to break a frustrating sequence on her last-start second in a maiden at Cranbourne on January 19. Gets the blinkers on for the first time.
No8 TALENT SCHOOL finished okay after getting back in the field when running fifth over 1400m maiden at Pakenham on January 18. Jake Duffy replaces Andrew Mallyon and goes up 1.5kg to 57.5kg but strikes her own sex.
No9 TRICKY MIX exhibited good improvement at her second start to run a close fourth over 1400m maiden against her own sex at Pakenham on January 18. Harry Coffey again rides for top trainer Darren Weir and is a nice hope.
No10 VALUE ABBEY has been placed at her past two starts. Latest she ran on to finish a distant second over 1600m maiden for her own sex at Cranbourne on January 19. She struck a smart one in Bella Mia that day. She must cross from nine.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 VALUE ABBEY
R3 – 2.30pm. McIvor Estate 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate – 1112m.
No6 LA CHICA ROSA has only raced four times and her best effort was when finishing second at her debut. She resumed from a 24-week spell today after being stretched to Sandown where she ran well to finish seventh over 1300m in August.
No3 GENEVA DIVA gave a good sight at her debut to run second over 1009m in a F&M maiden at Yarra Valley on January 9. She was at rank outside odds that day and gets senior rider Luke Nolen to guide from gate eight today.
No5 KAIKEN gets an important gear change with blinkers going on for the first. Gave a good chase when finishing fourth over 1115m in a maiden at Werribee on January 13. That was her first start for 23 weeks and is bound to be improved.
No7 RUBIKAT is having her first start for a new trainer. She ran okay at her debut to finish a solid ninth over 1100m maiden against her own age and sex on September 1. With maturity should strip better here and is well drawn in six.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 RUBIKAT
R4 – 3.00pm. Gowenbrae Retirement Village Maiden Plate – 1112m.
No4 MACSTRYKER is fresh from a spell and ran a good fourth at his sole start over 1400m in a maiden at Wodonga on August 14. Gets Mitchell Aitken’s 1.5kg claim to reduce his weight to 57kg and has a great draw in four.
No14 CAPATAS is resuming from a long spell and has three runs for race experience to his credit. Last start ran a solid eighth off a tough run when caught deep over 1600m in a maiden here in September. There is little form in this maiden.
No9 QUATTRO PORTE has the blinkers coming off and the ear muffs and tongue tie going on for the first time. Gave a steady effort when finishing 11th over 1200m maiden at Ballarat on January 16. He is certain to strip fitter and would watch.
No10 LIBERTY EXPRESS gets an important gear change at his first start from a three-week break with the blinkers going on and a tongue tie on for the first time. He hung badly before running eighth over 1100m at Stony Creek last start.
VALUE RUNNER: No14 CAPATAS
R5 – 3.30pm. The Bendigo Club F&M BM58 Handicap – 1612m.
No1 CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS races against her own sex here after finishing a strong first-up second over 1400m at Ballarat on January 16. Damien Oliver is making the trip to stick to her and she capped her last campaign with a win at Geelong. In-form.
No4 RARE AIR ran a solid third over 1406m at Benella on January 24. She is on the swift back up here, but if she can fight as hard as she did last start she must rate as a chance. The 1.5kg claim will drop her weight down to 57.5kg.
No6 PRESS RELEASE (BEST ROUGHIE) was given a four-week respite from the track before running sixth over 1625m on a bog track at Werribee on January 13. She gets the experienced Daniel Stackhouse as her new rider today. Looks an each-way chance.
No2 MILADY CABRIOT was easy in the betting out from $5.50 to $7, but defied the drift to score a clever win over 1400m maiden at Ballarat on January 24. She is on the fast back up however and she does jump 3.5kg to 60kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 MILADY CABRIOT
R6 – 4.00pm. Jet Roofing BM58 Handicap – 1462m.
No6 DRY BISCUIT (NEXT BEST BET) was involved in a driving finish to run second over 1400m at Sale on January 21. He came from ninth that day and went down in a head bobbing finish. Top jockey Luke Nolen travels back to ride and he stays on the same weight on 60kg. He has the pace to settle just behind the speed from barrier 11 and gets a nice and cosy run before finishing strongly.
No10 TACITURN has been placed at his past two starts and with the 3kg claim will carry only 56kg again.
No3 MUTIN has been placed at three of his past five starts and at his other two starts was not too far adrift. Has claims.
No4 DOLLOPINI with the 3kg claim will carry 57.5kg and narrowly missed the winner’s stall last start.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 DOLLOPINI
R7 – 4.30pm. Kingsgate Village BM64 Handicap – 1912m.
No5 CRY IF I WANT TO (BEST BET) was caught a long way back and finished on well to run ninth over 1530m at Geelong on January 13. He was well backed from $11 into $6 that day. The five-year-old mare gets top jockey Damien Oliver replacing a 3kg claiming apprentice and she won at sale over 2200m four starts ago. She does not strike strong opposition here. Can get a nice position from 10.
No4 RUBME was far too good for the opposition when coasting to a 2.5 length win over 1912m here on January 18. Gets a change of rider with Luke Nolen the new pilot and he drops a kilo to 59.5kg.
No7 BUGLE CALL kept on working to the line though headed to run fourth over 2200m at Ballarat last start.
No2 NANGAWOOKA has been placed at his past two starts over the metric mile. Each-way chance today.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 NANGAWOOKA
R8 – 5.00pm. Carlton Draught BM58 Handicap – 1212m.
No5 MOUSAI gets an important gear change with a tongue tie going on. Last start she ran a close second over 1200m at Pakenham on January 18. She gets the 1.5kg claim of in-form apprentice Lachlan King to reduce her weight to 59kg.
No2 TONTERIA chased Trojan Storm well to finish a sound second over 1200m at Ballarat on January 16. He will jump up 3kg to 62kg here for the drop in class but he gets Damien Oliver to offset the weight increase.
No8 LA RENARDE was stepped up to city grade at her last start when finishing a sound seventh over 1100m against her own sex at Caulfield on January 17. That was a good effort and she is down here in quality, but rises 4.5kg to 60kg.
No10 PURRHAPS had the judge calling for a photo to split the pair when she ran second over 1214m against her own sex at Moe on January 17. She was steady in the betting at $5 that day and looks a good chance here going down a kilo to 57.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 PURRHAPS