Caulfield (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Caulfield. Today’s best bet is in race 9.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 8 Feb, 10:06 AM

 

The Melbourne Autumn Carnival is now running hot with the first Group 1 for 2018 to be run with the weight-for-age C F Orr Stakes.

A crackerjack field has been assembled for the time-honoured 1400m sprint with favourite Black Hart Bart back to defend his title.

Black Hart Bart suffered from hoof soreness over the spring and leading trainer Darren Weir has removed the bar plates from the Perth gelding at his first start for nine weeks today. The premier trainer holds a strong hand in the Orr, also saddling the highly talented imports Tosen Stardom and Brave Smash.

The Orr is a difficult race to find the winner with the established stars on the comeback trail from a busty spring campaign and others like the emerging Dollar For Dollar having had a start under their belts and thus having race fitness.

Today’s card is a glamour event with the two-year-olds jostling for Blue Diamond honours in the two heats of the Prelude and the three-year-olds matching strides in the Autumn Stakes.

The false rail is back at the True Position after being at nine metres last week. Weather on the day will be overcast with showers predicted. The day will be sultry with a high of 32C forecast following a warm night of 17C. There should be good speed in most races and the track should play fair.

 

 

QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)

Skinny Play:  6 – 2,10 – 2,3 - 1

Wide Play:  2,6,8 – 2,3,10,11 – 2,3,4,9 – 1,7

 

BEST BET: R9 – 1. SILENT SEDITION

Next Best Bet: R6 – 6. MERCHANT NAVY   

Best Roughie: R8 – 9. DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR   

R1 – 12.30pm. The Big Screen Company Handicap – 1800m.

No2 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN gets an important gear change with the blinkers being removed. He resumes here after running third in the Sandown Cup (3200m) as a $2.35 favourite on November 18. He strikes a small field and top trainer Darren Weir will have him fit for this first-up assignment.

 

No4 PLOT THE COURSE has been racing well and is capable of improving on his last-start second over 1700m here on January 27. Comeback jockey Dale Smith keeps the ride on the Cranbourne-trained galloper, who is again on the limit on 54kg.  Should get a soft run from gate one.

 

No7 DOWNHEARTED with the boom apprentice Stephanie Thornton’s 3kg claim will carry no weight on 51kg. Gave a good effort to run second to Krusty over 1600m at Sandown on January 30. He carried 59.5kg that time and is down 8.5kg for this encounter. Has been placed at past two starts.

 

No5 KHUTULUN with apprentice Ben Thompson’s 1.5kg claim will carry 52.5kg here. Has been consistent with three placings and a win at past five starts. Latest she ran a solid third to Morton’s Fork over 1700m here on January 27. She carries the same weight today.   

 

VALUE RUNNER: No7 DOWNHEARTED

R2 – 1.05pm. Ladbrokes Blue Diamond Prelude (F) – 1100m.

No2 OOHOOD hails from a top juvenile yard and will wear winkers for the first time. Has been on the mark and gave a beautiful effort when powering home to run a close third to Lady Horseowner over 1000m in Diamond Preview here on January 27. Did not have a clear run that day too.

 

No4 AL NAIFA form has been impeccable at two starts for a second and a win. Showed her rivals distain with a 1.75 length win as a white hot $1.35 favourite in an 1100m maiden at Sale on January 21. She is a worthy stablemate to Oohood and gets ace Melbourne rider Craig Williams to guide.

 

No9 PURE ELATION will have a lugging bit fitted and will wear winkers for the first time. Was backed into the $2.70 favourite in the Blue Diamond Preview when finishing fifth over 1000m here on January 27. She was making her debut that day and is capable of further improvement, but gate 11 does hurt.

 

No1 CROSSING THE ABBEY was a good winner down the straight 1000m at Flemington before running a close second to Lady Horsepower in the Blue Diamond Preview (1000m) here on January 27. Craig Williams has jumped off to ride Al Naifa, but has the talented Beau Mertens to replace.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 AL NAIFA

R3 – 1.40pm. Ladbrokes Blue Diamond Prelude (C&G) – 1100m.

No6 PLAGUE STONE had a big boom about him after his impressive performances in the gate trials and he did plenty wrong at his debut over 1100m at Rosehill when running second as a $1.35 favourite back in November. Will wear a cross-over noseband this time and has top rider Kerrin McEvoy.

 

No2 OLLIVANDER was a strong winner over 1100m here at his debut before finishing a good second to Long Leaf in the Diamond Preview (1000m) here on January 27. Has again drawn well in gate two and gets Chris Symons to ride again. Can’t fault his form so far and looks a good chance here.

 

No5 NATIVE SOLDIER is racing on a wave with two wins from his past two starts. Latest he was backed into a $3.60 favourite before clearing out to a 2.75 length winner over 1000m at Moonee Valley on January 26. Top jockey Mark Zahra replaces Brad Rawiller today where he drops 3kg to 55.5kg under the set-weight conditions.

 

No8 HIGH RATIO was at each-way odds at $5.50 when streaking clear to a strong win in an 1100m maiden at Bendigo on December 6 at his debut. He showed he was primed for his comeback with a half-length trial win over 1000m at Geelong on January 29. Gate 13 hurts but is in the mix here.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No8 HIGH RATIO

R4 – 2.15pm. Ladbrokes TS Carlyon Cup – 1600m.

No3 WYNDSPELLE resumed with a strong third over 1400m in the John Dillon here on January 27. That was a good effort and has a superior record second-up. The stallion is prepared by the astute Mick Kent and will have ace rider Craig Williams to guide today. Looks hard to beat here.

 

No2 LORD FANDANGO won the Herbert Power and Benella Cup at successive starts last spring. He is resuming from a 16 weeks spell today, but usually comes to hand quickly. Last start he ran a strong fourth in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) here on October 21. Will be powering home at the end.

 

No1 GAILO CHOP was a fighting winner of the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) last spring. Has been right in the mix in the big Melbourne races of the spring and usually comes to hand fast so can play a role here off his comeback from a 13-week spell. Has drawn in gate four and Mark Zahra rides.

 

No5 SEABURGE was doing his best work over the final 400m to finish seventh in the Dillon Stakes (1400m) here on January 27. That was a good effort fresh and he does drop 4kg to 56kg for his rise in class today. Damian Lane replaces Mark Zahra who rides Gailo Chop and would keep in mind.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No2 LORD FANDANGO

R5 – 2.50pm. Kevin Hayes Stakes – 1200m.

No1 SHOALS was the star filly of the spring making her return to racing. She has the unblemished figure of two starts fresh for two wins. She does strike a crack line up of fillies today, but she is capable of picking up from where she left off with a win in the Group 1 Myer (1600m) in November.

 

No3 BOOKER is another classy act resuming here off a 17-week spell. She bowed out with a sixth in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas (1600m() on October 14, after winning the Group 2 Guineas Prelude (1400m) at her prior start. She gets regular rider Dwayne Dunn back to guide from gate six.

 

No2 TULIP has the lugging bit coming off and the winkers removed with the cheekers going on for the first time. She is another talented filly making her return from a 14-week spell. She comes to hand fast with a fresh record of two starts for a win and a second. Kerrin McEvoy is her new rider.

 

No6 SMART COUPE earned her stripes for this contest with a strong second to Holy Seal over 1100m here on January 27. She has a glowing record of five starts for two wins and three placings but this is her acid test. Top Melbourne jockey Craig Williams has elected to ride her and she is drawn well in gate five.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No6 SMART COUPE

R6 – 3.25pm. Schweppes Rubiton Stakes – 1100m.

No6 MERCHANT NAVY (NEXT BEST BET) looks to be a budding star and gets his chance against the older horses at his first start back from a 14-week spell. He bowed out on a high with a brilliant win in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) at Flemington on November 4. Mark Zahra has a great book of rides today and this three-year-old is one of his best with an imposing record of six starts for five wins.

 

No2 SUPER CASH is a dual Group 2 winner making his return from a 13-week spell. He gets top jockey Craig Williams to ride and has the outstanding record of four wins and a third at five starts fresh.

 

No7 PREZADO is one of the emerging three-year-olds facing an acid test here in this race.

 

No8 ARDROSSAN has an unblemished record of two starts for two wins at home in New Zealand. Must respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No2 SUPER CASH

R7 – 4.05pm. Hyland Race Colours Autumn Stakes – 1400m.

No2 VILLERMONT rose from a maiden win at Benella in three starts to win the Group 2 Sandown Guineas (1600m) at his last start on November 18. He was given a warm up trial where he ran a nice second over 1000m at Geelong on January 29. Luke Nolen is back on top and respect.

 

No11 WEAPON has looked impressive at four starts claiming two wins and a placing. The son of Written Tycoon is chasing a hat-trick today after scoring smart wins over 1200m in a maiden at Ballarat before winning over 1400m at Sandown on January 30. Stephen Baster replaces Regan Bayliss.

 

No10 SCARECROW has been in the top line with two straight wins at two starts this preparation. Top Adelaide jockey Jason Holder is across to ride the three-year-old after his brilliant win as a $1.75 favourite over 1300m at Morhettville on January 27. Will wear a cross-over noseband for the first time.

 

No3 ASTORIA capped his spring campaign with a good third to Ace High in the Victoria Derby (2500m) at Flemington on November 4. He has been inside the money (including a win) at three of his four starts at Group 3 level. Showed he was primed with a fourth over 1000m trial at Warwick Farm on February 2.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No3 ASTORIA

R8 – 4.45pm. Ladbrokes C.F. Orr Stakes– 1400m.

No3 TOSEN STARDOM capped his spring campaign on the highest note with a win in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on November 11. Top Melbourne jockey Damian Lane is back on top of the stallion at his return today. He also won the Group 1 Toorak Handicap here in the spring.

 

No2 BLACK HEART BART is seeking to defend his title today and should now be back to his best after suffering hoof soreness issues during the spring. The bar plates are off for his comeback after running ninth in the Group 1 Kingston Town Classic (1800m) at Ascot on December 9.

 

No9 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR (BEST ROUGHIE) will be out to seek redemption after going down as a $3.10 favourite when finishing second in the Dillon Stakes (1400m) here a fortnight ago. Trainer Tony McEvoy has made a critical gear change with the addition of blinkers and Jamie Kah retains the ride.

 

No14 MIGHTY BOSS was crowned the king of the three-year-olds with his upset win at the odds of $101 in the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (1600m) here at his last start on October 14. Mick Price trialled him over 1200m at Geelong where he cruised to a soft 2.75 length win on January 29.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR

R9 – 5.25pm. mypunter.com Bellmaine Stakes – 1200m.

No1 SILENT SEDITION (BEST BET) was narrowly beaten in a titanic finish in this race last year and can go one better today at her return from a 14 weeks spell. Trainer Andrew Noblet gave her a hit out with a trial over 1000m where she coasted into second to Balancing Act at Geelong on January 29. Craig Williams is back on top after Katelyn Mallyon won the Group 1 William Reid (1200m) at Moonee Valley on her last autumn.

 

No7 PETITION has been placed twice at her three starts at Caulfield and should get a cosy run from six.

 

No4 FLYING JESS was given a soft trial; where ran fourth to Balancing Act over 1000m at Geelong. Each-way player.

 

No8 FRAGONARD went out on a high note and is hoping to return from a 24-week spell on a high.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No4 FLYING JESS

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