Warwick Farm for a rare Saturday meeting, and what a card we have here, two Slipper lead ups, the return of She Will Reign as well as the Eskimo Prince for the 3yos. Nine races as per usual with good weather about in Sydney in the lead up with the rail in the true position.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 2,3,4 - 2,4 - 1,2,4 - 2,6,9
Wide Play: 2,3,4,6 - 1,2,4,7 - 1,2,4,8 - 1,2,6,9
BEST BET: R3 – 3. SHE WILL REIGN
Next Best Bet: R7 – 2. EGYPTIAN SYMBOL
Best Roughie: R6 – 2. GOODFELLA
No1 SATIN SLIPPER was very good when charging through the line on debut when winning the Gimcrack, we have seen the form out of that stand up quite well. She has trialed well coming into this prep and has had the winkers applied here to sharpen her up, and she looks hard to beat.
No8 OXFORD TYCOON has been trialing up in good order coming into the debut run and looks to be quite a nippy type. She looks to get a good run on the map here from barrier two, and has been well supported in the early markets.
No11 TELL ME should be respected here coming in after two quiet trials. The stable has started to hit some form as of late and have been producing some really nice types. This filly looks to be one and should be respected on debut, as the stable know how to win a Slipper.
No2 SANDBAR did a good job when winning on debut, not too sure about the strength of the race, but you cannot fault a winner and the way she went through the line showed she had some talent and tenacity and should be respected here.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 TELL ME
No3 BEIJING BOARD has been going really well this time in and has been strong at winning the past two and has been really strong through the line. The step up to 2400m here won’t be an issue at all and he is going to be hard to beat.
No7 CHATELARD has been looking for this trip this time in and finally gets out to the trip. Apprentice does jump off and Avdulla goes on board here who will have the spurs on and be getting into him from the 600m, as he does tend to hit a flat spot and needs time to build momentum.
No4 XEBEC is another who looks as if he has been looking for this trip, this preparation. He didn’t get the best of rides from Bowman last start when he was back and wide in an on paced dominated race and he found the line very well there, 2400m no issue.
No2 GREAT GLEN has had a trial since the last start, where he was nothing short of shocking. The trial showed that he was moving well and that run was an aberration. He stays at 2400m here and will be on pace and the one to run down.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 CHATELARD
No3 SHE WILL REIGN (BEST BET) is what you would call a “weighted certainty” here. Her rating of 112 vs the next closest of 84 means she should be carrying 14kgs more than that horse. Yet she gets 2kgs off the boys! She was a Group 1 winner fresh last time in, in the Moir before having a hampered run in the Everest. She has trialed in great order coming in, and this looks a free kick before going off to the Oakleigh Plate in two weeks.
No1 DIAMOND TATHAGATA has a good fresh record and has been trialing well coming into this. He is a Group 2 winner, who we didn’t see the best of last time in.
No7 LIMBO SOUL looks the likely leader and should run them along here, she is a speedy filly who at her best should get them all off the bit and chasing.
No4 ZA ZI BA has been trialing quite well coming into this and looks to be next best here.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 DIAMOND TATHAGATA
No16 EL MO was quite good last start when chasing The Lion and Another Sin in what looks to be a strong highway, this race looks a touch weaker than that with some horses out of form and he gets a good run just behind the speed here and should appreciate the extra 100m.
No13 SOFT TOP comes out of what looks to be an ok enough race last start at Brisbane, and comes back in grade to a highway level here. She went better than Conniving yet is almost double the price, not at all sure why as she looks to have a chance.
No2 FOREVER NEWYORK will more than likely find this too short, but he has trialled up well coming into this and looks to be on a country championships path. He has a very good fresh record and should be respected, despite the trainer/jockey combo.
No4 CONNIVING has been going, just ok enough this time in. he comes from the same race as Soft Top last start and was flogged there, not sure why he is shorter in the market. Could it be the M Dunn factor? He is drawn to get a good run.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 FOREVER NEWYORK
No14 BALLISTICA has been trialing up in brilliant order coming into the debut run here and looks to be really well placed by Baker on debut, she has gone about her business quite well and has quickened when asked and looks to be a smart filly. She gets a great run on the map here from gate 3 and is hard to beat.
No1 SANCTIMONIOUS got the job done in good order when breaking the maiden at the Valley. The form that he brings into this is quite good as he comes out of some solid races prior to the maiden. McEvoy is having a brilliant 2yo season this year and any runner he has needs to be respected.
No11 SNICKI MINAJ was a good winner last start when taking a lot of improvement out of the debut run, which was behind Outback Barbie, so we have seen the form hold up well already. Smart placement here as she is already a winner.
No3 SUNFIGHTER should be much improved for the debut run where he was a good winner, the blinkers going on here which should add an extra length or two to him, which he may well need.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SNICKI MINAJ
No2 GOODFELLA (BEST ROUGHIE) comes back to 1200m here which shouldn’t be too much of an issue after a good run last start in the Magic Millions Guineas. He was a winner of the Brian Crowley in the Spring, and brings race fitness to this.
No3 SIEGE OF QUEBEC got the job done in heart-stopping fashion when resuming in a weaker race, when he was off the bit and chasing at the 600m, he picked himself up and managed to get the job done in a tough effort. He may be looking for further however.
No4 KEMENTARI resumes here with the winkers on and has trialled well. I am not too sure as to how he was beaten in the Caulfield Guineas in the Spring. Forget the Coolmore run as he had done enough that time in. He is a quality colt who looks ready to go fresh at his home track.
No6 BRAVE SONG comes off two very good wins at the first two starts this time in, he looks to be quite untapped and was quite green when winning last start. He has been held back for this since the New Year, and the step up in grade shouldn’t be an issue.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 GOODFELLA
No2 EGYPTIAN SYMBOL (NEXT BEST BET) has been very good in both starts this time in, winning and running third at the Magic Millions meeting where she had a tough run and finished off well. She goes best when she is fresh hence the month between runs here, and gets along brilliantly with Collett – who may or may not be riding her due to the fall on Wednesday. She should be too strong here.
No4 BONNY O’REILLY resumes here and has a great fresh record, she looks to have trialled in good order this time in and gets the tongue tie on.
No7 FARAWAY TOWN won in brilliant order last start and the form has held up quite well out of that already, on her home track she should run well here.
No1 PROMPT RESPONSE resumes here and has trialled up in solid enough order, not a lot went her way last time in and she ran in some good races.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 FARAWAY TOWN
No4 SHOW A STAR was very good when winning last start and kept up that brilliant second-up record intact, I think that he still had more to come from that and can continue to improve into the prep at his home track and should run well again.
No2 TESTASHADOW should appreciate coming back in distance here, as he didn’t run out the 2200m last start. He has had a trial since that run and looks to be going quite well, and always sneaks under the radar of the punters.
No1 SUPPLY AND DEMAND is going ok enough as of late and finds another race in which he can run well, he has had a long prep, but Gai’s horses seem to thrive on racing. If he gets his own way in front he will be hard to beat here.
No8 NAT KING KU was a strong winner upon resumption here on Australia Day, and looks to be going as well as ever since joining the Coyle yard. He has improved into a Saturday winner which many thought he couldn’t reach. Second-up he should go well.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 NAT KING KU
No6 ECHO EFFECT resumes here and is quite a fast horse when allowed to run and do his own thing, he ran in some solid enough races last time in and brings quite good form to this. He looks to be on a championships path and should run well fresh.
No2 DAL CIELO resumes off a long break here, and was a different horse last time in when Lees found him out to be a 1000m sprinter who could quicken off a fast pace. The trials coming in have been quite good and any market move is a positive.
No9 FICKLE FOLLY looks to be the likely leader here and is a 1000m horse who gets down well in the weights here after a big effort last start when run down late there. From gate 9 she will roll along in front and give them something to catch.
No1 ARTLEE has had an extremely long time off. And looks to have trialed up quite well in the lead up to this. He has some extremely good form around him and gets good weight relief with the claim for JVO, if he brings best, look out.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 ECHO EFFECT