Cauflield (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Caulfield. Today’s best bet is in race 1.
Caulfield will host three big Group 1s today with the running of the Blue Diamond Stakes, Oakleigh Plate and the Futurity on a high class nine-race card.
The False Rail will be moved back into the three-metre position after they raced with the rail out to 14 metres here on Wednesday.
The Oakleigh Plate sees the Golden Slipper winning filly return to Melbourne for the first time this autumn. She warmed up for her Group 1 assault with an outstanding win in the Inglis Sprint (1100m) at Warwick Farm on February 10. Under the weight-for-age conditions she will only have 53kg on her back and her Golden Slipper winning jockey Ben Melham will again steer at her second attempt to win at the elite level in Melbourne. She was a sensational winner in the Group 1 Moir Stakes (1000m) at Moonee Valley last spring.
The Blue Diamond sees Victoria’s best two-year-olds assemble for a cut-throat dash over 1200m. It is a most open affair and punters should keep a close watch on betting moves. Brave Smash clashes against the three-year-old brigade of Mighty Boss and Showtime in the Futurity Stakes (1400m) in what is an interesting race.
The outstanding Hartnell will attempt to replicate his brilliant first-up win in the Group 1 Orr Stakes here three weeks ago in the final race – the Group 2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m).
Showers are forecast to be increasing for Saturday’s glitter card so the current Good 4 rating could be changed. A top of 27C is forecast for Saturday.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 3,11 – 4,11 – 2,16 – 1,10
Wide Play: 1,3,10,11 – 1,4,11,16 – 2,16,17,18 – 1,5,9,10
BEST BET: R1 – 9. BEDFORD
Next Best Bet: R5 – 1. SILENT SEDITION
Best Roughie: R9 – 10. ABBEY MARIE
R1 – 12.30pm. Ladbrokes Mornington Cup Prelude – 2000m.
No9 BEDFORD (BEST BET) is racing at the top of his game stringing together two very good wins at this track over 2000m. Latest he had to dig deep to post a narrow win over 2000m here on February 3 when carrying 54kg. Top jockey Damian Lane keeps the ride and the son of leading New Zealand sire Tavistock will again carry 54kg. Has a spotless record of two wins from two starts at this track and can go on with the task.
No1 ALMANDIN is the 2016 Melbourne Cup winner having his first start for a new trainer. He is all class and can go well fresh.
No8 GOLDEN MANE won over 2000m at Flemington three starts ago and last start was a good run here.
No4 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN ran on very strong over 1800m off a 12-week spell and will be further improved.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 GALLIC CHIEFTAIN
R2 – 1.05pm. Heritage Finance Caulfield Autumn Classic – 1800m.
No1 ASTORIA is bound to take benefit from first-up start when finishing a solid third in the Group 2 Autumn Stakes (1200m) here on February 10. Top Melbourne jockey Damian Lane is the new rider and the colt has an excellent second-up record of two starts for a win and a second.
No3 MR SO AND SO was held up when the winner swept past to finish a strong second over 1400m in the Group 2 Autumn Stakes here on February 10. Was at $21 that time but in early betting is at $4 here. The inform Mark Zahra replaces Craig Williams, but has drawn wide in 13.
No13 TAGREEDA gets the inform jockey Damien Oliver replacing a 3kg apprentice here on her last start fourth over 1600m at Sandown against her own sex on January 31. The Mick Price stable is running red hot and she should get a nice run from barrier six. Looks each-way value.
No8 RELLSON was first-up from a spell when finished strongly to run a 1.35 length fourth over 1400m at Pakenham on February 8. Disappointed those who took the $1.70 odds, but was doing his best work late in the running. He drops 2.5kg to 57kg here and gets Ben Melham as his new partner.
VALUE RUNNER: No3 MR SO AND SO
R3 – 1.40pm. Ladbrokes Zedative Stakes – 1200m.
No1 OVERSHARE faces a small field of nine runners but is a most competitive race. Ran a crackerjack second to the talented Cliff’s Edge in the Group 3 Manfred (1200m) here on February 3. That was the colt’s second start back from a spell for Team Hawkes and should strip fitter.
No6 I DID IT AGAIN raced on the speed and gave a solid effort to finish 0.9 length fourth in the Manfred (1200m) here on February 3. Top jockey Damien Oliver keeps the ride and he drops a kilo to 55kg under the setweights and penalties conditions. He likes this track and is a definite chance.
No2 PREVAILING WINDS scored a big win over 1200m at Moonee Valley on January 26 before upped the ante when running a good fourth in the Group 2 Autumn Stakes (1400m) here on February 10. Hot jockey Damian Lane again rides and he drops a kilo to 55kg here under the weight conditions.
No4 PIRACY has been well prepared for his return with two trials in Sydney. Latest he ran a solid second over 802m at Warwick Farm on February 15. Kerrin McEvoy comes down to ride for Godolphin and from barrier four should get a cosy run. He loves this distance with two wins and a second at four starts.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 PIRACY
R4 – 2.15pm. Ladbrokes Angus Armanasco Stakes – 1400m.
No4 MISS WAHOO hails from the leading Adelaide stable of Tony McEvoy and gets top Adelaide rider Jamie Kah to guide. She is chasing a hat-trick today after notching successive wins at Morphettville. Latest hit the line strongly over 1300m on January 20. Good showing is expected here.
No7 EARTH ANGEL was racing first-up from a 43-week spell when running home to finish a closing second over 1400m against her own age and sex here on February 3. She is lightly raced having scored a win, a second and a fourth at her three starts and Damien Oliver keeps the ride.
No8 SEE ME EXCEED struck a strong line up of fillies and did the job well to run third to Booker in the Group 3 Kevin Hayes (1200m) here on February 10. That run stands her in good stead for this contest and she is from one of Melbourne’s hottest stables in trainer Mick Price. Each-way.
No1 COUNTERPLAY was plunged into a red hot $1.65 favourite first-up when finishing second over 1300m at Morphettviulle on February 10. That was her first start from a 13-week spell and would anticipate big improvement from her here. She is from the top Adelaide yard of Phillip Stokes.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 COUNTERPLAY
R5 – 2.50pm. Premier Signs Mannerism Stakes – 1400m.
No1 SILENT SEDITION (NEXT BEST BET) was certainly unlucky first-up when she could not get the split to finish a cracking fifth in the Group 3 Bellmaine (1200m) here on February 10. Trainer Andrew Noblet has put the blinkers on her for the first time today and the gear change should aid her mission here. Craig Williams stays on board and drawn well in four.
No7 SAMOVARE is a former Group 3 winning filly in Perth who will relish a small field of eight mares here and usually runs very well fresh. She plummets from the Group 1 Emirates back in November to mares’ class and with Damien Oliver to steer would keep her most safe.
No9 JESTER HALO finished only 3.1 lengths adrift of the outstanding Hartnell when running 12th in the Group 1 Orr (1400m) here on February 3. She was a brilliant winner at this track against her own sex over 1400m last month. Well suited in this class and is value at $11 in early betting.
No6 FLIPPANT chased hard for the entire straight when just beaten in the Group 3 Bellmaine (1200m) here on February 10. Michael Dee keeps the ride and she is now cherry ripe having her fourth start back from a 20-week spell. She is drawn in gate seven in an eight-horse field.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 JESTER HALO
R6 – 3.25pm. italktravel Futurity Stakes – 1400m.
No3 BRAVE SMASH ran a great third to the outstanding Hartnell first up in the Group 1 Orr (1400m) here on February 3. He is one of three stars for trainer Darren Weir including Tosen Stardom and Humidor running in this Group 1. Top rider Craig Williams replaces John Allen.
No11 SHOWTIME is a star three-year-old who ran a cracking second in the Group 2 Expressway (1200m) at Rosehill on February 3. That was first-up from a 16-week spell and he won the Group 2 Srutt Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley last spring against his own age. Has 55.5kg under the weight-for-age.
No1 TOSEN STARDOM is a class galloper who pulled up with Thumps following his shock 11th in the Orr Stakes (1400m) here on February 3. Forget the run and give the Emirates Stakes winner another chance as he is too classy to dismiss. He has an excellent record second-up and would respect.
No10 MIGHTY BOSS proved his worth with an upset win in the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (17600m) here last spring. He will be improved on his first-up seventh in the Orr (1400m) here on February 3. The colt had no luck in the Orr clipping heels, but continued to chase hard.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SHOWTIME
R7 – 4.05pm. Ladbrokes Blue Diamond Stakes – 1200m.
No4 PRAIRIE FIRE is from the high flying stable of Mick Price and having the inform Mark Zahra staying on top is a bonus. He was having only his second career start when brilliantly winning the Listed Talindert (1100m) at Flemington on February 17. He does back up week-to-week but is primed for this Group 1.
No16 OOHOOD ran a great second in the Group 2 Blue Diamond Prelude (1100m) here on February 10. She is from the top juvenile yard of Tony McEvoy and will have stable No.1 jockey Luke Currie to steer in an open two-year-old Group 1. She is still a maiden at three starts, but all of her form is at the top level.
No11 KINKY BOOM is the stablemate to Oohood and has leading jockey Craig Williams to ride, which is a bonus. The daughter of top Queensland sire Spirit Of Boom won brilliantly at her debut over 1200m here on February 3. The barrier in 14 is a setback but she has Williams’ experience to guide her across.
No8 PLAGUE STONE ran a cracking second to Written By in the Group 2 Blue Diamond Prelude (1100m) here on February 10. That was the colt’s only second start and his first run in an anti-clockwise direction. He is drawn perfectly in gate six to be prominent.
VALUE RUNNER: No16 OOHOOD
R8 – 4.45pm. Ladbrokes Oakleigh Plate – 1100m.
No16 SHE WILL REIGN is the reigning Golden Slipper winner who won the Group 1 Moir at Moonee Valley in Melbourne last spring. She looked magnificent at her warm up start when an outstanding winner of the Inglis Sprint (1100m) at Warwick Farm on February 10. Ben Melham rides again.
No2 RUSSIAN REVOLUTION was spelled following his shock 12th as a $3 favourite to She Will Reign in the Group 1 Moir (1000m) at Moonee Valley on September 29. Team Snowden has warmed him up with two gate trials at Randwick for this defence of his impeccable fresh record.
No17 CATCHY is a high class three-year-old filly resuming from an 18th in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1200m) at Flemington on November 4. Pay to forget the last run as she was at $7.50 to win and she has an excellent record fresh of a win and a second from two starts. Has no weight on 51.5kg.
No11 BONS AWAY was turned out for a spell following his in a Group 2 at Flemington on November 4. This is his first crack at Group 1 racing and is a test but he has proved himself in the lower grades with five wins and two placings at 11 starts. Lacks nothing in horsemanship with Linda Meech as his rider.
VALUE RUNNER: No11 BONS AWAY
R9 – 5.25pm. Carlton Draught Peter Young Stakes – 1800m.
No1 HARTNELL is most hard to go past following his fantastic first-up win in the Group 1 Orr (1400m) here on February 3. He is a top class performer and is again well suited under the weight-for-age conditions in this Group 2. Craig Williams rides again and drawn well in gate five.
No5 LORD FANDANGO was doing his best work on the line when running third in the Group 3 Carlyon Cup (1600m) here on February 10. That was his first start from a 16-week spell and he has a good record second-up of two wins from four starts. He also loves this track and rates highly.
No9 SINGLE GAZE was first up from his 17th in last year’s Melbourne Cup when running a close second in the Group 1 Orr (1400m) here on February 3. Sydney rider Kathy O’Hara comes down to ride the five-year-old mare and she is in her right distance range today.
No10 ABBEY MARIE (BEST ROUGHIE) ran a smashing first-up sixth to Hartnell in the Group 1 Orr (1400m) here on February 3. She finished only 0.8 length behind the winner, when she was specked at big odds from $51 into $31 and was burning the turf at the end. Her second-up record is far superior to her fresh record too.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 ABBEY MARIE