Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips
Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 5.
A big card of nine races awaits punters at Morphettville today. There looks to be some good bets on the program with the best being Mihany, who scored a dashing win over 1400m here on February 10. Team Hayes has sent across their leading apprentice Fred Kersley to ride the gelding in the Peroni Handicap (1550m).
Kersley has been riding in splendid form in Victoria and here in Adelaide over recent weeks and his 2kg claim reduces the six-year-old’s impost to a more comfortable 59kg. He actually carries a half kilo less this time than he did to win here last start. The 1550m is right in Mihany’s distance range with five of his 10 victories coming at 1600m. Victoria’s premier trainer Darren Weir has Avanti Chasing another feather to her cap in the Metcalf Handicap (1000m). Weir has booked popular Victorian rider Harry Coffey in her hunt for a fourth straight win.
The track is rated as a Good 4 and with clear weather forecast should not be altered. The False Rail will be at the eight-metre position from the 1000m to the winning post and at the five-metre position for the remainder.
QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)
Skinny Play: 1 – 2,8 – 9 – 2,10
Wide Play: 1,5,7 – 1,2,8 – 2,5,9 – 1,2,7,10
BEST BET: R5 – 1. MIHANY
Next Best Bet: R8 – 9. AVANTI ROSE
Best Roughie: R9 – 9. BEE JAY ZED
R1 – 12.11pm. 2KW Bar & Restaurant Handicap – 1000m.
No2 DANCER’S KIN showed a strong finish at debut to go down in a close finish over 1050m here on February 3. She gets Emily Finnegan’s 1.5kg claim again to reduce his weight to 56kg against four other runners.
No1 MANZALA scored a smart debut win over 1050m here back in November. Resumes from a 14-week spell without a trial and gets senior rider Todd Pannell replacing Emily Finnegan, who rides Dancer’s Kin.
No3 GYTRASH ran a solid second over 1100m here last Saturday. Will again get the 3kg claim of apprentice Anna Jordsjo to reduce his weight to 54kg – which is half a kilo more than he carried last Saturday.
No4 MASHAHEER Team Hayes has their apprentice Fred Kersley riding the son of Snitzel here at 54.5kg after the colt ran a promising second in an 800m trial at Wodonga on September 12. Must rate in a field of five here.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 MASHAHEER
R2 – 12.46pm. Palmer Hospitality Group Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – 1000m.
No2 INCOMPARABLE is a son of leading stallion I Am Invincible and if he repeats his debut effort when running a game second over 900m maiden at Murray Bridge on October 20, he should be hard to beat. Top jockey Joe Bowditch rides.
No3 MARINA pay to forget his last start when bottled up in a pack and running seventh over 1100m here last Saturday. Jason Holder rides again and if he gets a clear shot can improve sharply.
No4 MIGHTY MICK gets leading Victorian apprentice Chris Caserta to ride and with his 2kg claim will carry 55.5kg here. He drops in class here on a last-start ninth over 1100m here on February 3. Had no luck that time.
No5 VIKINGS FURY will wear a tongue control bit at his debut. He showed stark improvement at his second trial when posting a half-length win over 900m at Murray Bridge on February 8. Maturity seems to have helped.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 VIKINGS FURY
R3 – 1.21pm. The New Morphett Arms Hotel Handicap – 2250m.
No2 TUNES is rock hard solid and ran a good second over 2400m here on February 10. Clare Lindop stays on board and he only goes up a half-kilo to 57kg. This does not look a strong race and is a good showing.
No3 ARCHERY PEAK is from the Victorian yard of Matt Cumani and ran a strong third over 2000m at Caulfield on February 3. Was not wanted in the betting at $51 and did win over 2025m at Cranbourne last campaign.
No5 FLYING CASINO has been placed third at his past two starts here. Last start he ran home well to grab third over 2400m here on February 10. Jason Holder is the new rider and he remains on 54kg.
No4 FLOW METER has been most consistent without winning with two seconds, a third, a fourth and a fifth from past five starts. Latest he ran fifth in the listed Birthday Cup (2035m) here last Saturday. Has claims.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 FLYING CASINO
R4 – 1.56pm. Pimm's Handicap – 1250m.
No6 SILENT ICE finished powerfully to narrowly miss the major prize when third over 1000m here on February 14. Carries the same weight on 57kg and Clare Lindop again partners and drawn well in gate four.
No8 TAKEMEHOMEMISTER showed he was sharp with a brilliant 4.3 length trial win over 1000m here on January 29. He is from Adelaide’s top stable of Tony McEvoy and will have Jason Holder to ride with Jamie Kah riding in Melbourne.
No2 JUST A BIGGER DASH has been ultra-reliable and looms as one of the main chances on last-start second over 1200m here on February 3. Sairyn Fawkes’ 2kg claim reduces his weight to 57.5kg.
No1 BABITZIN with Justion Huxtables’ 3kg claim will carry 57.5kg and has a good alley in two. Fought hard for a close third over 1200m here on February 3 when carrying 57.5kg with Huxtables’ claim.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 BABITZIN
R5 – 2.31pm. Peroni Handicap – 1550m.
No1 MIHANY (BEST BET) fought off a strong challenge by Strategic demand to score a clever win over 1400m here on February 10. Victorian based apprentice Fred Kersley returns to ride him again here and his 2kg allowance drops his weight to 59kg. That is a half-kilo less than he carried to win. It was 11 lengths back to the third placed horse that day. He has a rock solid second-up record too and looks a good bet.
No4 STRATEGIC DEMAND will be out to extract revenge after running second to Mihany over 1400m here on February 10. The blinkers come off and the winkers go on this time.
No7 STAR FORTUNE made a successful raid here last start with a smart win over 1550m. Respect.
No5 SCRATCHY LASS with Sairyn Fawkes’ 2kg claim has no weight on 53.5kg. Looks an each-way chance.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 SCRATCHY LASS
R6 – 3.06pm. James Boag's Premium Handicap – 1400m.
No1 COUNTERPLAY has also been accepted for in the Angus Armanasco at Caulfield today. She was a red hot favourite but narrowly missed the major prize when finishing second over 1300m here on February 10. Can redeem.
No2 EL DESPERADO broke his maiden status with a brave win over 1712m in a maiden at Gawler on January 21. Has been kept fresh for this race and has drawn well in gate three. Looms as the main danger.
No5 NASEEB stylishly won his maiden over 1100m at Penola before running a driving second over 1350m at Strathalbyn on February 4. With apprentice Victor Wong’s 2kg claim will carry 55kg and is well drawn in six.
No7 MO FEMME had Emily Finnegan ride well to score a narrow win over 1300m in a maiden here on February 14. Finnegan rides again and her 1.5kg claim drops her weight to 54.5kg. One of the better chances.
VALUE RUNNER: No7 MO FEMME
R7 – 3.46pm. The Warradale Hotel Handicap – 1250m.
No8 BLUE TYCOON has been in striking form with two straight wins at Morphettville and Cranbourne. Was too clever for his rivals scoring a soft win over 1250m here on February 10. Fred Kersley is back to ride on 53.5kg.
No2 STAR STEALER has won at two of his past three starts in country Victoria. Gave a strong effort to narrowly win over 1200m at Colac on February 11. Carried 60kg that day and will carry 59kg here. The danger.
No4 THIS KID ROCKS the winkers come off after his seventh over 1400m at Caulfield on February 3. He was a fighting winner over 1300m at Penola at his prior start and is well drawn in gate six.
No1 VICTORY DOWNS resumes from a 16-week spell after running last in the Horsham Cup (1800m) on November 3. With apprentice Justin Huxtables’ 3kg claim will carry 59kg and goes well fresh with two wins at four starts.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 VICTORY DOWNS
R8 – 4.26pm. Metcalf Group (SA) Handicap – 1000m.
No9 AVANTI ROSE (NEXT BEST BET) has been racing in full flight with a hat-trick of wins in Melbourne and Adelaide. The three-year-old filly returned to Melbourne in triumph when winning over 1000m at Moonee Valley against her own sex on February 9. Senior rider Harry Coffey replaces a 2kg apprentice and she will carry a kilo less than she did last start and has drawn ideally in gate two. Can keep the form rolling on.
No2 EL SICARIO has been freshened up since last start flop at Moonee Valley. Prior form was very good.
No5 CALL ME CURTIS with the 3kg claim of apprentice Justin Huxtable will carry only 55kg. Showed plenty of kick to win easily over 1250m here on February 16.
No1 HE’S OUR WOODY comes to Adelaide with an outstanding record on the oil track at Darwin with four wins and six placings at 10 starts.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 HE’S OUR WOODY
R9 – 5.06pm. Highway Hotel After Party Handicap – 1400m.
No2 BATTLECAMP fought hard to post an impressive but narrow win over 1250m here on January 20. That was first-up from a 20-week spell and has a solid second-up record. Can accommodate the extra 2kg to 59kg.
No10 SAVATAG is a former New Zealand galloper making his Australian debut. Comes here with two consecutive wins over 1340m and 1400m at home. His last win was nine weeks ago and he has a good record fresh.
No9 BEE JAY ZED (BEST ROUGHIE) will find this easier than last start when running ninth to Seannie over 1200m at Moonee Valley on February 9. That was first-up from a 33-week spell and would expect solid improvement here.
No1 LORD TOPPER has won three of his past five starts and not finished further back than fourth. Last start claimed his second win on the trot over 1400m here on January 27. He does face a big hike in weight up 5kg to 61.5kg.
VALUE RUNNER: No1 LORD TOPPER