Autumn Watch: Runners from 24th of February
A dominant 3yo, a resurgent mare and a 4yo who’s running to his old form look the runners to follow into this Autumn carnival.
As the Autumn carnival draws closer, Saturday racing is heating up. We will look to give you an early edge by identifying key runners for the upcoming big races and suggest plays in early markets where available.
Kemantari – Rosehill Race 7: 1st ($3.20F)
Turned out in excellent order by team Godolphin. Glowing in the yard, deriving physical benefit from his last outing where he gave them a galloping in winning the G3 Eskimo Prince by 2.8L not fully tested.
Taking in a more forward position than he is accustomed to, the Colt worked to sit outside Trapeze Artist in the lead. Looking to be travelling well within himself at the turn and moved up almost effortlessly to take the lead and hold off the challengers from the back, Pierata and D’Argento, by 1L.
Beadman mentioned in the post-race interview that 1600m should be no problem at all given he’s such a clean-winded Colt. On type he also looks to have a bit on the second two as well as having the runs on the board and tactical versatility. Anything above $3 for the Randwick Guineas would be a great bet.
Targets: Randwick Guineas ($2.70), possibly into the Doncaster ($7 short enough, no play).
Heavens Above – Rosehill Race 5: 6th ($15)
A great return by a group 1 winning mare who’s been out of the winner’s stalls for almost a year. Slightly slow away toward the inside, Hyeronimus let the 6yo find her feet during the run as Girl Sunday ran then along in the lead.
She never presented as a realistic winning chance, in behind runners for the entirety of the straight. However, she got going over the final furlong to rattle off the fastest last 200m of the race in 11.36s and that was under hands and heels for the majority.
She looks set-up nicely for the Coolmore Classic over 1500m which she won last year at Group 1 level. With Alizee sitting (rightfully) at $4 in that market she represents some good value at $15 for those who like trading or to have a larger wager the place. If she happens to win, $51 for the Queen of the Turf will be gone in a flash.
Targets: Coolmore Classic ($15), Queen of the Turf (taking the $51 poses a good trading opportunity)
Snitson – Caulfield Race 6: 5th ($41):
Despite a dominant display by the winner Brave Smash, the run of this 4yo really caught the eye. He’s resumed on the back of a quiet Wodonga trial straight into a Group 1 and wasn’t disgraced by any means at $41. Jumping from barrier 1, McEvoy got him travelling nicely on mid-field the rail and pulled out behind Tosen Stardom in the straight.
Didn’t quite have the sprint to match Tosen who was certainly more wound up, however he was matching motors with Humidor (on equal weights) for much of the straight, a noted big stage performer! 1600m next time in should suit.
He’s a winner second-up, paraded with improvement to come and has the data to say he’s capable of reeling off the sectionals needed to be competitive at the top level. This could be the prep and we’ll likely get some odds to find out.
Targets: 1600m races are slim pickings in Vic for a 4yo, a race like the Ajax Stakes at Rosehill over 1500m could suit nicely (no early markets currently).
All three of these runners are worth following deep into their preparations. The suggestion would be to wait until after this weekend’s Australian Guineas then back Kemantari in the Randwick Guineas in-case something jumps out of the ground and causes a drift as well as taking the price about Heavens Above in the Coolmore Classic and Queen of the Turf.