Kaiken was certainly most convincing when breaking her maiden status to thrash her opposition over 1200m at Colac last month.
Victoria’s premier trainer Darren Weir has booked his faithful Irish rider John Allen to ride the filly on 59.5kg – which is a 3.5kg rise on her maiden win.
The weight penalty is hefty but she looks to have the class to combat the increase in weight and could have a bright career ahead.
Rain is forecast so the rating of a Good 4 may be downgraded. The False Rail will be at the three-metre position from the 1000m to the winning post and at the True position for the remainder. Good punting on a card where half of the races are maidens.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 5 , 7 , 1 , 2
Wide Play: 3-5, 2-7, 1-2, 2-4-7
BEST BET: R5 – 5. KAIKEN
Next Best Bet: R6 – 7. LETSAHOPE
Best Roughie: R1 – 2. NORTH AFRIKA
No8 TRICKY MIX is a staying bred filly from the hallowed turf of premier trainer Darren Weir who is suited at this distance. She ran a cracking second over 1612m in a maiden at Kilmore on February 2 and gets Ben Allen to ride.
No2 NORTH AFRIKA (BEST ROUGHIE)
No4 HIGH SIERRA
No5 TRY TRY TRY
VALUE RUNNER: No2 NORTH AFRIKA
No2 HUGE ACTION warmed up for this assault with a clever win in an 800m trial at Cranbourne on February 19. Had to dig deep to put head in front and will sport winkers for the first time. Resuming from a 17-week spell and makes good appeal fresh.
No11 ONCE UPON A DREAM
No3 INVINCIBLE KING
No8 MENTAL AS ANYTHING
VALUE RUNNER: No8 MENTAL AS ANYTHING
No10 ADINA ROSE chased most hard at debut to run a good fourth over 1100m in a fillies’ maiden at Warrnambool on February 7. She only missed claiming the major money by a half-length and if she repeats here will be hard to beat. Not a lot of form in this race.
VALUE RUNNER: No18 VERDANCY
No1 PORQUOI PAS has been placed three times at five starts and has the most exposed form of these runners. Latest he was winding home to run a good second over 1200m maiden at Colac on February 14.
With top rider Andrew Mallyon on board makes plenty of appeal.
No9 FESTIVE REWARD
No11 SATIN SHEEN
VALUE RUNNER: No11 SATIN SHEEN
No5 KAIKEN (BEST BET) showed her rivals up with an outstanding 2 length win over 1200m 3YO maiden at Colac on February 11. Trainer Darren Weir has booked his leading rider John Allen to ride on 59.5kg and from barrier four she should get a cosy run. Well-bred filly who can get on with the job.
No3 LA RENARDE
No6 LADY LOUISE
No4 ELOQUENT BELLE
No7 LETSAHOPE (NEXT BEST BET) is a lightly raced four-year-old mare who showed her rivals contempt with a 2.75 length win in a 1600m maiden at her second start at Pakenham on January 25. She ran a strong third over 1400m at her debut at Warrnambool and is well drawn in five.
No2 GRAND TETON
No4 REAL FINNISS
VALUE RUNNER: No4 REAL FINNISS
No1 GOUGERS had the abundant speed in his arsenal to take command here and lead throughout. He attempted to do that last start when finishing sixth over 1000m at Pakenham on February 1. Gets top rider Daniel Thornton.
No2 CAPTAIN CRACKERJAK
No7 THE PENINSULAR
No10 MIGHTY MOSHE
VALUE RUNNER: No10 MIGHTY MOSHE
No2 GLIFI NIFIN ARKIS smashed his rivals last start strolling to a 3.25 length win in a 1400m maiden at Ballarat on February 13. Ace jockey Dean Yendall keeps the ride, but hit heavily with a 2.5kg penalty up to 61kg.
No4 MRS BIGNELL
No7 A QUIET DRINK
No10 TEA TALES
VALUE RUNNER: No10 TEA TALES