Autumn Watch: Runners from the 3rd of March
A distance filly building a great platform and a resurgent mare look like runners destined for Autumn carnival features.
As the Autumn carnival draws closer, Saturday racing is heating up. We will look to give you an early edge by identifying key runners for the upcoming big races and suggest plays in early markets where available.
Bring Me Roses – Flemington Race 7: 3rd ($21): Ran out of her skin second-up against the boys in what looks to be a high-rating edition of the Australian Guineas. She drove up from barrier 1 to sit some in the third pair, 5L off the hectic tempo set by Cliff’s Edge. Saving ground on the inside she looked to be travelling with 300m to go before the fitter gallopers just nailed her in the final 50m. If she derives the expected improvement from this run, the girls will have a tough time getting to her over a trip.
This filly looks to have come back in fine form and is building a very good platform to launch at another Oaks. She’s performed on soft ground and by High Chaparral, so taking early odds with the chance of a bog isn’t a concern. She does race with a big of head gear so hoping the Sydney leg will be ok.
Targets: ATC Oaks: $11
Egg Tart – Randwick Race 5: 4th ($11): Paraded with plenty to come and was extremely unlucky not to get the money first-up at some nice odds. From barrier 6 she was slow away and had to settle down in the last pair on the rails. Rounding the turn McEvoy looked to have a mountain of horse under him but was severely disappointed for a run as Burradoo and Interlocuter to its outside kept her in a pocket. She could’ve had the winner’s run but followed it through, attacking the line under minimal riding.
It was well-documented that this mare had some issues prior to her last prep where she did not come up at all. On the back of this run, she looks right back to her best (Group 1 winning) form. She’s 3 from 3 on heavy tracks which going by the last few Sydney Autumns is a major plus. She looks ominous to put together another picket fence this prep.
Targets: Doncaster Mile: $15, Queen of the Turf (Coolmore Legacy): $26
After beating the early $8 favourite Luvaluva in the Victorian Oaks and arguably performing better than her so far this prep, Bring Me Roses looks a good early bet at $11 for the ATC Oaks.
With only 50.5kg in the Doncaster Egg Tart warrants a small play at the $15. The $26 Queen of the Turf price will no doubt be far shorter if she turns up but sticking to the mile after a Doncaster run is a query (having won out to 2200m). Suggesting only a small bet.