Autumn Watch: Runners from the 7th and 10th of March
A $101 Golden Slipper shot caught the eye mid-week whilst Saturday’s racing showcased two potential star 3YO’s over their respective distance ranges.
As the Autumn carnival draws closer, Saturday racing is heating up. We will look to give you an early edge by identifying key runners for the upcoming big races and suggest plays in early markets where available.
Roosevelt – Warwick Farm Race 1: 1st ($12): This Exceed and Excel Colt looks a top of the line 2YO on type and he certainly put it together on race day. Parading with plenty of improvement to come the colt sustained a move from well before the bend to go on and win by 0.2L. He looked to get a touch lost when he hit the front so the margin could’ve been much greater. The natural mental and physical improvement that he’ll derive from this run will be him extremely hard to beat next time out and he could force himself into the Golden Slipper Picture.
Targets: Golden Slipper: $101
Kementari – Randwick Race 7: 1st ($2.35F): Kept at peak physical condition in the parade and produced yet another arrogant performance. Schofield positioned up nicely just forward of mid-field and cruised up to the leaders in only a few strides and put the field to bet by 1.5L not fully tested. Don’t think we’ve seen this horses ceiling yet. That could be found out once he races in open age. Stable has been hesitant to unveil plans given he’ll already have a stud future but will get into the Doncaster field with only 51.5kg on his back. Firmly in this colt’s camp wherever he goes – hopefully not to stud yet…
Targets: Doncaster Mile: $4.60.
Also nominated for: TJ Smith: $15, Queen Elizabeth: $12 and Arrowfield Sprint: $8.
Ace High – Randwick Race 7: 4th ($19): Slowly coming on in the yard, looking better with each run. There was far more intent shown this time out with Angland really putting the Colt into the race prior to the 600m. He presented 3-wide round Kementari but just didn’t have the sprint to go with some of the sharper types over the concluding stages. That run should bring him right on for the Rosehill Guineas where he’s a well-found favourite and he’s head and shoulders above any other Derby contender at this point.
Targets: Rosehill Guineas: $3.80, ATC Derby: $5.
The $101 price is indicative of the fact Roosevelt is not yet nominated for the Golden Slipper. However, if he gives this weekend’s Pago Pago a shake ($6.50 early doors) that price will tumble right in with no 2YO really stamping themselves as yet. Suggesting a small play at the big odds for the Slipper and a good each-way play in the Pago Pago.
Kemantari’s price of $4.60 for the Doncaster is short enough to deter any betting at this stage. With some 4 weeks till the event and plenty of big races to come we could get better closer to the date. Would be staying well away from the other races he’s nominated for at this stage.
At $3.80 Ace High is short enough for the Rosehill Guineas. The Derby looks his main goal judging by the speed at which he’s progressing this prep. $5 looks a solid play. Suggesting to have half your bet now and half later (if he goes under in the Rosehill Guineas he’ll bet then, if not on Derby Day).