Rosehill for our final lead-up to the Golden Slipper meeting, interestingly two of the top three in the Slipper market are running here seven days out from Slipper which is quite different and adds even more intrigue to the day. The feature is the Coolmore classic and it is a fascinating race, there has been some rain around Sydney in the lead up. Quite sure we start on slow going with the rail True.
QUADDIES (races 6-7-8-9)
Skinny Play: 1,4,6 - 1,7,8,13 - 3,5 - 5,9,10,14
Wide Play: 1,4,6,8 - 1,3,5,7,8,9,13,15 - 3,5,8 - 1,5,6,9,10,14
BEST BET: R1 – 8. TAMARACK
Next Best Bet: R4 – 9. ROOSEVELT
Best Roughie: R7 – 8. ALIZEE
No8 TAMARACK (BEST BET) brings the best form to this race with a win and placings at his past two, the form through Just Shine has held up quite well with Almost Court coming out and winning the Canberra Cup last weekend. From gate 4 he gets a lovely run in behind the speed and should be too strong late here.
No9 ALL TOO SOON may be looking for that touch further now after the grinding win last start over 1800m. She looks to be an out and out Oaks filly and may lack the turn of foot against the older horses here.
No4 SIZZLING BULLET has been going quite well as of late and brings Emperor’s Way and Almost Court form. We saw that hold up last weekend and the wet track isn’t an issue.
No1 QUICK DEFENSE has been going very well this prep winning the last two in strong order, the step up in distance here and big weight are my concerns for him. But he looks to be flying.
VALUE RUNNER: No4 SIZZLING BULLET
No5 AUVRAY has been working well through the line this time in and now finds a race that is winnable for him, a bit of cut in the ground and up to 2000m are all positives for him and that Glyn sticks with him rather than Libran makes him lean my way.
No2 LIBRAN was fantastic through the line behind the mare fresh over the mile, he has a very good second-up record and was a winner second up last time in over the 2000m. He wants this track to dry out as quickly as possible to show his best, but he looks to be flying.
No6 STAMPEDE drops away from the WFA grade where he didn’t look to be suited at his first two runs this time in, last time he got to 2000m he was a winner of the Wagga Cup and a Group 3 race in Brisbane, good enough for this level.
No7 MORE ENERGY got the job done in good order last start when peeling off Supply and Demand, and running him down. Staying at 2000m is suitable and he has his chance again.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 AUVRAY
No1 SUNLIGHT should just be winning this, she is the Golden Slipper fav, Magic Millions winner and got the job done over Estijaab last start. She went into the Magic Millions off the week back up, and follows the same trend here.
No5 FUTOOH got too far back in the Sweet Embrace and ran right through the line there, she gets the blinkers on here, but still not sure where she’s going to settle map which is tricky.
No2 SETSUNA looks the likely leader here and will run them along in front. Last prep when second-up she produced a booming performance when winning at the Valley, she has her chance.
No10 CRISTOBAL was quite good when winning on debut in a race which should hold up quite well. She gets a soft run on the map here from barrier 1 and should improve out to the 1200m.
VALUE RUNNER: No2 SETSUNA
No9 ROOSEVELT (NEXT BEST BET) was brilliant when winning on debut at Warwick Farm when running right through the line and I think he can give the Slipper a shake if he was to win here, he looks to be all quality and would take a lot of improvement from the run. From gate 3 he gets a great run and looks hard to beat here.
No1 WRITTEN BY was a big winner of the Blue Diamond and is third fav in the Slipper, I don’t like that plans have changed for him as he wasn’t originally planned to run into this, but missed a trial during the week. Is he a run short?
No13 CHABREET probably should have won on debut had he run straight. He has been back to the trials since then and was quite good and showed that he is back on track, he is great value here at the $15, had he won, he is probably $6.
No5 SPIN closed off well behind Santos (who is my number 1 Slipper pick) last start and looks to gain Slipper entry with a good performance here. The form is there to see.
VALUE RUNNER: No9 ROOSAVELT
No12 SPRIGHTLY LASS steps up in grade in a big way here, but strikes a winnable race. She is horribly weighted, but she has the upside that the rest of these don’t, I am willing to take the chance on her here.
No8 SECRET TRAIL resumes here and wasn’t too bad last start at the Magic Millions, the trial coming into this was quite good and she looks to have come back from that trip to the GC in good order.
No7 LATIN BOY is low flying having won five of his last six races, big step up in grade for him too, but he is a line chaser and you cannot argue with that.
No5 HIEROGLYPHICS looks set to peak third up from a spell here, I have liked what she has done in both runs this time in and gets into this with a good weight drop for Collett who is riding in brilliant form.
VALUE RUNNER: No5 HIEROGLYPHICS
No1 HOLY SNOW gets the blinkers on for the first time here and comes through the awesome Australian Guineas where they ran fantastic figures, he got too far back there and charged through the line. This is much weaker, but the step back in distance is the only slight concern for me.
No4 CALCULATED brings brilliant form to this after the run behind Pierata in the Gold Coast Guineas where he charged through the line there. We have seen that hold up just last week. No trial coming in intrigues me. But if Waller has him fit, the market will tell all.
No6 OCTABELLO is the different form coming into this resumes from the Sandown Guineas, but you can tie it all in through Kementari who gave Peaceful State a flogging last week, which ties in Pierata and the two horses above. Soft run on the map from 1 and I have to give him a chance.
No8 SHUMOOKH is the fav here, but also in the Coolmore and is still in her first prep, after her last run I thought she looked like, she may have had enough for this prep. But I am not to deny Gai and how her team is going as of now.
VALUE RUNNER: No6 OCTABELLO
No8 ALIZEE (BEST ROUGHIE) we have been with her in both runs this time in and she was a touch poor last start when not much having go her way. She does have a tendency to run flat second-up as she has done that in all three preps. Third up last time in she blew them away, I am not dropping off.
No13 RAIMENT looks to be the weight horse here and looks set to peak third up from a spell, like she did last time in when she was a booming winner over the 1400m at Randwick, the step up to the 1500m shouldn’t be an issue being a daughter of Street Cry and she gets a great run from gate 1.
No7 EGG TART was very good first up in the Group 3 against the boys charging through the line there. She steps up to the 1500m second-up which is much more suitable and back to fillies and mares grade, where she is well weighted as a two-time Group 1 winner.
No1 DIXIE BLOSSOMS was awesome first-up when winning the Guy Walter, she should only improve second up from a spell. Top weights don’t have the best of records in this race nor do favs, but I was with her in this race last year and I give her a chance again.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 ALIZEE
No3 COMIN’ THROUGH should be much more suited second-up from a spell back from WFA and up to 1500m here. He has a great second-up record and looks to have come back even better this time in and gets a great run on the map from gate 2.
No5 INTERLOCUTER should be much more improved second-up from a spell, since he has come to Aus he is unbeaten second-up and this stable have won this race in the last three years, looks to be his target second-up to get into the Doncaster.
No8 LIFE LESS ORDINARY has been doing a great job at the trials and looks to be a big chance here fresh, he has produced two booming fresh runs since he has come to Australia. He was well backed in early markets last week at Newcastle and I need to respect that.
No1 PRIZED ICON beat them all barring Winx last start and was good through the line, back in distance here is a concern and this may well be a tick over before the Ranvet next week, as he is 2/2 in Group 1s on the seven day back up.
VALUE RUNNER: No8 LIFE LESS ORDINARY
No5 UP ‘N’ ROLLING should be much fitter second-up, and was outgunned by a fitter horse there, I like how he was able to take up the running and show speed that he had not shown before. He has a great second-up record and is a chance.
No9 PHILOSOPHY resumes here and is quite a smart mare on her day, she looks to be well tuned up for this after the two trials and has won fresh at her last preparations and I have to give her a chance here, as she still looks to be on the way up here.
No10 EAGLE BAY resumes here off some solid enough NZ form and gets a great run on the map here from barrier 1. The two wins in January were quite strong running through the line well, and he has a good fresh record and could sneak up the fence here.
No14 LOVANI was quite good fresh in what should be a strong form race going forward, she looked to knock up late there and should take a lot of improvement from that run and has to be given a chance down on the minimum weight.
VALUE RUNNER: No10 EAGLE BAY