Morphettville (Saturday) Betting Preview & Tips

Betting tips for every race at Morphettville. Today’s best bet is in race 6.

Oddschecker
 | 
Thu, 5 Apr, 11:04 AM

 

There are three absolute “good things” at Saturday’s Morphettville meeting so punters should jump in early to secure the best odds about Moghul Empire (Race 6), Whispering Brook (Race 7) and Lipstick Lover in the “lucky last”. Moghul Empire has emerged as one of the most exciting middle distance prospects to emerge from Adelaide in quite some time. He’s won his last two starts in commanding fashion and has the unique ability to force the pace early and finish off late. Whispering Brook added to her reputation as a brilliant young sprinter by blitzing her opposition first-up over 1200m at Moonee Valley on March 16. She has been kept nice and fresh since that effortless victory and the drop back to 1100m of Saturday’s Manihi Classic looks perfect. Lipstick Lover easily disposed of her opposition over 1600m at Sandown last start  in the style of a horse destined to measure up to better company. She faces moderate opposition again on Saturday and should continue on her winning way. Here’s the tip: just take the all-up bet – Moghul Empire into Whispering Brook, all-up Lipstick Lover, and we should be laughing all the way to the bank!

Sunny conditions continue throughout the weekend, making for perfect weather at Morphettville on Saturday. The rail will be out 8-metres from the 1200m to the Winning Post which could prove to be an advantage for front-runners. The track should race as a Good4 surface.

 

QUADDIES (races 6,7,8,9)

Skinny Play:  5,7 – 4 – 6,9 – 5,8

Wide Play: 5,7 – 1,3,4 – 2,3,6,9 –4,5

 

BEST BET: R7 – 4. WHISPERING BROOK

Best Roughie: R8 – 9. HARDLY SURPRISING  

R1 – 12.06pm. Adelaide Galvanising Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – 1200m.

No5 COPPERGATE Had a year between runs when first-up length second Tarantino 1400m Parks Maiden track Mar. 17. Showed ability when second Jukebox on debut 1200m Caulfield 2Yr Inglis Premier last April. Blinkers go on here so big improvement likely. The one to beat.

 

No6 FERINGO Promising second Newson 1150m Newcastle Auug. 15 then tipped out and gelded after last Aonair 1400m Warwick Farm Sept. 6. Showed up in two recent trials to fit him for this and he should be in for a bold showing.

 

No11 SUPRE  Unraced High Chaparral filly out of the well-performed mare Avienus who won five and placed 10 times from 40 starts. Impressive winning recent trial so forward showing expected on debut.

 

No1 ALWAYS THE KING  Placed at three of six starts and won’t be far away. Resumed off 16-week break when 1.8-length third Zaheeya 1100m Oakbank Maiden Mar. 18.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No11 SUPRE

R2 – 12.41pm. Impending new to Darley Handicap - 1100m.

No2 TEQUILA TIME Returned as a gelding and looked vastly improved when he led and dashed clear straightening to beat In Heart’s Wake, Bayou by 3.6-length 1000m Parks track first-up for 21 weeks here 55.5kg two weeks back. Fitter for the run and extra distance will further enhance his prospects. The one to beat.

 

No1 GYTRASH Has had a six-week break since being gelded and winkers go on for his return. Ran solid second Double Denman 1100m here Feb. 17 then too good for Dancer’s Kin 1000m Parks track the following week. Geared up for this by winning recent barrier trial so solid first-up showing on the cards.

 

No7 IN HEART’S WAKE Meeting Tequila Time 2.5kg better for 3.6-length margin when second to that gelding over 1000m Parks track 56kg Good4 two weeks ago. Will need every bit of that weight and plenty of luck to turn the tables. Each-way.

 

SCRATCHED - No3 LITTLE LESS NOISE Unraced Your Song gelding from the in-form Clarken stable with Linda Meech in the saddle. Showed promise winning a recent barrier trial and her dam won her first two starts so you can expect her to be forward on debut.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No1 GYTRASH

 

R3 – 1.26pm. Adelaide Festival of Racing 5-19 May Handicap – 1050m.

No1 DESPATCH Returned from a 65-week spell to easily beat Stragun, Akkacan 1000m Park track here 57.5kg Mar. 17. Had a debut win 1000m MM Clockwise Ballarat Nov. 19 followed by game third Ours to Keep, Snitzkraft 1110m Listed 2Yr Doomben Dec. 17. Should continue to improve and looks the one to beat.

 

No2 SPLIT LIP Smart type resuming from 20-week spell. Won two in a row here 12 months ago and just behind the placings four runs since photo second Fox Swift 1100m Flemington Sept. 16. Improved by recent barrier trial and must be kept under notice.

 

No7 VAHANA Solid debut winner over Rushwa 1050m here Oct. 28 then resumed with game 0.4-length second Beautiful Bee 1000m Parks track 57kg here Mar. 17. Fitter now and has claims with Dean Yendall in the saddle.

 

No10 SWEET SNITTY  Will find this tougher than debut win over Exalted Gold 900m Murray Bridge Maiden Mar. 21 but drops 3kg for beating older horses so must be kept under notice. Win would not surprise.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No10 SWEET SNITTY

R4 – 1.51pm. Ribchester new to Darley Handicap (Heat Autumn Series) – 1000m.

No14 PERETTI Resuming and has shown ability. Beat Bajan, El Desperado 1200m 3Yr Maiden here 55.5kg off seven week break Dec. 30 then lame after finishing 3-len fifth Modulate 1508m Gawler BM70 57.5kg Jan. 13. Excellent first-up prospect.

 

No6 SHALL WE HOPE Has missed a place only once in five starts and should go close again. Gallant in defeat when 1.6-length third Moon Spinner, Charossa 1100m Maiden 58kg here Feb. 17 then beat Lead Foot Lacey 1200m Gawler Maiden 58kg Feb. 28. Freshened since and will give a good sight.

 

No2 FREEDOM ROAD Resumed off 18-week break and held up from 100m when 2.9-length sixth Mazurak 1300m Mares BM75 56.5kg Mar. 24. Fitter now and did win a double on Parks track over 1400m here before a spell. Forward showing expected.

 

SCRATCHED - No9 HOLLYWOOD GIRL Resuming. Geelong 1140m Class1 winner three runs back Oct. 4 but safely held two subsequent Moonee Valley runs. Ran close second to Ashlor 1200m Moonee Valley four runs earlier and placed at three of four first-up runs. Well drawn and commands respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 HOLLYWOOD GIRL

R5 – 2.31pm. Fleurieu Milk Company Handicap - 1200m.

No2 ENTRANCING Should be at her peak following two runs after a 42-week break. Courageous first-up second 0.7-length to El Sicario 1050m BM82 here 57.5kg Mar. 12 then $1.55 fav when just too good for Streetcar Illusion 1000m Parks track here BM82 55kg Mar. 24. Claims 3kg to reduce the impost. Rates highly.

 

SCRATCHED - No7 SHE’S POSITIVE  Has returned better than ever in two runs this campaign. Made ground late for 3.25-length fifth Alta Stella 1000m Sandown Mares BM70 55.5kg Mar. 14 then too strong for Niamh Chinn Oir, So Far Sokool 1200m Mornington Mares BM78 Soft5 two weeks ago. Will be further improved and rates highly.

 

No9 CALISTO GIRL Never runs a bad race and at  her peak following four runs this campaign. Fought on strongly when neck second Mazurek 1300m Park track here Mar. 24 56.5kg Good4 Mares BM75. Beat Silent Ice second-up 1250m Parks track 56.5kg two runs earlier and drops 2.5kg here. Nicely in from barrier 1.

 

SCRATCHED - No11 ENSUING First-up winner over Dame Vassa, Under The Sea 1218m Kyneton Mares BM58 58.5kg Mar. 7 then held up on turn when second Miss Belisa 1200m Mares BM64 Pakenham Mar. 22. Honest mare dropping 4kg here. Tongue tie goes on and so does Jamie Kah. Respect.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No11 ENSUING

R6 – 3.11pm. 13CABS Handicap – 1600m.

SCRATCHED - No9 MOGHUL EMPIRE (BEST BET) Has won his two runs from a spell by big margins and looks like completing a winning hat-trick here. Started $1.70 winning first-up 1500m Gawler Maiden 58kg Mar. 7 then scooted clear approaching the bend and gave nothing a chance in beating Meat Traders, Calendar Lad 1600m Moonee Valley BM64 59kg Mar. 16. Facing slightly tougher company but drops 4kg and looks the winner.

 

No5 DAKTARI Produced four wins and two placings from only eight starts so has claims again. Beat Savanero 1600m BM70 here 54.5kg Feb. 17 then downed Dances On Stars, Saturday Sorcerer same trip BM75 as $3.40 fav 53.5kg Mar. 3. Rises 4kg here but Linda Meech goes on.

 

No7 ENKI Started $2.70 fav in beating Cavalry Gold 1550m Parks track BM64 57.5kg Mar. 10 then not suited by muddling tempo as $4.20 fav when 2-length fifth Captain Duffy same trip two weeks back. Can improve.

 

No10 RISING HOPE  Not far away two runs since 3.75-length second So Splendid 1800m Sandown Mares BM78 55.5kg Jan. 31. Held up for run when 2.85-len fifth Near Queue 1700m Mares BM70 same track 57kg Mar. 21. Should be running on.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No10 RISING HOPE

R7 – 3.51pm. Manihi Classic – 1100m.

No4 WHISPERING BROOK (NEXT BEST BET) Returned from a 14-week break in devastating fashion when she smashed Glenall and Benz 1200m Listed Abell Stakes Moonee Valley 54kg Good4 Mar. 16. Previous form included third behind Global Glamour and I Am A Star G1 1000 Guineas Caulfield and wins in the WA Sires’ Produce and Karrakatta Plate at 2-years. On the way up and looks a class above them.

 

No3 LORD ASPEN  Class galloper with an excellent first-up record of three wins and two placings from six attempts. Not seen since 3.3-length fifth Casino Wizard 1200m Christmas Handicap here 59kg Boxing Day. Beat Chamois Road 1200m here three runs earlier Oct 28. Showed his class winning at Flemington during the Melbourne Cup carnival 2016. Keep safe.

 

No1 LOPE DE CAPIO Smart sprinter who hasn’t started since handy 3.7-length seventh Rich Charm 1200m G2 Flemington Nov. 4. Won the Listed races 1100 Wylie Handicap and 1200m Durbridge Stakes two previous runs this track. Goes well fresh and has to be considered.

 

No6 CONCEALER Placed at three of last five runs and rates a chance in this tougher company. Resumed with fighting 0.75-length second Demonstrate Flemington BM90 straight 1000m Mar. 10. Place chance.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No3 LORD ASPEN

R8 – 4.31pm. Laelia Stakes – 1600m.

SCRATCHED - No4 PALAZZO VECCHIO Desperately unlucky at two runs from spell when neck second Summer Sham 1400m G2 Armanasco Stakes Caulfield Feb. 24 and length third Bella Martini, Shokora Group 2 Kewney Stakes Flemington Mar. 10. Pushed early to take forward position but cramped for room on the fence when 3.45-length fifth Think Bleue as $2.80 fav 1600m G3 Alexander Stakes Moonee Valley Mar. 23. Should be able to gain clean air from outside gate and the roomier track will also help. Deserves a win.

 

No6 GLAM GURU Narrowly beaten by Luvaluva Group 2 Wakeful Stakes 2000m Flemington Nov 4 before going for a spell. Lame first-up when last It’s Been A Battle 1200m Listed Matrice Stakes here Mar. 12 then took lead and battled tenaciously for 1.7-length second Over Exposure 1250m Park track here 57kg Mar. 24. Fitter now and extra distance suits.

 

No9 HARDLY SURPRISING (BEST ROUGHIE) Improving with every run and has claims. Cleared out mid-race before being hauled in by Think Bleue 1600m Caulfield 3Yr Fillies BM64 57.5kg Feb. 21 then had a month between runs when another courageous 2.2-length third Think Bleue Group 3 Alexander Stakes Moonee Valley Mar. 23. Fitter now and should give another solid front-running display. Respect.

 

No2 BELLE DU NORD Freshened since plugging 6len seventh Savvy Coup Group 1 2400m NZ Oaks Trentham Mar. 17. Close second Age Of Fire Group 1 Levin Classic WFA this distance three runs earlier Jan. 13. Keep safe.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No9 HARDLY SURPRISING

R9 – 5.05pm. UBET Handicap – 1800m.

No5 LIPSTICK LOVER Won in the style of a very good horse in beating Runaway by 4-len 1600m Sandown BM64 55kg Mar. 21. Tackled Group company in previous campaign at Brisbane winter carnival. Right at her top following five runs this campaign and should go on with the good work here.

 

SCRATCHED - No8 HERE COMES LENNI Has a win and four placings from only five starts to date and sure to be in the money again. Beat Tan Check 1406m Benalla Maiden 58kg as $2.35  fav Feb. 23 then struck trouble in running when 2.25-length second If You Will 1606m Benalla BM64 58.5kg Mar. 18. Fitter for recent racing and should continue to improve.

 

No4 TAHNEE TIARA Has won at Murray Bridge 1400m Class2 and Strathalbyn 1600m BM64 56.5kg from last five outings and isn’t the roughest hope in this field. Started $13 in beating Sasun at Strathalbyn last Saturday. Chance on the quick back-up.

 

No13 LYNCH MOB Made up good ground first-up when 1.3-length sixth Rowdy Richard 1400m Parks track BM64 56.5kg Mar. 17. Mildura 1400m Maiden winner and runner-up Geelong 1900m Synthetic BM64 before a spell. Has claims in weak race.

 

VALUE RUNNER: No13 LYNCH MOB

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