Strong winds are predicted through the latter part of the program on a partly-cloudy day, which could impact on horses unable to get cover. The rail will be in the True position for the entire circuit and the track will play as a Good4.
QUADDIES (races 5,6,7,8)
Skinny Play: 3,4 –1,3,4 – 1,2 - 1,10
Wide Play: 3,4,6,9 – 1,3,4,9 – 1,2,4,5,8 – 1,3,5,6,10
BEST BET: R2 – 11. SPEAK SOFTLY
Next Best Bet: R1 – 8. CHAMPAGNE FRIDAY
Best Roughie: R5 – 3. CONFLUENCE
No8 CHAMPAGNE FRIDAY (NEXT BEST BET) Made up ground on debut when 1.5-length third Kev’s Lad 1200m Donald Maiden 56kg Mar. 22. Not wanted in the betting last start but will certainly be a commanding presence in this. Great ride for Dean Yendall.
No4 GOLDEN SONG
No3 BERNIE’S REGRET
VALUE RUNNER: No3 BERNIE’S REGRET
No11 SPEAK SOFTLY (BEST BET) Resuming here off a 42-week break and should go on with the good potential she showed when last in work. Debut second Bella Vella 1000m 2Yr Fillies Maiden Heavy9 57kg
May 31 then raced greenly when solid 3.4-length fifth Moonee Valley Good4 as $4.60 chance June 17. Three horses from that race have won since and she faces much easier grade here. The one to beat.
No7 JUNGLE ROSE
VALUE RUNNER: No7 JUNGLE ROSE
No5 TRAFFIC COP Placed twice and never further back than sixth in five runs most recent campaign and coming off a nine-week break here. Sent out $3.20 fav when narrowly beaten by Empire Liberty 1600m Cranbourne Heavy8 Maiden Jan. 12 then off track throughout when 3.55-length sixth Argyle Belle Pakenham 1600m Maiden Feb. 1. Placed at two of three first-up runs and should sprint well fresh again.
No9 JUNIPER GIRL
No2 CRESTA COSMIC
No8 CHAMPAGNE SCENT
VALUE RUNNER: No9 JUNIPER GIRL
No2 DAYS GO BY Up-and-coming stayer who has finished just behind the placings in three runs since ending previous campaign with Cranbourne Maiden win Soft6 July 6. Led and fought on strongly when 1.25-length second Rondalago 2000m Warrnambool BM58 59.5kg Soft5 Mar. 15. On the up and will prove hard to toss.
No6 REALLY SURE
VALUE RUNNER: No6 REALLY SURE
No3 CONFLUENCE (BEST BET) Finished second three consecutive runs Caulfield, Flemington, Sandown then beat Bam, Finnick 1400m Pakenham 3Yr Maiden Good3 Jan. 18. Handy effort first-up when 4.3-
length ninth Souffrant 1300m Sandown 3Yr BM64 Mar. 28. Has a win and a second from two second-up attempts and this looks ideal.
No4 TEMPLE OF BEL
No9 MISS BELISA
No3 SCOLIARO Solid second Heptagon 1200m Sandown BM64 56kg Feb. 14 then beat Borrow, Reilmartini 1200m Moonee Valley BM64 56kg Mar. 2. Struck trouble when 3.85-length seventh Working From Home 1200m Moonee Valley this grade 57kg Mar. 16. Likely to bounce back here.
No4 A MIST OPPORTUNITY
No9 HOT WITNESS
VALUE RUNNER: No4 A MIST OPPORTUNITY
No2 GASWORX Has produced two wins and three seconds from only ten starts and bound to make his presence felt first-up. Resumed with photo-finish second New York Celebrity 1000m Moonee Valley BM64 60kg Good4 Oct. 6 then slowly away and never comfortable when seventh 1000m Albury BM69 57.5kg Oct. 14. Drawn to get the gun run with Luke Nolen going on here.
No4 CAPTAIN CRACKERJAK
VALUE RUNNER: No4 CAPTAIN CRACKERJACK
No1 MR OPTIMISTIC Continued to improve through this preparation with 2.5-length win over Calendar Lad Sale BM70 58kg Feb. 4 before 2.75-length third He Ekscels 1736m BM70 there Feb. 27 and fighting nose second No Commitment 2000m Flemington Grand Handicap 57kg Mar. 17. No Commitment has won in town again since. Rises 3.5kg here but facing much easier opposition. The one to beat.
No10 THE BLACK LEOPARD
No3 APPROVED ANGER
No6 SEUL SPIRIT
VALUE RUNNER: No3 APPROVED ANGER