Autumn Watch: Runners from the 14th of April

Day 2 of the Championships saw a filly stamp herself as a major player come Spring and a Queensland-bound Derby prospect throw his hat in the ring.

Oddschecker
 | 
Tue, 17 Apr, 3:12 PM

 

We will look to give you an early edge by identifying key runners for the upcoming big races and suggest plays in early markets where available.

 

Pure Elation – Randwick Race 3: 1st ($4F): Some good support in the early morning saw the filly get into as short as $3.40 at one stage from around $4.50 during the week. However, parading like a horse well below its peak saw the daughter of I Am Invincible drift to $4 late in betting. Her problems didn’t stop in the yard as the threw her head about and looked to climb in her action when settling off-midfield for Michael Walker.

 

Despite all this she’s produced yet another arrogant win. Striding clear from the pack as soon as she saw daylight to win by 1.3L not fully tested. There’s an abundance of upside for this filly, which is backed up by the usually reserved Peter Snowden stating she could be the best filly he’s ever trained and that he’s never trained a 2YO as tough as her. Unfortunately, she bled from both nostrils post-race so won’t be seen for another 3 months. 

 

Record: 5:2-1-0

 

Targets: Certainly Group 1 potential but hard to know the distance range at this point. If she irons out her issues there’s no reason 1400m+ isn’t an option.

 

Dark Dream – Randwick Race 2: 2nd ($8): As soon as 9a.m. hit this gelding was crunched from $13 into $7 after being as much as $26 when markets first opened. Suggests smart money. No doubt those punters would still be feeling the hurt after Kerry’s Parker’s up and comer flashed home to miss by 0.1L on the back of what can only be described as a questionable ride form Jay Ford. The son of All American is no stranger to close finishes having gone down 0.1, 0.1 and 0.2 lengths in 3 of his 4 second-placed efforts.

 

Stewards maps had the 3YO taking the lead from gate 9 of 9 but despite jumping on terms he was taken right back to the tail. This perhaps wasn’t the worst scenario given the wind and subsequent pattern of the day, however he did look to have some opportunity to slot in. He unleashed a powerful late burst and no doubt should’ve won. He’s a genuine line-finder and should present excellent value in the Derby for an underrated trainer.   

 

Record: 6:2-4-0

 

Targets: QLD Derby

 

Suggested Plays:

 

No early markets feature Pure Elation or Dark Dream as yet.

 

Pure Elation’s owner Sir Owen Glenn has reportedly been chasing an Everest Slot for the filly and with his monetary pull she could be worth a small play if/when she’s seen in early markets.

 

Keeping a close eye on when the QLD Derby markets open up to launch into Dark Dream the moment they do.

 

 

Upcoming Tips

Betting Offers

New Customers
All Customers
All Betting Offers
New acc only, exc NSW, SA, WA & VIC. Turnover requirements & expiry period apply. See T&C’s on website. Gamble responsibly.

Related News & Tips

5 reasons why we think Youngstar can take home the 2018 Caulfield Cup.

The weekend’s Caulfield Cup shapes up as a battle between the imports and the locally trained horses. We believe a locally trained mare has the upper hand.
Oddschecker
Read Article

Friday Racing Tips - 19th October

We head into the weekend with some nice racing today and our selections come from Murray Bridge, Warrnambool and the Pakenham cards.
Oddschecker
Read Article

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Betting Preview

Andy Holding has a strong Antepost fancy ahead of Saturday's showcase at Ascot.
Andy Holding
Read Article